Colorado, 2011Winter Storm in Colorado, May 1, 2011
May 1, 2011 · NWS PUB · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
A Winter storm produced over 8 inches of snow in the southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains. Maysville (Chaffee County) and Rye (Pueblo County) while 6 inches was measured near Monte Vista (Rio Grande County).
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A Winter storm produced over 8 inches of snow in the southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains. Some of the higher reported snow totals not in the southern mountains included 5 inches near La Veta (Huerfano County)...Maysville (Chaffee County) and Rye (Pueblo County) while 6 inches was measured near Monte Vista (Rio Grande County). In addition...an isolated 9 inches was noted 5 miles northwest of Capulin (Conejos County).
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 2:14 PM MST, 10 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 2:14 PM MST, 10 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
314 PM MDT SAT APR 30 2011
.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND SUNDAY)
...MAIN CONCERNS IS SNOW ACROSS THE S MTNS FOLLOWED BY FREEZING
TEMPS ON THE PLAINS...
CURRENTLY...ANOTHER COLD FRONT WAS SURGING DOWN THE PLAINS AT THIS
TIME (2 PM). FRONT EXTENDED FROM THE PUEBLO/EL PASO BORDER SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH OF LAMAR. SKIES WERE GENERALLY CLEAR SOUTH OF THE FRONT
WHILE NORTH OF THE FRONT SKIES WERE BEGINNING TO CLOUD UP. UP IN THE
C MTNS...SNOW WAS OCCURRING AS PER RADAR AND KLXV OBS.
TONIGHT...
SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE S MTNS. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO PAINT
THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE WET MTNS AND THE S SANGRE DE
CRISTO MTNS....WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE N SANGRES.
SIMULATIONS HAVE BACKED OFF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS TELLER
COUNTY...AND FOR THIS REASON HAVE CANCELLED THE SNOW ADVISORY FOR
MOST OF TELLER COUNTY (I DID KEEP THE ADVISORY FOR THE TOP OF PIKES
PEAK).
I AM CONCERNED THAT NOT MUCH SNOW WILL FALL ALONG AND EAST OF THE
I-25 CORRIDOR...AND HAVE BACKED OFF POPS CONSIDERABLY THIS REGION.
THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE DOWN NEAR KTAD WHERE SNOW WILL
FALL OVER THE RATON MESA AND THEN BACK OVER THE S SANGRES. THE NAM
WAS MOST PESSIMISTIC WITH PRECIP WHILE THE GFS STILL HAD SOME LIGHT
QPF. HOWEVER...ALL SIMULATIONS ARE BACKING OFF OF THE PRECIP OVER
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. I SHOULD ADD THE 18Z NAM JUST CAME IN...AND IT
HAS NO PRECIP FALLING OVER COLORADO SPRINGS OR PUEBLO.
THIS SYSTEM HAS FAIRLY DEEP EASTERLIES WITH IT AND THESE EASTERLIES
WILL WORK THEIR WAY INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. LIKEWISE...WE SHOULD
SEE A GOOD CHANCE OF SNOW OVER THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SAN JUANS
LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS SNOW WILL FALL ON THE
VALLEY FLOOR AND HAVE INTRODUCED A SNOW ADVISORY FOR ALL OF THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...MOST OF THE HEAVIER SNOW WILL FALL
ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE VALLEY NEAR THE SAN JUANS AND LAGARITAS.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALL OF THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS...AND THE FREEZE WARNING CONTINUES IN AFFECT FOR
TONIGHT. AS A REMINDER...FREEZE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED IF TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED TO GO BELOW FREEZING ON OR AFTER 01 MAY OVER THE SE
COLORADO REGION.
SUNDAY...
SNOW WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE S EXTENT OF THE CWA
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING...THIS INCLUDES THE RATON MESA...S
SANGRES...S SAN LUIS VALLEY AND THE E SLOPES OF THE SAN JUANS.
OVERALL SNOW AMOUNTS IN THE FAVORABLE AREAS OF THE WETS AND S
SANGRES SHOULD SEE UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW WITH THIS EVENT. 4-8"
SHOULD FALL OVER THE REST OF THE MTNS EXCEPT THE TOP OF PIKES PEAK
WHICH SHOULD SEE 3-6".
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COOL WITH HIGHS ONLY EXPECTED IN THE 40S
ACROSS MOST OF THE PLAINS...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES UP IN EL PASO
COUNTY (30S). \/HODANISH
.LONG TERM...
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
PRIMARY LONGER TERM METEOROLOGICAL CONCERNS INCLUDE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION OVER PORTIONS OF CWFA FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY...TEMPERATURES(INITIALLY UNSEASONABLY COOL AND THEN
MODERATING TEMPERATURE TREND) AND POTENTIAL STRONG TO POSSIBLY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN CWFA ON
FRIDAY.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF MY
LONGER TERM CYCLE(ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN 2/3RDS OF THE CWFA) AS
UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO AT 00Z MONDAY SLOWLY
SHIFTS INTO THE WESTERN KANSAS/FAR EAST-CENTRAL REGION BY 18Z MONDAY
AND THEN WELL EAST OF THE CWFA BY 06Z TUESDAY.
AS THIS MOVES NEAR THE REGION...HAVE PAINTED ADDITIONAL SNOW
AMOUNTS FROM A TRACE OR LESS TO LOCALIZED 4 INCH AMOUNTS(BASICALLY
OVER SECTIONS OF ZONES 74 AND 75) OVER PORTIONS OF THE CWFA FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO LATE MONDAY.
IN ADDITION TO THE GENERALLY LIGHT SNOW...HAVE ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH OVER ZONES 83>89 AND 93>99 FROM 08Z TO 15Z MONDAY AS MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES ARE PROJECTED TO DROP BELOW 32F OVER THE MAJORITY OF
THIS AREA BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
WARMER AND MORE TRANQUIL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER THE CWFA FROM LATER TUESDAY INTO NEXT SATURDAY AS
GENERALLY DRY NORTHWESTERLY TO ZONAL FLOW COVERS THE REGION.
SOME GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM LATER TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT WHILE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE NOTED FROM LATER TUESDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH WELL ABOVE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED BY NEXT SATURDAY. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE WARMEST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES OF THE
LONGER TERM SHOULD BE NOTED FRIDAY AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY.
IN ADDITION TO THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE EARLY
MAY CONDITIONS MAY MATERIALIZE OVER EASTERN SECTIONS BY FRIDAY AS
ADVECTING DEEPER ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE ALLOWS LOCALIZED LIS TO DROP
TO -4C...LOCALIZED CAPES NEAR 1000 J/KG IN COMBINATION WITH 0 TO
6 KM BULK SHEARS OF AROUND 50 KNOTS. AT THIS TIME...HAVE ADDED
ISOLATED THUNDER INTO EASTERN GRIDS OF FRIDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS
POTENTIAL STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT. WFO PUEBLO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY.
FINALLY...LONGER TERM MINIMUM TEMPERATURES SHOULD HOVER WITHIN A
CATEGORY OR TWO OF CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES MOST AREAS FROM
WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
&&
.AVIATION...
HAVE BACKED OFF PRECIP CHANCES AND ASSOCIATED LOWER CIGS ACROSS KCOS
AND KPUB FOR TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW. BRUNT OF PRECIP SHOULD FALL
TO THE WEST OF THE TWO TAF SITES...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF BETWEEN
04Z AND 10Z. WITH NORTHERLY FLOW...FLOW WILL BE DOWNSLOPE ACROSS THE
TAF SITES AND CIGS SHOULD NOT GET INTO THE IFR CATEGORY.
I SHOULD STATE THAT THE GFS MODEL IS A BIT MORE PESSIMISTIC AND
INFERS LOWER CIGS AND LONGER PDS OF PRECIP LATER TONIGHT...BUT HAVE
DISCOUNTED THIS SIMULATION AS TRENDS IN THE GUIDANCE OVER THE LAST
FEW RUNS HAVE BEEN DRYER CONDITIONS.
KALS WILL BE THE PROBLEM CHILD THIS FCST PD. DEEP EASTERLY UPSLOPE
IS ANTICIPATED AND THE EASTERLIES WILL GET INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.
LIKEWISE...WE SHOULD SEE SOME UPSLOPE CONDITIONS FORMING ON THE E
SLOPES OF THE SAN JUAN MTNS AND SOME OF THE PRECIP SHOULD MOVE OVER
KALS. MAY NEED TO PLAY UP THE SNOW A BIT MORE IN THE KALS TAF...BUT
WILL WAIT TIL THE 18Z NAM TO COME IN TO MAKE ANY AMENDMENTS TO THE
TAF. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FALL IN
ALAMOSA...WITH 2-3" POSSIBLE. IF IT SNOWS IT WILL BE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.
&&
.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
COZ083>089-093>099.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM MDT SUNDAY FOR COZ083>089-
093>099.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR COZ058-060>063-065>073-076>078-082-087-088.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM MDT SUNDAY
FOR COZ074-075-079-080.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 5:58 PM MST, 7 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
658 PM MDT SAT APR 30 2011
COZ058>089-093>099-020100-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
658 PM MDT SAT APR 30 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW WILL BRING SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS EXPECTED. THE SOUTHERN
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS WILL SEE THE GREATEST
ACCUMULATIONS WITH 10 TO 17 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE BY MID AFTERNOON
SUNDAY. THE REMAINING MOUNTAIN AREAS COULD SEE 4 TO 10 INCHES OF
SNOW. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE LOWER ELEVATION AREAS ADJACENT TO THE MOUNTAINS.
THE OTHER CONCERN IS THE COLD AIR SETTLING IN OVER THE REGION.
LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED
TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S FOR SEVERAL HOURS. SINCE THE GROWING
SEASON HAS ALREADY STARTED ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...A FREEZE
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PLAINS FOR LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY. GROWERS ARE ADVISED TO PROTECT SENSITIVE PLANTS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
A WINTRY STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS COLORADO THROUGH LATE
MONDAY...PRODUCING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE
SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS. SOME
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING.
ANOTHER PERIOD OF BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES IS LIKELY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS MONDAY MORNING. GROWERS ARE AGAIN ADVISED TO
PROTECT SENSITIVE PLAINTS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY OVER THE MOUNTAINS...HIGH VALLEYS AND ADJACENT LOWER
ELEVATION AREAS TONIGHT.
50/50
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 30, 11:25 PM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1225 AM MDT SUN MAY 01 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM SNOW BEULAH 38.08N 104.98W
05/01/2011 M1.2 INCH PUEBLO CO TRAINED SPOTTER
STARTED AROUND 7 PM.
1220 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
05/01/2011 M2.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER
STARTED AROUND 9 PM
&&Winter Storm, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 & 11000 Ft
- When
- May 1, 1:00 AM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 & 11000 Ft forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.426, -104.809 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Winter Storm, Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft
- When
- May 1, 1:00 AM MST to 3:00 PM MST
- Where
- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.426, -104.809 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- Winter Storm
- A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flooding in Arkansas, May 1 to 31, 20114 deaths · $6.6 million · 14 events
- Flooding in Arkansas, May 1 to 31, 20112 deaths · $250 million · 45 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, May 1 to 2, 20111 death · 5 injured · $471,000 · 2.75 in hail · 81 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Arkansas, May 1 to 2, 20111 death · $3.7 million · EF1 · 28 events
- Flooding in Tennessee, May 1 to 31, 2011$2.0 billion · 5 events
- Flooding in Mississippi, May 1 to 31, 2011$1.0 billion · 3 events
- Drought in Texas, May 1 to 31, 2011$245 million · 24 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Missouri, May 1 to 31, 2011$295 million · 13 events
- Flooding in North Dakota, May 1 to 31, 2011$110 million · 4 events
- Flooding in Kentucky, May 1 to 31, 2011$32 million · 13 events
- Flash Flood and Flooding in Kentucky, May 1 to 10, 2011$9.3 million · 23 events
- Wildfire in New Mexico, May 1 to 31, 201113 injured · $150,000 · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 316699, 316700.