Clusters of strong thunderstorms brought isolated tree damage and heavy rain to portions of eastern KY along the Tennessee border during the morning hours of June 19th.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Clusters of strong thunderstorms brought isolated tree damage and heavy rain to portions of eastern KY along the Tennessee border during the morning hours of June 19th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 19, 3:06 AM EST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 406 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 .SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...UPDATED INITIAL FOCUS FOR THE SHORT TERM CENTERS ON PRECIP AND SEVERE THREAT OVER ERN KY TODAY. AT 07Z...ANOTHER HEALTHY NOCTURNAL MCS WAS MOVING THRU MO INTO SRN IL AND HEADING TOWARDS WRN KY. MSAS INDICATED A STATIONARY/WARM FRONT RUNNING ALONG THE MO VALLEY TO THE MS/OH RIVER CONFLUENCE THEN SE TOWARDS THE CAROLINA COAST. A CLUSTER OF SCT TSTMS HAS BEEN ORGANIZING NORTH OF THIS FRONT OVER WRN AND SOUTHERN CENTRAL KY...JUST CLIPPING OUR SWRN COUNTIES. THE TRIGGER FOR THIS APPEARS TO BE A COMBINATION OF RELATIVELY WEAK LLJ CONVERGENCE OVERHEAD ALONG WITH MODEST ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE SHORT TERM GUIDANCE HAS A FAIRLY DECENT HANDLE ON THE CONVECTION UPSTREAM AND AS SUCH HAVE USED A BLEND OF THE HRRR AND RUC WITH AN EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT OBS FOR THE FIRST PERIOD. THEREAFTER...HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE GFS AND EURO FOR THE SYNOPTICS...AS THE NAM STILL APPEARS TO BE STRUGGLING WITH INITIALIZATION. SCT TSTMS OVER S/CENTRAL KY ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED TOWARDS DAWN...SPREADING EAST ACROSS OUR SRN COUNTIES THRU THE MORNING. WHATEVER IS LEFT OF THE MCS...AND THERE MAY BE QUITE A BIT LEFT...IS CURRENTLY ON PACE TO REACH THE I 75 CORRIDOR BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE CWA THRU THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD THRU THE AREA. GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS ARE NOT AS DRASTIC AS THE NAM...BUT CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE PLENTY OF INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH WITH A BIT OF A CAP. SOUNDINGS ALSO INDICATE A DECENT MID/LOWER LEVEL DRY LAYER CONDUCIVE FOR MIXING DOWN WINDS...WHICH MAY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH ANY TSTMS TODAY...ALONG WITH EPISODES OF HEAVY RAINFALL RATES THAT COULD BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE A FEW URBAN/SMALL STREAM PROBLEMS THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO POINT TOWARDS A MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT WITH AN ASSORTMENT OF SHORTWAVES TOPPING THE RIDGE AND RIDING DOWN ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT. THE GFS IS MOST PRONOUNCED WITH THESE FEATURES TONIGHT WITH A COUPLE OF VORTMAXES TRAVERSING ERN KY INTERACTING WITH A LINGERING LLJ. WITH A WARM FRONT EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE OHIO RIVER HAVE USED HIGHER POPS IN OUR NORTH AND EAST...WITH LOWER CHANCE POPS DOWN ALONG THE CUMBERLAND. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ON MONDAY ANY ROGUE SHORT WAVE COULD BE ENOUGH TO INDUCE A FEW SCT TSTMS HOWEVER...THE RIDGE CONTINUING TO BUILD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY MAY CURB ANY DEVELOPMENT. WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE DURING THIS WINDOW...HAVE KEPT THE LOW END CHANCE POPS THRU THE AFTERNOON. THE RIDGE THEN LOOKS TO SHIFT EAST MONDAY NIGHT BRINGING DRIER...QUIETER WEATHER TO THE AREA THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT TRICKEY TODAY AND WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH CONVECTION IS ACTUALLY REALIZED. IN GENERAL...HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE METMOS WHICH CONTINUES TO RUN A BIT MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN THE MAV...THOUGH STILL UNDERCUT HIGHS THRU THE PERIOD. ENDED UP TRIMMING HIGHS TODAY BACK TO THE LOWER 80S GIVEN THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND EFFECTS FROM EVAP COOLONG...WITH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY GENERALLY TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 60S. FOR TUESDAY...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S SEEMED REASONABLE. .LONG TERM.../TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/ THE LAST TWO GFS RUNS AS WELL AS THE 0Z ECMWF SUPPORT PREFRONTAL PRECIP REACHING THE CWA CLOSER TO 12Z WED THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. OPTED TO RAISE POPS ALONG THE WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES TO SLIGHT CHANCE LATE TUE NIGHT BASED ON THE THIS TREND. THERE ALSO APPEARS TO BE DECENT AGREEMENT ON PRECIP AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON WED IN THE BROAD LIFT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THE ASSOCIATED TROUGH AND PROBABLY A FEW WEAKER LEAD SHORTWAVES. WITH THIS IN MIND OPTED TO INCREASE POPS ON WED AS WELL...WITH THE HIGHEST POPS IN THE WEST CLOSEST TO THE BOUNDARY AND POSSIBLE UPPER JET DYNAMICS. SOME RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS SHOULD COME INTO PLAY ON WED NIGHT PER RECENT GFS AND ECMWF RUNS SO HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS SUFFICE FOR NOW AND MAY NEED TO BE RAISED EVEN HIGHER IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES. OTHER THAN THE POP ADJUSTMENTS EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND CORRESPONDING INCREASES IN SKY COVER...NO ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS GENERALLY SUPPORTED BY RECENT EXTENDED MODEL RUNS AND TRENDS. THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM DISCUSSION FOLLOWS: MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURES THROUGH THE EXTENDED. WE START OUT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...THAT QUICKLY SUCCUMBS TO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKE REGION. MAIN DIFFERENCES IN SOLUTIONS ARE CENTERED AROUND SHORT WAVE ENERGY ROUNDING AND TRANSITING THE BASE OF THE MAIN TROUGH... AND THE TIMING OF THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS THROUGH THE AREA. CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST IS ABOUT AVERAGE. INHERITED FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE. MAIN CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WERE TO TWEAK THE FORECAST TOWARDS THE LATEST TRENDS IN SOLUTIONS. FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER...MAIN EVENT APPEARS TO BE A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL PUSH ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA ON DY5...THURSDAY. DID INCREASE POPS JUST A BIT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WITH RELATIVELY STABLE RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY. BUT TRENDS IN THE GFS SEEM TO BE A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE FRONT. HOWEVER WAS NOT READY TO BUY TOTALLY INTO THAT LINE OF THOUGHT JUST YET...THAT FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST. OTHERWISE...LEFT SOME REMNANT OF POPS THROUGH FRIDAY TO ALLOW THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE REGION. FOR TEMPS PREFERRED TO KEEP THEM HIGHER ON TUESDAY... LOWER TO MID 90S WHICH MAY BE OUR WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK. IF TIMING IS CORRECT...CLOUDS AND AN INCREASING THREAT OF RAIN WILL TEMPER DAILY HIGHS A BIT WEDNESDAY AND EVEN MORE SO ON THURSDAY. WE CAN LOOK FORWARD TO COOLER TEMPS...NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR WEEKS END BEHIND THE COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE WARM AND MUGGY UNTIL WE GET A CHANGE IN THE AIR MASS BY THE END OF THE WEEK. DID MAKE MORE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO TEMPS AS THEY WERE ADJUSTED TOWARDS MODEL CONSENSUS...WITH A BIT OF BIAS CORRECTION ADDED IN FOR GOOD MEASURE. THIS RESULTED IN AFTERNOON HIGHS DOWN AROUND THE 80 DEGREE MARK FOR THE LAST FEW DAYS OF THE FORECAST... AND OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 60. && .AVIATION.../06Z TO 06Z/ COMBINATION OF LIGHT SFC WINDS AND A BKN TO OVC CIG AROUND 4 KFT OVER SERN KY APPEARS TO BE STAVING OF THE FOG IN MOST LOCATIONS TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY ISSUE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE FCST WILL BE AN MCS MOVING THRU MO AND INTO SRN IL AT ISSUANCE WHICH IS ON PACE TO REACH SME AND LOZ AROUND 12Z. BASED ON A SIMILAR SET UP AS YESTERDAY...HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS WITHIN ANY TSTMS ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS THRU THE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN RETURN TO THE TERMINALS AROUND LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THRU THE BULK OF THE AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE BRINGING ANOTHER WAVE OF TSTMS ACROSS ERN KY DURING THE LATE EVENING...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS IN ANY TSTMS TO AT LEAST LOW END MVFR. CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING AND IMPACTS WITH THIS SECOND ROUND IS NOT THAT HIGH...SO HAVE USED VCTS AND CB GROUPS FROM 20.00Z THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...MB LONG TERM...RAY/JP AVIATION...MB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 438 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-201100- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 438 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. THROUGH THIS EVENING... SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT...THOUGH HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL RATES THAT MAY LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCED HEAVY RAINFALL ON SATURDAY WILL BE MOST PRONE TO ANY FLASH FLOODING TODAY OR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...AND AGAIN FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INCIDENTS OF SEVERE WEATHER OR HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCUR TODAY OR TONIGHT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY...OR THEIR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT. MB/JP
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 507 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 KYZ087-190930- BELL- 507 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTY THROUGH 530 AM EDT SUNDAY MORNING... SOUTHERN BELL. AT 507 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NOETOWN...OR NEAR MIDDLESBORO...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...MIDDLESBORO AND CUMBERLAND GAP NATIONAL HISTORIC PARK AROUND 510 AM EDT...AND HUTCH AROUND 515 AM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. PELTON
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 511 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 KYZ083-084-190945- WAYNE-MCCREARY- 511 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2011 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 545 AM EDT SUNDAY MORNING... WAYNE AND MCCREARY. AT 510 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ZULA...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALBANY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...HIDALGO AROUND 515 AM EDT...COOPER AROUND 520 AM EDT...MONTICELLO AND BARRIER AROUND 525 AM EDT...COOPERSVILLE AROUND 530 AM EDT...KIDDS CROSSING AROUND 535 AM EDT...RURAL WESTERN PORTIONS OF MCCREARY COUNTY IN THE DANIEL BOONE NATIONAL FOREST AROUND 540 AM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF OVER ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. PELTON
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 102 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:01 UTC.
2 heavy rain, 1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A measured of rainfall of 2.70 inches occurred near Strunk. March Creek was running high but within its banks.
A tree was blown down and across Hwy 200 in the Number One community.
An inch of rain fell in Hollyhill.
Minor street flooding was noted in Somerset, with the water covering roads and rising to the tops of curbs in some places.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 316988, 316987, 316989, 316990.