North Carolina, 2011Drought in North Carolina, July 1 to 31, 2011
July 1 to 31, 2011 · NWS MHX · 17 events in 17 counties and zones
Severe drought (D2) began impacting Eastern North Carolina in early June and worsened to extreme drought (D3) by early July for several extreme eastern North Carolina counties. Since last winter the region has received well below normal precipitation.
Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 17
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Severe drought (D2) began impacting Eastern North Carolina in early June and worsened to extreme drought (D3) by early July for several extreme eastern North Carolina counties. Since last winter the region has received well below normal precipitation. Streamflows over Eastern North Carolina were well below normal with several sites showing less than ten percentile range of streamflow. Groundwater conditions were listed as much below to record low levels across the region. As of July 8th, Local Climatological Data Sites New Bern and Cape Hatteras observed fifty-four and seventy-six percent of normal precipitation, respectively. As a result of these conditions, the North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources banned open burning in Eastern North Carolina.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 7:30 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 7:30 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
830 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH THROUGH FRIDAY THEN
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 830 PM THU...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED TO ONGOING
FORECAST...TWEAKED GRIDS TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE NORTH NORTHWEST WILL MAINTAIN AN EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
ACROSS THE AREA. SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT BUT WITH DRIER
AIR IN PLACE DO NOT THINK IT WILL BE AS DENSE AS THIS MORNING. DO
NOT ANTICIPATE ANY SMOKE ISSUES FROM PENDER COUNTY WILDFIRE AS
SURFACE WINDS SHOULD KEEP SMOKES SOUTH OF CWA. GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS. LOW TEMPS LIKELY IN THE MID 60S INLAND AND UPPER 60S TO LOW
70S ALONG THE COAST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THU...FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH
WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVING OFF THE NC/VA COAST FRIDAY EVENING.
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO REACH THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS WITH MID 80S
NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND OUTER BANKS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...MAINLY DRY FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT AS
UPR RDG CENTERED TO THE W EXTENDS E INTO THE AREA. EXPECT PC TO
MCLR SKIES WITH HIGHS MAINLY 90 TO 95 INLAND AND MID/UPR 80S
BEACHES...LOWS UPR 60S/LOW 70S INLAND TO LOW/MID 70S CST. UPR RDG
WILL RETROGRADE TO THE W EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TROFFING DEVELOPING
ALONG THE E CST. THIS SHLD LEAD TO BETTER POTENTIAL FOR
CONVECTION...FOR NOW EXPECT MOSTLY CHC POPS DURING THE AFTN AND
EVENING ESPCLY INLAND. TYPICAL SUMMERTIME TEMPS WITH HIGHS INLAND
MOSTLY 90 TO 95 AND LOWS IN THE 70S.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/
AS OF 745 PM THU...VFR CURRENTLY AS SCT DIURNAL CU DISSIPATES. DRIER
AIR IN PLACE TONIGHT SO FOG NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS DENSE AS LAST
NIGHT...THOUGH POTENTIAL WILL BE THERE FOR BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH BEST CHANCES AT
OAJ. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT WILL BURN OFF FRIDAY MORNING
GIVING WAY TO VFR.
&&
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...COULD SEE SOME LATE NIGHT FOG/ST FRI NIGHT
WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS. MAINLY VFR AFTER THAT AS S/SW FLOW
DEVELOPS LATER SAT AND CONT THRU THE REST OF THE PERIOD. S/SW
WINDS MAY AT TIMES LEAD TO SOME REDUCTIONS TO VSBYS DUE TO SMOKE
AT MAINLY EWN AND OAJ FROM THE FIRE IN PENDER COUNTY. INCREASE IN
CONVECTION POSS MON AND ESPCLY TUE AS UPR RDG RETROGRADES TO THE W
WITH TROFFING ALOFT ALONG THE EAST CST...THIS COULD LEAD TO BRIEF
PDS OF REDUCED CIGS/VSBYS.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/
AS OF 830 PM THU...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED TO ONGOING FORECAST
TONIGHT...CURRENTLY E/SE WINDS 5-10KT WITH SEAS 2-4FT. EAST TO
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH
NORTHWEST. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OFF THE NC/VA COAST FRIDAY EVENING.
WINDS/SEAS WILL STAY WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...NICE BOATING CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH WEAK GRDNT AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE
CST. WINDS DIR WILL BE VARIABLE FRI NIGHT AND EARLY SAT THEN GRAD
BECOME SRLY LATE SAT AND SAT NIGHT AS HIGH PRES BECOMES DOMINATE
OFFSHORE. SEAS WILL BE MAINLY 2 TO 3 FEET THROUGH SAT NIGHT. TROF
BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED TO THE W DURING THE DAY SUNDAY WITH
GRDNT TIGHTENING ALONG THE CST. MDLS STILL DIFFER QUITE A BIT WITH
12Z NAM/00Z ECMWF SHOWING NEAR SCA WINDS BY SUN AFTN WHILE GFS AND
SREF KEEP WINDS LESS THAN 20 KTS. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY BLENDED THE
MODELS AND FOR NOW HAVE WINDS INCREASING INTO THE 15 TO 20 KT
RANGE LATE SUN THROUGH MON. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW WINDS
DECREASING A BIT TUE SO FOLLOWED THAT TREND. GIVEN THE BLENDED
WIND SPEEDS HAVE SEAS MAXING OUT AT 4 TO 5 FEET SUN NIGHT AND
MON...IF STRONGER NAM AND ECMWF VERIFY COULD HAVE SCA SEAS THIS
PERIOD BUT FOR NOW PREFER TO GO WITH SOME INPUT FROM GFS/SREF.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HSA
NEAR TERM...HSA/CQD
SHORT TERM...HSA
LONG TERM...RF
AVIATION...RF/HSA/CQD
MARINE...RF/HSA/CQD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 7:50 PM EST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011
NCZ029-044-045-079-080-091>094-020100-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-GREENE-BEAUFORT-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
NCZ046-047-081-090-098-020100-
TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-ONSLOW-
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011
...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT FRIDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
AIR QUALITY ALERT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
AIR QUALITY ALERT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
NCZ095-103-104-020100-
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Drought, Beaufort
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Beaufort forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.486, -76.845 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Beaufort County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Carteret
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Carteret forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Carteret County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Craven
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Craven forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Craven County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Eastern Dare
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Eastern Dare forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Outer Banks Dare County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.
Drought, Western Dare
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Western Dare forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.787, -75.781 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Mainland Dare County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.
Drought, Greene
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Greene forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.485, -77.676 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Greene County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Martin
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Martin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.842, -77.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Martin County throughout July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the end of July.
Drought, Duplin
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Duplin forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 34.936, -77.933 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Duplin County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Eastern Hyde
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Eastern Hyde forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Outer Banks Hyde County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.
Drought, Western Hyde
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Western Hyde forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.410, -76.148 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Mainland Hyde County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.
Drought, Tyrrell
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Tyrrell forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.870, -76.170 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Tyrrell County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.
Drought, Jones
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Jones forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.022, -77.355 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Jones County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Onslow
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Onslow forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Onslow County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Lenoir
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Lenoir forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.239, -77.641 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Lenoir County in by the second week of July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Pamlico
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Pamlico forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.152, -76.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Pamlico County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Pitt
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Pitt forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.594, -77.375 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Pitt County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Drought, Washington
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
- Where
- Washington forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 35.839, -76.569 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Washington County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Heat in Texas, July 1 to 31, 201115 deaths · 223 injured · 6 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Minnesota, July 1, 201110 injured · $12 million · EF1 · 127 events
- Tornado and Hail in Wisconsin, July 1, 20111 death · $80,000 · EF2 · 51 events
- Drought in Texas, July 1 to 31, 2011$500 million · 24 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Minnesota, July 1, 2011$790,000 · EF2 · 20 events
- Heat in Missouri, July 1 to 3, 201122 injured · 22 events
- Drought in Kansas, July 1 to 31, 2011$51 million · 18 events
- Excessive Heat in Oklahoma, July 1, 201120 injured · 10 events
- Rip Current in Texas, July 1, 20111 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Wildfire in New Mexico, July 1 to 31, 2011$17 million · 1 event
- Wildfire in Arizona, July 1 to 8, 2011$15 million · 1 event
- Drought in Texas, July 1 to 31, 2011$949,000 · 32 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 322112, 322114, 322118, 322119, 322120, 322122, 322123, 322124, 322125, 322126, 322127, 322128, 322129, 322130, 322131, 322132, 322133.