Texas, 2011

Wildfire and Strong Wind in Texas, February 24 to 25, 2011

February 24 to 25, 2011 · NWS LUB · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

In the wake of early morning showers and thunderstorms over the southeastern South Plains and Rolling Plains, a fast moving storm system translated over the west Texas region during the daytime hours of the 24th. The passage of this system brought an onset of warm and dry downslope winds.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.

In the wake of early morning showers and thunderstorms over the southeastern South Plains and Rolling Plains, a fast moving storm system translated over the west Texas region during the daytime hours of the 24th. The passage of this system brought an onset of warm and dry downslope winds. Sustained westerly winds in the 30 mph range with a few gusts near 50 mph were sufficient to down a power line near Wellman (Terry County) at approximately 15:00 CST. The line sparked a wildfire in grasslands that burned nearly 300 acres before it was extinguished around 18:00 CST.

Another wildfire ignited near Anton around 18:30 CST when farm equipment overheated. The fire burned intermittently until 14:00 CST on the 25th. Approximately 650 acres were charred by the fire.

Neither fire resulted in significant damages nor injuries.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 24, 1:04 PM CST, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 1:04 PM CST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
104 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011

.UPDATE...
RECENT TRENDS IN WTM OBSERVATIONS SHOW AN INCREASE SITES HITTING
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS. THUS
HAVE EXPANDED THE WIND ADVISORY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1142 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011/

AVIATION...
WESTERLY WINDS SUSTAINED IN THE 20-30KT RANGE WILL IMPACT THE KLBB
TERMINAL DURING THE COMING HOURS. THESE WINDS WILL HAVE POTENTIAL
TO CAUSE LIGHT RESTRICTIONS IN BLOWING DUST. SPEEDS/TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR POTENTIAL AIRPORT WEATHER WARNINGS. OTHERWISE...ONCE
THE DUST SETTLES...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY. A
NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT WILL WORK SOUTHWARD THROUGH KCDS...AND WILL
APPROACH KLBB DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SHORT TERM...
MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY A STRONG JET STREAK
ENTERING THE SWRN ZONES AT 09Z PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE TROUGH ACROSS THE SRN
SOUTH PLAINS AND ARE SPREADING NEWD. MAY SEE A FEW STORMS LINGER
PAST 12Z ACROSS THE EXTREME ERN ZONES...AND WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT
CHANCE MENTION THERE. FOCUS WILL THEN SHIFT TO WIND SPEEDS BY LATE
MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTN AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN IN
THE WAKE OF THE UPPER TROUGH. NRN END OF THE MID LEVEL JET STREAK
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SRN SECTIONS OF THE FCST AREA AND POINTS
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WHILE AT THE SFC A COLD FRONT THAT IS DRAPED
ACROSS THE ERN PANHANDLE ROTATES SWD INTO THE NERN ZONES BY LATE
AFTN. GRADIENT IN WIND SPEED ASSOCIATED WITH SFC FRONT AS WELL AS
SOME UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT LOCATION OF STRONGER MID LEVEL JET CORE
LEAN TOWARD HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN MEETING ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS
ACROSS THE SRN ROW OF COUNTIES. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
ANOTHER ROW NORTH /OR EVEN A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WRN
ZONES/ MEET CRITERIA...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO HOIST
ADVISORY THOSE AREAS ATTM. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE PRETTY QUICKLY
THIS EVENING WHILE COLD FRONT WILL OOZE WWD TOWARD AND ONTO THE
CAPROCK BY END OF THE PERIOD.

LONG TERM...
OVERALL THE EXTENDED IS SHAPING UP QUIET WITHIN A PREDOMINANTLY
ZONAL UPPER FLOW. THE SINGLE EXCEPTION TO THIS UNFOLDS LATE IN THE
WEEKEND WHEN IT APPEARS REASONABLE THAT MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS
WILL FALL IN THE CROSSHAIRS OF A VIGOROUS WIND EVENT. UNTIL
THIS TIME...EXPECT A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TO EDGE ONTO THE CAPROCK
FRI MORNING BEHIND TODAY/S OPEN WAVE FOLLOWED BY A ROUND OF DRY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS LATE FRI INTO SATURDAY. UPPER FLOW THEN BACKS
SHARPLY SOUTHWEST LATE SATURDAY AHEAD OF A DEEP PACIFIC LOW
PRESENTLY NEAR PUGET SOUND. ECMWF REMAINS ON THE DEEPER AND SLOWER
END OF THE SPECTRUM WHEREAS THE GEM IS 12 HOURS FASTER WITH THE
NAM AND GFS SANDWICHED IN BETWEEN. MODELS ALSO DISAGREE ON HOW
MUCH FILLING THIS LOW WILL UNDERGO AS IT EXITS THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST EARLY SUNDAY...BUT ALL AGREE IN A FAVORABLE TRACK OF
THIS FEATURE ACROSS THE NRN PANHANDLE. GFS AND ECMWF CARRY AN
IMPRESSIVE 105+ KNOT 500MB WIND MAX DIRECTLY ATOP THE LOCAL AREA
WITH UP TO 60 KNOTS AT 700MB. ADD TO THIS FULLY-PHASED SOUTHWEST
FLOW FROM THE SURFACE TO TO THE TROPOPAUSE AND INEVITABLY DRIER AIR
SHOULD EVOLVE IN SPITE OF THIS SYSTEM/S PACIFIC ORIGIN. WE
THEREFORE CONTINUE TO PAINT HIGH-END ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS OVER
MUCH OF THE CWA...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IN HIGH WIND CRITERIA/ 40
KNOTS SUSTAINED OR GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS/ IS DIMINISHED BY THE TIMING
ISSUES WITH THIS SYSTEM. IF THE ECMWF WERE TO VERIFY...THE
STRONGEST WIND FIELD WOULD BE DELAYED UNTIL NEAR/AFTER SUNSET AND
LARGELY REMAIN UNTAPPED GIVEN A DECOUPLED BOUNDARY LAYER. THEREAFTER
THE UPPER FLOW RETURNS TO A ZONAL FASHION PROMOTING MOSTLY LIGHT
SLY FLOW AND ONLY WEAK GOMEX MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE START OF THE
NEW WEEK.

FIRE WEATHER...
20 TO 30 MPH WINDS AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL A NEAR CERTAINTY ACROSS ALL
OF THE AREA BUT THE NE WHERE A SWD MOVING COLD FRONT WILL KEEP THE
SFC GRADIENT WEAKER THERE. DRY AIR SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING A DEFINITE PLUS BUT SOME MODEST COLD ADVECTION INTO THE NRN
AND WRN ZONES COULD RESULT IN RH VALUES STAYING ABOVE 15 PCT.
CONSIDERED DROPPING THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NRN ROW OF COUNTIES
/EXTREME SRN PANHANDLE/ BUT FCST ELEMENTS CLOSE ENOUGH TO KEEP
WARNING GOING FOR NOW.

A POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT CRITICAL FIRE WX THREAT
MAY EMERGE AS EARLY AS SUNDAY MORNING AS A DEEP STORM SYSTEM
TRACKS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS
APPEAR QUITE POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF THE REGION...THOUGH COOL PACIFIC
AIR MAY ACT TO RETARD ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WRN
SOUTH PLAINS AND NORTHWEST PANHANDLE. IN SPITE OF THIS...WE DO
EXPECT SUFFICIENT DRYING TO DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE DAY WHICH
SHOULD GARNER RH VALUES OF 15 PERCENT OR LOWER. HAVE OPTED AGAINST
ISSUING A FIRE WX WATCH AT THIS TIME AS THE PRESENT DAY/S SETUP IS
MORE DESERVING OF ATTENTION AT THIS POINT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        62  25  67  31  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
TULIA         63  24  63  32  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
PLAINVIEW     65  25  66  33  75 /   0   0   0   0   0
LEVELLAND     66  28  72  32  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
LUBBOCK       67  26  70  32  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
DENVER CITY   67  30  74  34  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
BROWNFIELD    67  29  73  34  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
CHILDRESS     70  27  59  30  75 /  10   0   0   0   0
SPUR          71  29  65  35  79 /  10   0   0   0   0
ASPERMONT     74  29  65  37  79 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: TXZ021>024-027>044.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: TXZ027>030-033>037-039>044.

&&

20
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 6:55 AM CST, 8 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
655 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

TXZ021>044-251300-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
655 AM CST THU FEB 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND AND FIRE WEATHER...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID-MORNING ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN SOUTH
PLAINS AND SOUTH ROLLING PLAINS BEFORE DISSIPATING BY SUNSET. A
WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA FROM 9 AM UNTIL 6 PM. IN
ADDITION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BY MIDDAY WILL COMBINE
WITH BREEZY WINDS TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11
AM UNTIL 6 PM FOR ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE REGION ON SUNDAY
GENERATING VERY STRONG WINDS...BLOWING DUST AND A HIGH FIRE
DANGER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 wildfire, 1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Terry

When
February 24, 3:00 PM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Terry forecast zone
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.174, -102.335 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Strong Wind, Terry

When
February 24, 3:00 PM CST
Where
Terry forecast zone
Measured
43 kt (49 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.174, -102.335 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Locally strong westerly gradient wind gusts downed a utility line that sparked a wildfire along Farm to Market Road 213 west of Wellman.

Wildfire, Hockley

When
February 24, 6:30 PM CST to February 25, 2:00 PM CST
Where
Hockley forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
33.608, -102.343 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
Strong Wind
Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 276174, 276175, 276176.