North Carolina, 2011

Drought in North Carolina, July 1 to 31, 2011

July 1 to 31, 2011 · NWS MHX · 17 events in 17 counties and zones

Severe drought (D2) began impacting Eastern North Carolina in early June and worsened to extreme drought (D3) by early July for several extreme eastern North Carolina counties. Since last winter the region has received well below normal precipitation.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
17

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MHX wrote it up.

Severe drought (D2) began impacting Eastern North Carolina in early June and worsened to extreme drought (D3) by early July for several extreme eastern North Carolina counties. Since last winter the region has received well below normal precipitation. Streamflows over Eastern North Carolina were well below normal with several sites showing less than ten percentile range of streamflow. Groundwater conditions were listed as much below to record low levels across the region. As of July 8th, Local Climatological Data Sites New Bern and Cape Hatteras observed fifty-four and seventy-six percent of normal precipitation, respectively. As a result of these conditions, the North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources banned open burning in Eastern North Carolina.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 7:30 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 7:30 PM EST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
830 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH THROUGH FRIDAY THEN
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 830 PM THU...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED TO ONGOING
FORECAST...TWEAKED GRIDS TO REFLECT CURRENT TRENDS. SURFACE RIDGE TO
THE NORTH NORTHWEST WILL MAINTAIN AN EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
ACROSS THE AREA. SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT BUT WITH DRIER
AIR IN PLACE DO NOT THINK IT WILL BE AS DENSE AS THIS MORNING. DO
NOT ANTICIPATE ANY SMOKE ISSUES FROM PENDER COUNTY WILDFIRE AS
SURFACE WINDS SHOULD KEEP SMOKES SOUTH OF CWA. GOOD RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS. LOW TEMPS LIKELY IN THE MID 60S INLAND AND UPPER 60S TO LOW
70S ALONG THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THU...FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH
WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVING OFF THE NC/VA COAST FRIDAY EVENING.
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DRIER AIR WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO REACH THE
UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS WITH MID 80S
NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND OUTER BANKS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...MAINLY DRY FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT AS
UPR RDG CENTERED TO THE W EXTENDS E INTO THE AREA. EXPECT PC TO
MCLR SKIES WITH HIGHS MAINLY 90 TO 95 INLAND AND MID/UPR 80S
BEACHES...LOWS UPR 60S/LOW 70S INLAND TO LOW/MID 70S CST. UPR RDG
WILL RETROGRADE TO THE W EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TROFFING DEVELOPING
ALONG THE E CST. THIS SHLD LEAD TO BETTER POTENTIAL FOR
CONVECTION...FOR NOW EXPECT MOSTLY CHC POPS DURING THE AFTN AND
EVENING ESPCLY INLAND. TYPICAL SUMMERTIME TEMPS WITH HIGHS INLAND
MOSTLY 90 TO 95 AND LOWS IN THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/
AS OF 745 PM THU...VFR CURRENTLY AS SCT DIURNAL CU DISSIPATES. DRIER
AIR IN PLACE TONIGHT SO FOG NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS DENSE AS LAST
NIGHT...THOUGH POTENTIAL WILL BE THERE FOR BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH BEST CHANCES AT
OAJ. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT WILL BURN OFF FRIDAY MORNING
GIVING WAY TO VFR.

&&

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...COULD SEE SOME LATE NIGHT FOG/ST FRI NIGHT
WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS. MAINLY VFR AFTER THAT AS S/SW FLOW
DEVELOPS LATER SAT AND CONT THRU THE REST OF THE PERIOD. S/SW
WINDS MAY AT TIMES LEAD TO SOME REDUCTIONS TO VSBYS DUE TO SMOKE
AT MAINLY EWN AND OAJ FROM THE FIRE IN PENDER COUNTY. INCREASE IN
CONVECTION POSS MON AND ESPCLY TUE AS UPR RDG RETROGRADES TO THE W
WITH TROFFING ALOFT ALONG THE EAST CST...THIS COULD LEAD TO BRIEF
PDS OF REDUCED CIGS/VSBYS.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND FRIDAY/
AS OF 830 PM THU...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED TO ONGOING FORECAST
TONIGHT...CURRENTLY E/SE WINDS 5-10KT WITH SEAS 2-4FT. EAST TO
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH
NORTHWEST. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OFF THE NC/VA COAST FRIDAY EVENING.
WINDS/SEAS WILL STAY WELL BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...NICE BOATING CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH WEAK GRDNT AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE
CST. WINDS DIR WILL BE VARIABLE FRI NIGHT AND EARLY SAT THEN GRAD
BECOME SRLY LATE SAT AND SAT NIGHT AS HIGH PRES BECOMES DOMINATE
OFFSHORE. SEAS WILL BE MAINLY 2 TO 3 FEET THROUGH SAT NIGHT. TROF
BECOMES BETTER ESTABLISHED TO THE W DURING THE DAY SUNDAY WITH
GRDNT TIGHTENING ALONG THE CST. MDLS STILL DIFFER QUITE A BIT WITH
12Z NAM/00Z ECMWF SHOWING NEAR SCA WINDS BY SUN AFTN WHILE GFS AND
SREF KEEP WINDS LESS THAN 20 KTS. GIVEN UNCERTAINTY BLENDED THE
MODELS AND FOR NOW HAVE WINDS INCREASING INTO THE 15 TO 20 KT
RANGE LATE SUN THROUGH MON. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW WINDS
DECREASING A BIT TUE SO FOLLOWED THAT TREND. GIVEN THE BLENDED
WIND SPEEDS HAVE SEAS MAXING OUT AT 4 TO 5 FEET SUN NIGHT AND
MON...IF STRONGER NAM AND ECMWF VERIFY COULD HAVE SCA SEAS THIS
PERIOD BUT FOR NOW PREFER TO GO WITH SOME INPUT FROM GFS/SREF.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HSA
NEAR TERM...HSA/CQD
SHORT TERM...HSA
LONG TERM...RF
AVIATION...RF/HSA/CQD
MARINE...RF/HSA/CQD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 7:50 PM EST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

NCZ029-044-045-079-080-091>094-020100-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-GREENE-BEAUFORT-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ046-047-081-090-098-020100-
TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-ONSLOW-
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-103-104-020100-
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
850 PM EDT THU JUN 30 2011

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

17 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Beaufort

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Beaufort forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.486, -76.845 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Beaufort County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Carteret

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Carteret forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Carteret County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Craven

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Craven forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Craven County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Eastern Dare

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Eastern Dare forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Outer Banks Dare County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.

Drought, Western Dare

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Western Dare forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.787, -75.781 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Mainland Dare County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.

Drought, Greene

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Greene forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.485, -77.676 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Greene County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Martin

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Martin forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.842, -77.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Martin County throughout July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the end of July.

Drought, Duplin

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Duplin forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
34.936, -77.933 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Duplin County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Eastern Hyde

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Eastern Hyde forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Outer Banks Hyde County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.

Drought, Western Hyde

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Western Hyde forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.410, -76.148 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Mainland Hyde County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.

Drought, Tyrrell

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Tyrrell forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.870, -76.170 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Tyrrell County in early July 2011. Although no significant precipitation occurred during the month, with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms, conditions improved slightly to severe drought (D2) by mid July.

Drought, Jones

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Jones forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.022, -77.355 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Jones County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Onslow

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Onslow forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Onslow County in early July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Lenoir

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Lenoir forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.239, -77.641 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation in June deteriorated to extreme drought (D3) conditions for Lenoir County in by the second week of July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Pamlico

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Pamlico forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.152, -76.667 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Pamlico County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Pitt

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Pitt forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.594, -77.375 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Pitt County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Drought, Washington

When
July 1, 12:00 AM EST to July 31, 11:45 PM EST
Where
Washington forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
35.839, -76.569 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought (D2) designation continued for Washington County throughout July 2011. No significant precipitation occurred during the month with only typical summertime afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 322112, 322114, 322118, 322119, 322120, 322122, 322123, 322124, 322125, 322126, 322127, 322128, 322129, 322130, 322131, 322132, 322133.