A strong wind gust was observed in the far southwest part of Kansas.
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The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.
A strong wind gust was observed in the far southwest part of Kansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 3:31 PM CST, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 331 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 .DISCUSSION... DAYS 1-2... A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS APPROACHING THE HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS SYSTEM IN SLIGHTLY CONFLUENT FLOW AS IT PASSES ACROSS OUR AREA AND ON TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. A COLD SURGE WAS ALREADY DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AND THIS SURGE WILL STRENGTHEN THIS EVENING IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF OUR AREA ALONG THE DRYLINE/FRONT INTERSECTION AND PROGRESS INTO OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD BE SEVERE UNTIL THE STORMS MOVE DEEPER INTO THE COLD AIR. (**NOTE THAT AS OF 3 PM, THERE WAS A NARROW AREA OF MODERATE CAPE AND STRONG SHEAR ACROSS SOUTHERN BARBER AND SOUTHEAST COMANCHE COUNTIES**). IT SHOULD BE JUST WARM ENOUGH ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY EARLY THIS EVENING TO KEEP PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN FOR AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF DODGE CITY, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THAT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES EVEN ACROSS FAR NORTHERN KANSAS WERE AT OR ABOVE FREEZING. ALSO, DEWPOINTS WERE NEAR 30F AT HILL CITY AND CONCORDIA. SOME SNOW, DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS PASSES ACROSS OUR AREA LATER IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, BUT ANY PRECIPITATION OUGHT TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT. FOR THE MOST PART THE MODELS KEEP ANY MOISTURE AT LOW LEVELS, WITH A CAPPING INVERSION ABOVE. THE NAM IS THE ONLY MODEL THAT DEVELOPS STRONG ENOUGH FRONTOGENESIS/LIFT TO ERODE THIS CAP AND WE ARE LEANING AGAINST THIS SCENARIO. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO WESTERN KANSAS LATER TONIGHT AFTER THE PRECIPITATION ENDS, ALONG WITH SOME CLEARING. THIS SHOULD ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S. RATHER BENIGN WEATHER WILL RETURN BY MONDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL BE IN FAR WESTERN KANSAS CLOSER TO THE LEE TROUGH. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRAVERSE THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES MONDAY NIGHT AND HELP PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO WESTERN KANSAS BY TUESDAY. THE NAM AND ECMWF SHOW THE FRONT STALLING IN OUR SOUTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES. TEMPERATURES COULD WARM TO NEAR 70 ALONG THE OKLAHOMA BORDER WITH 60S FURTHER NORTH. DAYS 3-7... THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET. A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. A FLAT RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE MIDWEST INTO THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL ERODE OUT OF THE HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES EAST AND BROAD TROUGHING MOVES INTO THE WESTERN STATES. THE FORECAST BECOMES A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND. THE 00Z RUNS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOWED A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND DIGGING SOMEWHAT AS IT MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. THE 00Z ECMWF WAS SLOWER AND DEEPER THAN THE OTHER MODELS AND SHOWED THE UPPER SYSTEM CLOSING OFF OVER NORTHERN TEXAS ON SATURDAY WHILE THE GFS AND CANADIAN WERE MORE PROGRESSIVE. THE 12Z RUNS HAVE TENDED TO MATCH UP CLOSER WITH THE ECMWF NOW MORE OPEN AND PROGRESSIVE. THE GOING FORECAST HAS SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN OR SNOW ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY WORK OUT WELL IF A MORE PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION BEARS OUT. WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST AS IS FOR NOW. HAVE ONLY MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPERATURES. OUT INTO WEEK TWO THE MODELS ARE ALL CONTINUING THE TREND TOWARD ZONAL FLOW AND ARE HINTING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF ANOTHER WAVE DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS AT AROUND 228 TO 240 HOURS. WILL CONTINUE THE TREND FOR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION. .AVIATION... LIFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE AT HAYS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. AT GARDEN CITY AND DODGE CITY EXPECT CIGS/VSBYS TO DROP TO MVFR/IFR CATEGORIES AFTER 23Z AS COLD AIR BEGINS TO SURGE SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA. THERE COULD BE A PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OR LIGHT SNOW FROM AROUND 02Z-04Z BEHIND THE FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO THE TAF SITES AFTER 06Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 22 54 28 66 / 40 0 0 0 GCK 21 55 27 66 / 40 0 0 0 EHA 21 58 29 68 / 10 0 0 0 LBL 23 57 28 70 / 30 0 0 0 HYS 19 48 28 60 / 40 0 0 0 P28 26 53 29 67 / 30 0 0 0 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ074>076-084>087. RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ074-084>086. && FN24/02
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 329 AM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-281000- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 329 AM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 /229 AM MST SUN FEB 27 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT EAST OF LINE FROM WAKEENEY TO COLDWATER, UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING. EXPECT LOW VISIBILITIES FROM 1/4 TO 1/2-MILE, AND POOR DRIVING CONDITIONS. THERE IS A WIND ADVISORY POSTED FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST TODAY, SOUTH OF A LINE FROM JOHNSON CITY TO MEADE. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS THIS STRONG WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. FURTHERMORE, A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS, FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM CST TODAY. CONDITIONS FOR WILD FIRES WILL BE CRITICAL AND OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE AVOIDED. LASTLY, THERE IS CHANCE FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6 PM TO 10 PM CST, EAST OF A LINE FROM HAYS TO MEDICINE LODGE. SOME SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS, BUT SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC 12
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 328 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 KSZ089-090-272215- BARBER-COMANCHE- 328 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COMANCHE AND SOUTHERN BARBER COUNTIES... AT 323 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AETNA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LAT...LON 3731 9894 3726 9844 3700 9886 3701 9931 TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 234DEG 34KT 3704 9903 RUSSELL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
348 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM HAIL 7 WSW AETNA 37.06N 99.09W
02/27/2011 E0.25 INCH COMANCHE KS PUBLIC
&&
MRUSSELLThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A 59 mph wind gust was observed at the Hugoton airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, February 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 287266.