Montana, 2011Flood in Montana, February 25 to 28, 2011
February 25 to 28, 2011 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
An ice jam developed on the Missouri River and flooding occurred in low-lying areas on the north side of Fort Benton.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An ice jam developed on the Missouri River and flooding occurred in low-lying areas on the north side of Fort Benton.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 25, 4:55 PM MST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 4:55 PM MST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
455 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE OVER
THE FORECAST THIS EVENING...BUT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
LATER TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES...CALM WINDS AND FRESH SNOW COVER WILL
ALLOW FOR VERY COLD OVERNIGHT LOWS AGAIN TONIGHT. OVER NORTH CENTRAL
MT...LOW TEMPS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING...BEFORE A SLOW MODERATION OF
TEMPERATURES BEGINS LATER TONIGHT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS AS A LEE-SIDE SURFACE TROUGH NOSES SOUTHWARD FROM
CANADA ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES. WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT...AND THE SURFACE LEE-SIDE TROUGH...WILL STRENGTHEN ON
SATURDAY WITH GUSTY SW WINDS SPREADING EAST ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH
CENTRAL MT WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF GLACIER
COUNTY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS AND WARMING ALOFT WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY MODERATE THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING MAX TEMPS IN THE TEENS AND TWENTIES BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A PERIOD TONIGHT WHEN TEMPS ARE
STILL COLD AS WINDS DEVELOP FOR VERY LOW WIND CHILLS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTH CENTRAL MT AND WILL HAVE A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. CONCERN THEN SHIFTS TO BLOWING
SNOW POTENTIAL AS WINDS INCREASE FURTHER BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE
GLACIER COUNTY AREA AND WILL HIGHLIGHT THIS WITH A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW FOR MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL MT TOMORROW.
WINDS DECREASE BUT WILL REMAIN BREEZY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO WARM BUT REMAINING BELOW SEASONAL
AVERAGES. HOENISCH
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT TONIGHT FOR THIS PERIOD. A MOIST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
REMAIN OVER THE TFX CWA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER SUNDAY NIGHT...KEEPING
THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS AND ALONG
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL
AVERAGES...EXCEPT FOR 5 TO 10 DEGREE BELOW NORMAL LOWS ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE SOUTH OVER THE
PLAINS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MONTANA MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT...SHIFTING SURFACE WINDS MORE NORTHERLY AND UPSLOPE. THIS WILL
USHER IN MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THIS AREA BY MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...ALONG WITH AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SNOW.
HOWEVER...THE COLD AIR WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE ROCKIES...KEEPING THE
VALLEYS OF SOUTHWEST MONTANA NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURE-WISE. THE MOIST
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL LIKELY KEEP SNOW IN THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS
AS WELL DURING THIS TIME...AND THIS SITUATION WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE WIND AND/OR WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS. THE
CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL DECREASE OVERALL TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. THIS
WILL ALSO MODERATE TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN DEEPEN OVER THE PACIFIC
COAST STATES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...FOR AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF SNOW AGAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
MONTANA. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM TO
NEAR/SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER CANADIAN COLD FRONT INTO THE
AREA WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SNOW. TEMPERATURES EAST OF THE
ROCKIES WILL FALL SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL AGAIN...WHILE TEMPERATURES
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHWEST MONTANA. COULSTON
&&
.AVIATION...
UPDATED 2355Z.
EXPECT GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE
COULD BE SOME SNOW SHOWERS NEAR THE IDAHO BORDER TONIGHT WITH A
THREAT OF MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. OTHERWISE EXPECT CLEAR
SKIES TONIGHT. CEILINGS NEAR AND ABOVE 15000 FEET WILL SPREAD SOUTH
OVER THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. THE MAIN FORECAST
CONCERN WILL BE INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
BLOWING SNOW. CONFIDENT THAT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BUT
CONFIDENCE IS SOMEWHAT LOW ON THE DETAILS OF THIS INCREASE. EXPECT
AREAS OF VISIBILITIES BELOW 1 MILE IN BLOWING SNOW OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. IFR VISIBILITIES IN
BLOWING SNOW WILL SPREAD FARTHER EAST DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.
FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT KCTB WILL SEE AT LEAST OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR
VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW SO HAVE ADDED THIS TO THE FORECAST.
CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN AT KGTF/KHVR/KLWT SO
HAVE LEFT THIS CONDITION OUT OF THOSE PARTICULAR TAF FORECASTS.
BLANK
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ICE JAM FLOODING ON THE JEFFERSON RIVER CONTINUES NEAR SILVER STAR
IN NORTHWEST MADISON COUNTY. FLOODING CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE
JEFFERSON ACRES REGION...THUS THE FLOOD WARNING WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL THE FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED.
ADDITIONALLY...A SECOND ICE JAM HAS DEVELOPED UPSTREAM OF THE
FIRST ICE JAM. SHOULD THIS NEW ICE JAM BREAK...IT COULD POSSIBLY
CAUSE THE ORIGINAL ICE JAM TO BREAK AS WELL...CREATING A FLASH
FLOODING POTENTIAL DOWNSTREAM. THUS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE JEFFERSON RIVER FROM ABOUT 5 MILES
SOUTH OF SILVER STAR...TO WATERLOO. THE WATCH WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE UNTIL THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS CEASED.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF -22 25 15 32 / 0 0 10 10
CTB -22 21 14 28 / 0 0 10 10
HLN -18 22 15 35 / 0 0 0 20
BZN -20 19 10 32 / 0 0 10 20
WEY -20 18 -7 18 / 40 10 10 30
DLN -16 24 10 30 / 0 0 10 10
HVR -28 19 11 26 / 0 10 10 20
LWT -22 23 12 31 / 0 0 10 20
&&
.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY BLAINE...
CASCADE...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK...CHOUTEAU...
EASTERN PONDERA...EASTERN TETON...FERGUS...HILL...JUDITH BASIN...
LIBERTY...TOOLE.
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM MST SATURDAY
BLAINE...CASCADE...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK...
CHOUTEAU...EASTERN GLACIER...EASTERN PONDERA...EASTERN TETON...
FERGUS...HILL...JUDITH BASIN...LIBERTY...NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN
FRONT...SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT...TOOLE.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON MADISON.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY EASTERN
GLACIER...NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT...SOUTHERN ROCKY
MOUNTAIN FRONT.
&&
WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 5:45 PM MST, 1 hour before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
545 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011
MTZ015-261200-
MADISON-
545 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE JEFFERSON RIVER SOUTH
OF THE TOWN OF SILVER STAR...DUE TO ICE JAM CONDITIONS. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE JEFFERSON RIVER FROM NORTH
OF TWIN BRIDGES TO WATERLOO DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS TO
BREAK.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ANOTHER CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES OF SNOW OVER SOUTHWEST
MONTANA BY MONDAY NIGHT...AND WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS COULD BE
ISSUED LATER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MONTANA.
ADDITIONALLY...STRONG RIDGE TOP WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY...AND HIGH WIND HIGHLIGHTS MAY ALSO BE NEEDED FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MONTANA FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
MTZ008-052>055-261200-
BEAVERHEAD-JEFFERSON-BROADWATER-MEAGHER-GALLATIN-
545 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
MONTANA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR TONIGHT IS
LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
ANOTHER CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES OF SNOW OVER SOUTHWEST
MONTANA BY MONDAY NIGHT...AND WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS COULD BE
ISSUED LATER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST MONTANA.
ADDITIONALLY...STRONG RIDGE TOP WINDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY...AND HIGH WIND HIGHLIGHTS MAY ALSO BE NEEDED FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MONTANA FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
MTZ009>014-044>051-261200-
NORTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-EASTERN GLACIER-HILL-CASCADE-
CHOUTEAU-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LEWIS AND CLARK-TOOLE-LIBERTY-
EASTERN PONDERA-BLAINE-SOUTHERN ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT-
EASTERN TETON-JUDITH BASIN-FERGUS-
545 PM MST FRI FEB 25 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA...NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA FROM LATER TONIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING ON SATURDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY.
A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL
SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.
THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH ON SATURDAY...THAT THE
BLOWING SNOW COULD PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES ON
SATURDAY. THUS...THIS SITUATION IS BEING MONITORED CLOSELY FOR
POSSIBLE GROUND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES OF SNOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL
MONTANA BY MONDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES EARLY NEXT
WEEK OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT. THUS WINTER WEATHER
HIGHLIGHTS COULD BE ISSUED LATER THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA.
ADDITIONALLY...STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES FROM SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THUS HIGH WIND HIGHLIGHTS
MAY ALSO BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL MONTANA AT TIMES
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
Flood, Chouteau
- When
- February 25, 6:45 PM MST to February 28, 11:01 AM MST
- Where
- Chouteau County, 3 mi NE of Ft Benton Arpt to 3.5 mi NE of Ft Benton Arpt
- Cause
- Ice Jam
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 47.861, -110.604
Flooding occurred in low-lying areas on the north side of Fort Benton.
- Flood
- Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Kansas, February 25 to 26, 20113 deaths · 1 injured · $90,000 · 4 events
- Debris Flow and Flood in California, February 25, 20111 death · $240,000 · 5 events
- Strong Wind in North Carolina, February 25, 2011$3.0 million · 3 events
- Winter Storm and Avalanche in California, February 25 to 28, 2011$503,000 · 14 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in New Jersey, February 25, 2011$325,000 · 53 kt wind · 21 events
- Winter Storm in New York, February 25, 2011$325,000 · 17 events
- Damaging Winds in Tennessee, February 25, 2011$174,000 · 55 kt wind · 17 events
- High Wind and Strong Wind in Pennsylvania, February 25, 2011$215,000 · 55 kt wind · 10 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Vermont, February 25, 2011$140,000 · 16 events
- High Wind in Delaware, February 25, 2011$200,000 · 57 kt wind · 4 events
- High Wind in Tennessee, February 25, 2011$74,000 · 78 kt wind · 13 events
- High Wind in Virginia, February 25, 2011$53,000 · 55 kt wind · 17 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 370018.