Colorado, 2011

Winter Storm in Colorado, February 24 to 26, 2011

February 24 to 26, 2011 · NWS PUB · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A weather disturbance brought moisture and generated heavy snow over the highest elevations of the eastern Sawatch Range and eastern San Juan Mountains. 23 inches of snow occurred.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PUB wrote it up.

A weather disturbance brought moisture and generated heavy snow over the highest elevations of the eastern Sawatch Range and eastern San Juan Mountains. For example...21 inches of snow was measured near the summit of Monarch Pass in Chaffee county...and around the summit of Wolf Creek Pass in Mineral County...23 inches of snow occurred.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 23, 3:43 PM MST, 9 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 3:43 PM MST, 9 hours 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
343 PM MST WED FEB 23 2011

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)

CURRENTLY...

WEAK BOUNDARY HAS BACKED INTO THE REGION AS WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO AN
UPSLOPE COMPONENT ACROSS ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS. THIS UPSLOPE
FLOW ALSO AIDED BY FALLING PRESSURES OVER THE WESTERN PART OF THE
STATE. OVERALL...SKIES STILL CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION...AND TEMPS ARE
RATHER MILD...WITH 50S EVERYWHERE ACROSS THE PLAINS. I AM A LITTLE
BIT SURPRISED AS THE WARMEST TEMPS ARE OVER THE FAR E PLAINS...WITH
CURRENT TEMPS IN THE U50S.

SYSTEM WHICH WILL BRING A CHANGE TO THE WEATHER WAS LOCATED OVER S
CALIF AND WAS QUICKLY ADVANCING EASTWARD.

TONIGHT...

THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR TONIGHT WILL BE CLOUDS ON THE PLAINS (WHERE
AND HOW FAR WEST) AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME FREEZING PRECIP OVER
PARTS OF THE PLAINS.

WITH UPSLOPE INCREASING THROUGH THE EVENING...LOWER LEVELS WILL
SATURATE. THIS SHOWN ON NEARLY ALL GUIDANCE. I AN VERY CONFIDENT FAR
E PLAINS WILL CLOUD OVER ALONG WITH AREAS OVER THE PALMER DIVIDE (N
EL PASO CNTY)...BUT OTHER AREAS ARE A BIT MORE PROBLEMATIC.
ADDITIONALLY...WE MAY SEE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE OVER THE FAR E
PLAINS TONIGHT. BUFFKIT SOUNDINGS WERE QUITE SATURATED IN THE LOWER
LEVELS WITH FREEZING TEMPS THROUGHOUT. FOR THIS REASON ADDED THE
POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING DRIZZLE/FOG IN THE GRIDDS FOR PARTS OF THE
REGION.

SNOWS WILL BEGIN TO RAMP UP OVER THE MTNS. SW MTNS WILL BE INITIALLY
FAVORED AND HAVE 1-3" OF SNOW OVER THE SAN JUANS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
SNOW WILL BE DURING THE 06-12Z TIME FRAME.

THURSDAY...

TROUGH AXIS AT MID LVLS WILL BE OVER THE C PART OF THE STATE AT 12Z
AND IT WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD. LIKEWISE I EXPECT THE
MTNS/VALLEYS TO CLEAR OUT PRETTY QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW. THE
EXCEPTION WILL BE THE C MTNS ALONG THE CONTDVD WHERE SNOWS WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE WITH THE WNW 700 MB FLOW. THE PAC FRONT SHOULD BE
ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION AROUND 15Z...REACHING AREAS EAST OF
KLHX BY 18Z BEFORE STALLING. A FAIRLY STOUT SFC WESTERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS BEHIND THE FRONT...AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW AREAS ALONG THE
I-25 CORRIDOR TO WARM UP TO THE L50S. HOWEVER..AREAS OUT EAST WILL
LIKELY REMAIN QUITE COOL WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE U30S TO L40S.

AS THE BETTER FORCING MOVES ACROSS THE FAR E PLAINS TOMORROW MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON...WE COULD SEE SOME RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
THIS REGION. \/HODANISH

.LONG TERM...
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)

...HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PUBLIC ZONES 58>61 AND
67>68 FROM 00Z FRIDAY TO 00Z SUNDAY...

ACTIVE METEOROLOGICAL PERIOD DURING THE LONGER TERM WITH RECENT
LONGER TERM COMPUTER SIMULATIONS DEPICTING A RELATIVELY LONG
DURATION MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW EVENT OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
MOUNTAINS.

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY FROM LATER THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO LATE SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT
SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER ZONES 58>61 AND 67>68
DURING THIS TIME-FRAME AND THEREFORE HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR THESE AREAS.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CWFA FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
...ANTICIPATE GENERALLY LOW-GRADE TO NIL POPS IN COMBINATION WITH
GENERALLY BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

LATEST LONGER TERM MODELS ARE NOW HAVING SOME ISSUES ON TRACK OF
LATE WEEKEND SYSTEM WITH COMBINATION OF 18Z/23RD GFS40 AND
12Z/23RD ECMWF STILL SUGGESTING THAT A PROGRESSIVE CLOSED UPPER
LOW SITUATED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AT 00Z SUNDAY MOVES ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA SATURDAY NIGHT AND THEN ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO SUNDAY BEFORE SHIFTING INTO NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA BY EARLY EVENING
SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE PUSHING WELL EAST OF THE CWFA BY SUNRISE
MONDAY. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE 18Z NAM12/DGEX SUGGESTS THAT THE
PROJECTED INCOMING UPPER SYSTEM WILL BE QUITE A BIT FURTHER NORTH
WITH CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING FROM NORTHEASTERN UTAH AT 12Z SUNDAY
INTO EAST-CENTRAL COLORADO BY 18Z SUNDAY AND THEN WELL EAST OF THE
CWFA BY SUNRISE MONDAY.

SO FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING HAVE PAINTED/DEPICTED SCATTERED POPS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WITH GENERALLY ISOLATED POPS ELSEWHERE. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS SHOULD BE NOTED WITH THIS
SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY FROM LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.

A RETURN TO MORE TRANQUIL AND DRIER METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS AS
WELL AS WARMER TEMPERATURES SHOULD THEN BE NOTED IN THE WAKE OF
THE LATE WEEKEND SYSTEM WITH WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE LONGER
TERM EXPECTED FROM MONDAY INTO NEXT WEDNESDAY...I.E. A RETURN OF
SOME 60+ DEGREE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE READINGS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...

WE MAY SEE SOME LOW CIGS LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING AT KCOS
AND KPUB. UPSLOPE FLOW HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED AND IT WILL MOISTEN AS
THE NIGHTTIME PROGRESSES, FOR NOW BELIEVE PRIMARY CONCERNS WILL BE
STRATUS AS I DONT THINK IT WILL MOISTEN ENOUGH FOR FZDZ TO OCCUR AT
THE 2 TAF SITES. THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS WILL BE FROM ROUGHLY 09Z TO
13Z. AFTER 13Z...A PAC FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE TAF SITES AND WE
SHOULD QUICKLY DRY 0UT AS 700 MB FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY AND SFC WINDS
TRANSITION FROM UPSLOPE TO DOWNSLOPE BEHIND THE FROPA.

WE COULD SEE SOME GUSTY WEST WINDS AT TIMES AT THE KCOS AND KPUB
TOMORROW AFTER FROPA.

KALS SHOULD REMAIN DRY FOR THE MOST PART. WE COULD SEE SOME PASSING
SNOW SHOWERS...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FROM ROUGHLY 06Z TO 12Z
TOMORROW.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON FOR COZ058>061-067-068.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 5:46 PM MST, 7 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
546 PM MST WED FEB 23 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-250100-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
546 PM MST WED FEB 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO AND
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO LATE TONIGHT...SPREADING SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AND
CLOUDS...FOG AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS. LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...AND THE SAWATCH RANGE. THE REMAINDER
OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL SEE SPOTTY ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH OR
TWO ACROSS THE HIGHER AREAS. LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FOG ALONG
WITH A FEW FLURRIES WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT...MAINLY FROM LA JUNTA EASTWARD...ALTHOUGH
ANY ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SPOTTY AND VERY LIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...AS A COUPLE OF WEATHER SYSTEMS AFFECT COLORADO THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MODERATE SNOWFALL FOR THE EASTERN SAN JUANS...AND THE MOUNTAINS
OF CHAFFEE AND LAKE COUNTY. SNOW MAY FALL HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS
THIS AREA ON SATURDAY AS THE STRONGER SYSTEM MOVES INTO ARIZONA
AND UTAH. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THIS REGION. THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS WILL SEE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH SOME SPOTTY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS
THE HIGHER AREAS. ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...THIS APPROACHING
SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF FOG...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT
SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...THOUGH ANY
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.

THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW MEXICO ON SUNDAY AND MAY BRING A
QUICK SHOT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH
STRONG GUSTY NORTH WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

THERE ARE STILL SOME UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE TRACK OF THIS
STORM SYSTEM AND THE RESULTING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. PLEASE MONITOR
THE LATEST FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THIS DEVELOPING
WINTER STORM. BE PREPARED FOR WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND THE FAR
SOUTHEAST PLAINS TONIGHT.

31/23

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft

When
February 24, 1:00 AM MST to February 26, 11:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
37.484, -106.500 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Winter Storm, Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Ft

When
February 25, 4:00 AM MST to February 26, 11:00 AM MST
Where
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Ft forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
38.677, -106.274 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Colorado in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Colorado, February 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 282599, 282598.