Thunderstorms that formed over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains early in the afternoon moved northeast onto the lower terrain where low level moisture was considerably less. As the storms diminished, very strong outflow boundaries moved across the Raton Crews Airport.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
Thunderstorms that formed over the Sangre de Cristo Mountains early in the afternoon moved northeast onto the lower terrain where low level moisture was considerably less. As the storms diminished, very strong outflow boundaries moved across the Raton Crews Airport. Later in the afternoon, another strong outflow boundary impacted Grants. Though the thunderstorm activity quieted down in the evening, a rogue severe storm impacted Clayton, producing yet another round of severe winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 2:20 AM MST, 9 hours 43 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 320 AM MDT SAT JUL 9 2011 ...MONSOON SURGE EXPECTED CENTRAL AND WEST SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WORK WEEK... .DISCUSSION... GRADUALLY INCREASING POPS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. THE PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL PEAK MOST LOCATIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE FAVORING LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS WILL ALSO HAVE A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION BEGINNING SUNDAY. THROUGH SUNDAY...NEAR RECORD HEAT IS EXPECTED EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST. LATEST MODEL RUNS ARE NOW NOT AS DRY AS PREVIOUS RUNS DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. THE 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER FINALLY MADE IT TO AROUND CLOVIS OVERNIGHT. IT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD TODAY BEFORE STALLING SUNDAY OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. GFS AND ECMWF NOW AGREE THAT A LOBE OF THE HIGH MAY BUILD INTO CENTRAL TX TUESDAY...THEN THE CENTROID WILL MIGRATE WESTWARD TO THE VICINITY OF WESTERN OK THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. MEANWHILE...AN EASTERLY WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...REACHING THE SE CORNER OF NM MONDAY. THEN IT WILL SHIFT NNE THROUGH THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND INTO KS BY TUESDAY NIGHT. ALL THIS WILL EVENTUALLY CAUSE THE MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME...WHICH HAS BEEN FAVORING AZ TO FINALLY SHIFT OVER NM. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS CLEARLY DEPICTS THIS MOISTURE PLUME SHIFTING OVER THE NM BORDER...AND GIVES US CONFIDENCE IN HIGHER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. THE BROAD SWATH OF DRIER MID LEVEL AIR THAT HAS BEEN WRAPPING AROUND THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE 500 MB HIGH INTO CENTRAL AND SE NM WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION ACROSS THE SE THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY. IT SHOULD ERODE POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS SUNDAY...BUT MORE LIKELY MONDAY AS THE MOIST EASTERLY WAVE REACHES SE NM. MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A BROAD AND DIFFUSE THETA E MOISTURE TONGUE WILL THEN FILL IN ACROSS CENTRAL NM BRINGING LONG AWAITED PRECIPITATION MAINLY TO CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS...INCLUDING RECENT BURN SCARS WHICH ARE PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING. GFS AND ECMWF NOW DISAGREE ON HOW PROGRESSIVELY AN UPPER LOW WILL CROSS THE PACIFIC NW TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. THE GFS NOW STALLS THIS LOW OVER WASHINGTON STATE...WHICH WOULD THEN SHIFT THE FLOW OVER NM MORE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THAN OUT OF THE WEST. THIS WOULD STILL ALLOW DRIER AIR INTO WESTERN NM...BUT IT MAY NOT BE AS DRY AS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. SO...FORECAST GRIDS STILL PAINT A SIGNIFICANT DOWN TICK IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE BEGINNING WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...WITH A MODEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING IN THE FORECAST PRETTY MUCH AREAWIDE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE FOR MID TO LATE WEEK PRECIPITATION SHOULD FAVOR THE SOUTHERN TIER OF MOUNTAINS AND THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. TEMPERATURE-WISE...SUNDAY WILL BE COOLER THAN TODAY...BUT HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO VARY FROM A FEW TO AROUND A DOZEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH THE GREATEST ANOMALIES IN THE EAST. SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE TIED OR BROKEN ACROSS MAINLY THE EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PLAINS BOTH DAYS. AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...READINGS WILL TREND TOWARD NORMAL IN THE EAST AND NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN THE WEST. AS THE 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MIGRATES INTO WESTERN OK DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WORK WEEK...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR AND A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS WESTERN NM...AND SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN IN THE EAST. 44 && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CWFA THRU THE MORNING HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE NEAR THE JEMEZ MTS WHERE SMOKE RELATED TO THE LAS CONCHAS FIRE IS CAPABLE OF REDUCING VIS AND OBSCURING MTN TOPS. NOAA HYSPLIT TRAJECTORIES SUGGEST KSAF WILL NO LONGER BE IMPACTED AS THE UPR HIGH SHIFTS TO THE EAST. A RETURN OF SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE BEST CHANCES AT KGUP. MORE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED WITHIN CENTRAL NM TODAY...WHICH WILL INCLUDE KSAF/KABQ/KLVS. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOWS UP TO 40KTS. PCPN WILL START TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER 04Z/SUN. NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. DPORTER && .FIRE WEATHER... NO MAJOR CHANGES REQUIRED TO ONGOING FORECAST WITH THE MAIN STORY FOCUSING ON AN INCREASE IN HUMIDITIES ALONG WITH COVERAGE OF STORM ACTIVITY EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL HIGH HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED INTO WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS PREVIOUSLY ADVERTISED. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS THE CENTROID MOVES TOWARD CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. SIMILAR TO FRIDAY...AMSU/SSMI SATELLITE SUGGESTS THE MAIN MOISTURE PLUME REMAINS IN CENTRAL/SRN AZ WHERE PWAT VALUES EXCEED ONE INCH. SCT STORMS TODAY WILL PRIMARILY BE FOCUSED IN THE NRN MOUNTAINS AND AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. A PRIMARY DIFFERENCE FROM YESTERDAY WILL BE THE SLIGHT INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL PARTS OF THE STATE...ESPECIALLY NMZ106-107. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF STRONG GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS WHICH MAY APPROACH 40 KTS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE A TAD HIGHER TODAY...HOWEVER PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND ERN PLAINS WILL DIP BELOW 15 PERCENT. THE FORECAST AREA WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE VERY GOOD/EXCELLENT VENTILATION RATES WITH MODERATE HAINES VALUES. PRECIPITATION SHOULD WANE AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH ONLY MODEST RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL EXPERIENCE A SLIGHT UPTICK ONCE AGAIN ON SUN AS THE UPR HIGH MIGRATES INTO THE MID/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING TO OFFER STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION TIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...BUT WILL LIKELY SEE NUMEROUS STORMS OVER THE UPPER GILA REGION AND FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THREATS FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL START TO ENTER THE PICTURE FOR THE MILLER... WALLOW AND LAS CONCHAS BURN SCARS. IN FACT...IT MAY NOT TAKE MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL TO CAUSE MAJOR ISSUES IN THE JEMEZ MOUNTAINS PER SEVERAL INTER-AGENCY MEETINGS. ANYONE IN THE FIELD WILL WANT TO STAY ABREAST ON THE LATEST WEATHER STATEMENTS/CONDITIONS AS THE COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL INCREASE ALONG WITH WETTING FOOTPRINTS. MEANWHILE... ISOLATED STORMS WILL START TO ENTER THE PICTURE OVER THE ERN PLAINS IN THIS PERIOD AS WELL. TROPICAL WAVE IN THE WRN GULF IS STILL PROGGED TO WALK W/NW BENEATH THE UPR RIDGE AXIS. WITH THE UPPER HIGH FURTHER EAST FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...IT APPEARS THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO MIGRATE INTO ERN NM ON MON. MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK AND THUS FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS IMPROVING. BEST SURGE OF MOISTURE IS PROGGED TO SHIFT TOWARD THE AZ/NM BORDER AS THE WESTERLIES INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE PACIFIC NW. THE MON/TUE AND POSSIBLY WED PERIOD WILL SPORT THE HIGHEST POPS OVER WRN/CENTRAL NM AND THE GREATEST THREAT FOR BURN SCAR FLASH FLOODING. BY WED...IT APPEARS THE UPPER HIGH WILL RETROGRADE INTO TEXAS. DRIER CONTINENTAL AIR MAY ROTATE SOUTHWESTWARD AND POTENTIALLY CHOKE OFF THE MONSOONAL SURGE OF MOISTURE. CONFIDENCE STARTS TO DEGRADE DURING THIS PERIOD... BUT IT DOES SEEM THAT THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN U.S. COULD HAVE A LESSER IMPACT ON NM AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT WITH RESPECT TO DRYING AND WIND POTENTIAL. DPORTER && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON...................... 93 65 92 66 / 30 30 20 40 DULCE........................... 88 55 87 54 / 40 40 30 40 CUBA............................ 91 57 90 57 / 30 50 30 40 GALLUP.......................... 89 57 88 58 / 30 40 30 40 EL MORRO........................ 84 53 85 54 / 30 50 50 60 GRANTS.......................... 87 58 89 59 / 20 50 30 40 QUEMADO......................... 87 55 87 56 / 30 50 50 60 GLENWOOD........................ 96 65 94 66 / 30 30 20 50 CHAMA........................... 79 54 78 54 / 40 40 50 50 LOS ALAMOS...................... 86 66 86 66 / 20 30 30 40 PECOS........................... 87 59 86 59 / 10 20 30 40 CERRO/QUESTA.................... 86 57 85 56 / 30 30 40 40 RED RIVER....................... 77 51 76 51 / 40 40 50 60 ANGEL FIRE...................... 80 48 79 48 / 30 40 50 60 TAOS............................ 90 57 89 56 / 20 20 30 40 MORA............................ 86 56 84 56 / 20 20 30 40 ESPANOLA........................ 94 59 93 59 / 10 20 10 30 SANTA FE........................ 91 62 90 61 / 20 30 20 40 SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 94 62 93 62 / 10 20 20 30 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 95 67 92 68 / 10 20 20 40 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 95 71 94 72 / 10 20 10 40 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 98 66 96 67 / 10 20 10 30 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 98 64 97 64 / 10 20 10 30 LOS LUNAS....................... 98 62 96 62 / 5 20 10 40 RIO RANCHO...................... 97 63 95 63 / 10 20 10 30 SOCORRO......................... 99 66 98 67 / 5 20 10 30 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 93 62 90 63 / 20 30 30 40 TIJERAS......................... 95 63 92 64 / 20 30 20 40 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 92 54 90 54 / 10 20 20 40 CLINES CORNERS.................. 89 61 88 61 / 10 20 20 40 GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 94 64 92 64 / 10 20 20 30 CARRIZOZO....................... 97 65 96 65 / 5 10 20 30 RUIDOSO......................... 88 60 85 60 / 10 10 20 20 CAPULIN......................... 94 61 92 61 / 10 10 20 20 RATON........................... 96 61 95 61 / 10 10 20 30 SPRINGER........................ 97 62 94 62 / 5 10 20 30 LAS VEGAS....................... 92 60 90 59 / 10 10 20 30 CLAYTON......................... 102 68 99 67 / 5 5 20 20 ROY............................. 96 66 94 66 / 5 10 20 20 CONCHAS......................... 103 72 99 71 / 0 5 20 20 SANTA ROSA...................... 101 71 99 70 / 5 10 20 20 TUCUMCARI....................... 105 70 101 70 / 0 5 20 20 CLOVIS.......................... 101 68 98 68 / 0 5 20 20 PORTALES........................ 102 71 98 70 / 0 5 20 20 FORT SUMNER..................... 102 70 99 71 / 0 5 20 20 ROSWELL......................... 102 69 100 69 / 0 5 20 20 PICACHO......................... 98 63 96 64 / 5 10 20 20 ELK............................. 92 58 90 59 / 5 10 20 20 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 44/46
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 558 AM MDT SAT JUL 9 2011 NMZ501>540-101200- NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS- NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS- SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS- WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA- LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY- CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA- FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY- HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY- QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY- 558 AM MDT SAT JUL 9 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER... THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING TO DEVELOP NEAR RECENT BURN SCARS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER... THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING ALONG AND WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...AND ESPECIALLY IN RECENTLY BURNED AREAS. WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 44
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 194 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:04 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Outflow boundaries with winds exceeding 58 mph continuously impacted the Raton Crews Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 308991, 308992, 308993.