South Dakota, 2011

Cold in South Dakota, March 8, 2011

March 8, 2011 · NWS ABR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 97-year old Aberdeen woman died from exposure to the cold when she went outside her apartment patio and the door locked behind her. The woman was believed to be outside for 8 to 10 hours.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ABR wrote it up.

A 97-year old Aberdeen woman died from exposure to the cold when she went outside her apartment patio and the door locked behind her. The woman was believed to be outside for 8 to 10 hours. The overnight low was 2 degrees above zero. The winds averaged around 10 mph through the night giving a wind chill of around 10 below zero. Also, nearly an inch of snow occurred through the night.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 7, 7:40 PM CST, 4 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 7, 7:40 PM CST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
740 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011

.UPDATE...
MADE A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING...MAINLY TO
LOWER TEMPERATURES IN THE NE CWA. WHILE HIGH CLOUDS ARE SPREADING
ACROSS THE REGION...THERE WAS ENOUGH CLEAR SKIES IN THE NE CWA TO
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REACH THEIR PREVIOUS FORECAST LOW. HAVE ALSO
INCREASED POPS IN THE WESTERN CWA WHERE RADAR RETURNS CONTINUE TO
SHOW LIGHT SNOW.

&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

LATEST NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTING SLIGHTLY STRONGER
UPGLIDE/WAA FOR LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS
CURRENTLY SPLITTING IN TWO SEPARATE ENTITIES OVER THE GREAT
BASIN. THE MAIN JET AND ASSOCIATED ATMOSPHERIC LIFT/UVV HEAD
SOUTHWARD INTO AZ/NM WITH A SECOND...WEAKER...UPPER LEVEL WIND MAX
MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS. 12Z GFS INDICATING 15KT
SOUTHERLY WINDS IN AND NEAR THE 285K PRESSURE SURFACE WITH
2.5-2.75G/KG OF MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. BEST CHANCES OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WHEN
UPGLIDE...RIGHT REAR JET QUAD LIFT FROM THE ABOVE MENTIONED
SECONDARY JET STREAK/WIND MAX...AND SURFACE CONVERGENCE ARE
STRONGEST. INCREASED SNOW CHANCES FOR MOST AREAS TO
CATEGORICAL...WHILE INCREASING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BY ABOUT AN INCH
TO AN INCH AND A HALF FOR MOST LOCATIONS...INTO THE 2 TO 3 INCH
RANGE..WITH LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. SNOW INTENSITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT TO MODERATE OVER AN 18-24HR PERIOD...SO
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LIKELY NOT NECESSARY GIVEN THE LONG
DURATION. GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE THE LIGHT SNOW...MAINLY EAST OF
THE JAMES RIVER...THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. KEPT SNOW IN THE FORECAST
FOR THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A RESULT.

RELATIVELY WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE PLAINS
STATES WEDNESDAY MORNING. WEAK WAA IS PROGGED BY ALL MODELS
LATE-DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH THE MOST WARMING AT THE SURFACE
BECOMING REALIZED WEST RIVER.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

LONGWAVE PATTERN GRADUALLY SHIFTS TO LOWER AMPLITUDE
FLOW...WITH A PAIR OF DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION AND HAVING
AN IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES/PRECIPITATION CHANCES. WILL BEGIN
INITIALLY DRY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTING EAST AND H85 WARM
ADVECTION PUSHING TEMPERATURES TO +4 TO +8C. NEAR SURFACE FLOW IS
SOUTHERLY...NOT THE MOST IDEAL DIRECTION FOR MIXING. WARM
ADVECTION REGIME CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS LOW PROGRESSES
OVERHEAD. LOW POP CHANCES WITH LIMITED FORCING/MOISTURE...HOWEVER
STRONG GRADIENT KEEPS TEMPERATURES MILD OVERNIGHT. COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH H85 WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50KTS. COLD
ADVECTION IS SHORT LIVED...WITH WARM ADVECTION BEING REESTABLISHED
SUNDAY. THE GRADUAL WARM UP CONTINUES INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK
AS UPPER FLOW DIRECTS MODIFIED PACIFIC AIR INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS FOR THE KABR...KATY...KPIR AND KMBG TERMINALS

PREVAILING MVFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME IFR
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS LIGHT SNOW SPREADS ACROSS THE
REGION. DUE TO DRY AIR...KABR WILL BE THE LAST TAF SITE TO SEE
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT SNOW. THE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE FOR ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...SD
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CONNELLY
AVIATION...SD

WEATHER.GOV/ABERDEEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 7, 4:39 PM CST, 7 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
439 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-082245-
TRAVERSE-BIG STONE-CORSON-CAMPBELL-MCPHERSON-BROWN-MARSHALL-
ROBERTS-WALWORTH-EDMUNDS-DAY-DEWEY-POTTER-FAULK-SPINK-CLARK-
CODINGTON-GRANT-HAMLIN-DEUEL-STANLEY-SULLY-HUGHES-HYDE-HAND-JONES-
LYMAN-BUFFALO-
439 PM CST MON MAR 7 2011 /339 PM MST MON MAR 7 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

LIGHT SNOW WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT
WITH TRACE TO HALF INCH AMOUNTS ANTICIPATED BY SUNRISE TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION BETWEEN TUESDAY MORNING
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED AREA-WIDE.

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REGION ON FRIDAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO BE BRING STRONG WINDS AND
POSSIBLY SOME FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Cold/Wind Chill, Brown

When
March 8, 12:00 AM CST to 9:00 AM CST
Where
Brown forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
45.590, -98.352 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Cold/Wind Chill, Brown2011-03-0897FemaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Cold/Wind Chill
Cold or wind chill below warning criteria that caused deaths, injuries or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in South Dakota in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in South Dakota, March 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 293377.