Arkansas, 2012Hail and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, August 16, 2012
August 16, 2012 · NWS LZK · 10 events in 6 counties and zones
The approach of a cold front triggered several severe thunderstorms in northern and central Arkansas during the afternoon and evening of the 16th. The atmosphere over Arkansas was warm, humid, and unstable at the time.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $157,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 10
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The approach of a cold front triggered several severe thunderstorms in northern and central Arkansas during the afternoon and evening of the 16th. The atmosphere over Arkansas was warm, humid, and unstable at the time.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 16, 11:48 AM CST, 39 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 16, 11:48 AM CST, 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1248 PM CDT THU AUG 16 2012
.AVIATION...
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS OVER THE PAST HOUR SUGGESTS THAT
STORMS IN N AND CENTRAL AR THIS AFTERNOON WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY.
FOR NOW...WENT WITH VCTS. WILL WATCH AS THE STORMS FORM AND AMD
TAFS AS NECESSARY. EXPECT THAT CONVECTION WILL DIE OUT THIS
EVENING AND PROBABLY WAIT UNTIL FRI AFTERNOON BEFORE SHOWING MUCH
DEVELOPMENT AGAIN. PATCHY LOW CLOUDS FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND
SUNRISE FRI WILL CREATE PATCHY MVFR CONDITIONS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 640 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2012/
DISCUSSION...
UPDATED FOR THE 12Z TAF DISCUSSION BELOW.
AVIATION...
STILL EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION AROUND THE STATE TODAY...WITH
BEST COVERAGE UP NORTH INITIALLY. HAVE TEMPO GROUPS IN NRN SITES BUT
WILL STAY WITH PROB30 GROUPS FOR KHOT...KLIT...AND KPBF AS
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT A LITTLE LESS CERTAIN THAN PREVIOUSLY
THOUGHT. MAIN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN LATER TONIGHT FOR ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS...AND HAVE INCLUDED VCSH TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS AT
KLLQ AND KBPK 06Z ONWARD. CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY VFR...THOUGH
STRONGER STORMS WILL LIKELY BRING BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 313 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2012/
DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERNS THIS FORECAST CYCLE ARE CHANCES OF CONVECTION TODAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND ANY CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS. TEMPS WILL
BE CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES. WILD FIRE DANGER CONTINUES TO BE HIGH
TO EXTREME DUE TO ON GOING DROUGHT.
SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS THE WEAK WARM FRONT FROM AROUND KFSM TO NEAR
KLIT AND SE TO AROUND KLLQ. ATMOSPHERE IS WARMER AND MORE MOIST
SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...WHILE LESS AND COOLER NORTH. 00Z KLZK SOUNDING
HAD A PRECIP WATER VALUE UP NOW TO 1.56 INCHES...WITH A SE TO SW
SURFACE TO 5K FT WIND WITH WARM ADVECTION. ONLY PATCHY CLOUDS WERE
SEEN THIS EARLY MORNING...WHILE SHORT WAVE ENERGY WAS MOVING OVER
IA WITH CONVECTION AND OVER N TX WITH CONVECTION.
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
OVERALL A SLIGHT CHANCE OF CONVECTION THIS MORNING WITH LIMITED
SHORT WAVE ENERGY OVER AR. POP CHANCES GO UP OVER NORTHERN AR
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL EXPECTED SHORT WAVE ENERGY AS THE
FRONT POSSIBLY LIFTS NORTH. RAISED TO SLIGHT CHANCE OVER SOUTHERN
AREAS WITH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND IF THE BOUNDARY STAYS
OVER CENTRAL AR. BETTER CHANCES OF CONVECTION TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS
THE FRONT SAGS SE INTO AR...AND ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVES
ACROSS AR WITH THE UPPER NW FLOW. SLIGHT CHANCES OF SEVERE
CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONT AND UPPER ENERGY THIS
EVENING AND INTO OVERNIGHT. WIND AND HAIL MAIN THREATS. ON FRIDAY
THE FRONT IS EXPECTED SLOWLY SAG INTO CENTRAL AR WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION. MAIN THREAT OF ANY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. THE FRONT CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY
SAG SOUTH TO SOUTHERN AR FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO EVENING WITH
CONTINUED CONVECTION. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH NORTHERN LA
TOWARD LATER SATURDAY. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE BEHIND THE FRONT
THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO SOME UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING OF FRONT.
MODELS DO DRIFT THE FRONT TO NEAR NORTHERN LA BY SUNDAY MORNING
TAKING MUCH OF THE CONVECTION WITH IT. BUT ALSO DUE TO UNCERTAINTY
SOME CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE KEPT OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN AR. TEMPS WILL BE AROUND NORMAL VALUES TO ABOVE NORMAL IN
AREAS THAT SEE SUN...WHILE AREAS WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN...BELOW
NORMAL.
LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A MOSTLY DRY AND COOLER THAN NORMAL FORECAST REMAINS INTACT FOR THE
LONG TERM. UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE MID SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BE
LARGELY OUT OF THE NORTH. WITH LACK OF MOISTURE RETURN OFF THE GULF
AND NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...THE FORECAST IS A DRY ONE. A COUPLE OF
IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL PROVIDE SOME INCREASED HIGH
CLOUDS BUT OVERALL MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 93 67 85 61 / 20 50 50 20
CAMDEN AR 94 69 92 67 / 20 20 50 60
HARRISON AR 96 64 82 58 / 40 50 50 20
HOT SPRINGS AR 94 69 90 66 / 20 30 50 40
LITTLE ROCK AR 94 71 88 67 / 20 30 50 40
MONTICELLO AR 94 70 91 68 / 20 20 50 60
MOUNT IDA AR 94 68 91 64 / 20 30 50 40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 95 65 83 59 / 30 50 50 20
NEWPORT AR 93 69 86 63 / 20 50 50 20
PINE BLUFF AR 93 71 89 67 / 20 30 50 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 94 69 88 65 / 20 40 40 20
SEARCY AR 94 70 86 65 / 20 40 50 30
STUTTGART AR 94 71 88 66 / 20 30 50 50
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
AVIATION...28
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 16, 8:16 AM CST, 4 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
916 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2012
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171015-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
916 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT...PRIMARILY...NORTHERN
ARKANSAS TODAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.
THESE STORMS WILL BE OUT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH
THE STATE FROM THE NORTH LATER TONIGHT. MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT OVERNIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL HAVE MOVED INTO THE STATE DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON FRIDAY. THERE MAY BE A BIT OF A LULL IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ALONG THE FRONT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD FLARE BACK UP DURING BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. AGAIN...SOME STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.
IT APPEARS THAT THE FRONT COULD LINGER IN THE STATE INTO SATURDAY.
IF THIS HAPPENS...THERE COULD BE A FEW SEVERE STORMS IN SOUTHERN
ARKANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
COVERAGE OF SEVERE STORMS MAY NOT BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT SPOTTER
ACTIVATION.
&&
VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
28
Thunderstorm Wind, Pulaski
- When
- August 16, 12:27 PM CST
- Where
- Pulaski County, 4.87 mi S of Little Italy
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 34.861, -92.564
A tree was blown down onto Arkansas 10.
Thunderstorm Wind, Marion
- When
- August 16, 1:35 PM CST
- Where
- Marion County, 2.86 mi ENE of Bull Shoals Lake Wes
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $75,000
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 36.479, -92.780
Docks were damaged and trees were blown down.
Hail, Van Buren
- When
- August 16, 1:45 PM CST
- Where
- Van Buren County, Botkinburg
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- COOP Observer
- Coordinates
- 35.700, -92.520
Thunderstorm Wind, Searcy
- When
- August 16, 1:45 PM CST
- Where
- Searcy County, 0.77 mi S of Cove
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 35.859, -92.602
A roof was blown off a shed.
Thunderstorm Wind, Van Buren
- When
- August 16, 2:15 PM CST
- Where
- Van Buren County, 3.34 mi WSW of Star Bee
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 35.754, -92.650
A few trees were blown down on Arkansas 254.
Thunderstorm Wind, Newton
- When
- August 16, 2:35 PM CST
- Where
- Newton County, Parthenon
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $15,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 35.950, -93.230
Trees were blown down, with one of the trees falling on a house.
Thunderstorm Wind, Newton
- When
- August 16, 2:50 PM CST
- Where
- Newton County, Wayton
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 35.900, -93.250
Thunderstorm Wind, Perry
- When
- August 16, 2:50 PM CST
- Where
- Perry County, 3.06 mi ENE of Adona
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $25,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 35.047, -92.870
Two chicken houses were damaged at Wades Crossing.
Thunderstorm Wind, Newton
- When
- August 16, 2:55 PM CST
- Where
- Newton County, Vendor
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $25,000
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 35.950, -93.080
Thunderstorm Wind, Perry
- When
- August 16, 3:14 PM CST
- Where
- Perry County, 1.89 mi NE of Perry
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 35.071, -92.779
Power lines were blown down.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Kentucky, August 16, 20121 death · $27,000 · 60 kt wind · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Illinois, August 16, 20122 injured · $3.7 million · 1 in hail · 26 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Tennessee, August 16 to 17, 20122 injured · $347,000 · 1 in hail · 36 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Missouri, August 16, 20124 injured · $156,000 · 2 in hail · 35 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flow in California, August 16 to 17, 2012$2.0 million · 52 kt wind · 6 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Utah, August 16 to 21, 2012$1.5 million · EF0 · 11 events
- Flash Flooding in Arizona, August 16, 2012$500,000 · 2 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, August 16, 2012$150,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kentucky, August 16, 2012$105,000 · 56 kt wind · 11 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Iowa, August 16, 2012$64,000 · 1.25 in hail · 9 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, August 16, 2012$35,000 · 70 kt wind · 12 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in New Mexico, August 16, 2012$30,000 · 1.75 in hail · 8 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 392185, 392599, 392187, 392188, 392190, 392194, 392195, 392197, 392198, 392206.