Maine, 2011

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Maine, August 2, 2011

August 2, 2011 · NWS CAR · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Slow moving thunderstorms with heavy rain formed beneath an upper low. Localized flash flooding occurred in East Millinocket.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CAR wrote it up.

Slow moving thunderstorms with heavy rain formed beneath an upper low. Localized flash flooding occurred in East Millinocket. An isolated severe thunderstorm produced damaging winds in eastern Aroostook county.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Caribou, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 2, 5:45 AM EST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 2, 5:45 AM EST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
645 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE DROPPING SOUTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA
WILL SLIDE OVER THE AREA TODAY. THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF NOVA
SCOTIA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FRIDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...ADJUSTED SKY COVER PER LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.
MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPS/DEW POINTS. EXPECT
PATCHY FOG TO PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS MOST OF THE SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY
HAS MOVED INTO NEW BRUNSWICK AS SHORT WAVE EXITS TO THE EAST. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW DIVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE
TOWARD THE REGION. THE UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE
STATE TODAY AND THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST LATE TONIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM WILL KEEP UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. THE
COMBINATION OF THE COLD POOL ALOFT AND DIURNAL HEATING WILL LEAD
TO NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA TODAY ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. WILL MENTION THE
POSSIBILITY OF SMALL HAIL IN ANY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WITH THE UPPER
LOW AND COLD POOL ALOFT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. CURRENT THINKING
IS THAT ANY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS
GIVEN THE WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND LIMITED LOW LEVEL HEATING
EXPECTED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING
WITH THE LOSE OF DIURNAL HEATING AND AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE EXPECTED
TO BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S NORTH AND LOW TO MID 70S DOWNEAST. LOWS TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY
BE IN THE 50S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK ESE TO SOUTH OF NOVA
SCOTIA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH CYCLONIC FLOW AND COLD AIR ALOFT
STILL OVER THE REGION, SHOWERS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP WITH HEATING BY
LATE MORNING ACROSS THE REGION. THEN WITH LOSS OF HEATING, SHOWERS
WILL DISSIPATE AFTER SUNSET WEDNESDAY EVENING. BY THURSDAY UPPER
LOW WILL BE WELL SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA AS UPPER RIDGE APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. HOWEVER, MODELS STILL INDICATE ENOUGH INSTABILITY
WITH DEPARTING LOW FOR SHOWERS TO REDEVELOP LATE THURSDAY MORNING
BUT COVERAGE WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL BE MAINLY LESS THAN A HALF INCH BOTH DAYS EXCEPT FOR LOCALIZE
HIGHER AMOUNTS IN ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER RIDGE FINALLY BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT
PUTTING AN END TO DIURNAL SHOWERS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CREST THE STATE FRIDAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND COMFORTABLE
TEMPERATURES. NEXT TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST DURING THE
WEEKEND INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: MVFR/IFR IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING IN PATCHY
FOG...OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR IS EXPECTED TODAY. SHOWERS AND SCT
TSTMS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. VSBYS/CIGS
MAY BE BRIEFLY REDUCED IN AN HEAVIER SHOWERS/TSTMS. ANY LINGERING
SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT WITH MAINLY VFR.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXCEPT FOR BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS IN ANY AFTERNOON SHOWERS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD FOG WILL REDUCE VSBYS BELOW 1 NM IN
FOG EARLY THIS MORNING.

SHORT TERM: WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA CRITERIA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM...DUDA
SHORT TERM...FOSTER
LONG TERM...FOSTER
AVIATION...DUDA
MARINE...DUDA/FOSTER
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 2, 8:41 AM EST, 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
941 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-031345-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-
INTERIOR HANCOCK-CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-
COASTAL WASHINGTON-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
941 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...NORTH
CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE...SOUTHEAST MAINE AND WEST CENTRAL
MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED IN ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL COULD
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT ALREADY RECEIVED
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY'S EVENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED INTO TONIGHT.

ANZ050>052-031345-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT ME TO SCHOODIC POINT ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRACOASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT ME TO STONINGTON ME-
941 AM EDT TUE AUG 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS ALONG
WITH DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

HEWITT

The radar

The Caribou radar (KCBW), 74 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:15 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Penobscot

When
August 2, 9:15 AM EST to 10:15 AM EST
Where
Penobscot County, 1.22 mi ENE of East Millinocket to 2.61 mi ESE of (Mlt)millinocket Arp
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
45.626, -68.556

Slow moving thunderstorms producing up to 2.00 inches of rain per hour created flash flooding in East Millinocket. Water depths of up to a foot were reported on Main Street which was closed for a time.

Thunderstorm Wind, Aroostook

When
August 2, 3:45 PM EST
Where
Aroostook County, 0.69 mi N of Robinsons
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
46.480, -67.830

A tree was toppled on to power lines on Barrett Road by wind gusts estimated at 60 mph.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Maine in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Maine, August 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 339880, 339882.