Colorado, 2011High Wind in Colorado, February 16 to 17, 2011
February 16 to 17, 2011 · NWS PUB · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Strong winds occurred across scattered areas of the I-25 corridor. Winds gusted to 58 mph near Aguilar (Las Animas County).
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong winds occurred across scattered areas of the I-25 corridor. Winds gusted to 58 mph near Aguilar (Las Animas County).
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 16, 5:42 PM MST, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 5:42 PM MST, 5 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
542 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011
.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO EXPIRE THE RED FLAG WARNING AT 6 PM. WINDS CONTINUE TO
GUST ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO THIS EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE GUSTS THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE ALONG AND WEST OF THE
SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR. HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE BEEN SLOWLY
INCREASING THIS EVENING AND ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING IN THE 15 TO 25
PERCENT RANGE. EVERYTHING ELSE IN THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD WITH NO
OTHER UPDATES EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MOZLEY
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 323 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011/
SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)
..WIND AND SNOW TO THE WEST...
..WIND AND FIRE TO THE EAST...
LOTS OF WX FOR THE NEXT 24 H. CURRENTLY...RED FLAG WARNING HAS
UNFORTUNATELY VERIFIED WITH TWO LARGE GRASS FIRES ONGOING ACROSS THE
PLAINS. WINDS CONTINUE TO BE STRONG OUT OF THE DUE WEST THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS IN THE 30-45 MPH RANGE. DEWPOINTS HAVE COME
IN VERY LOW...WELL BELOW MODEL GUIDANCE...WITH RH IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS MOST SPOTS OVR THE PLAINS. TEMPS ALSO QUITE HIGH...IN THE
UPPER 70S OVR THE FAR ERN PLAINS. TEMP AT KPUB...HOWEVER...MAXED OUT
EARLY DESPITE STRONG W WINDS...SO SOME COOLING ALOFT IS LIKELY
ONGOING WITH I-25 TEMPS HITTING AN ADIABATIC MAX EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. RED FLAG SHOULD END AS EXPECTED WITH RHS RISING BY
SUNSET...AND WINDS RELAXING A BIT. HAVE CONVERTED THE FIRE WX WATCH
TOMORROW TO A RED FLAG IN ANTICIPATION OF EVEN STRONGER WINDS. RH
TOMORROW MIGHT BE BORDERLINE...CLOSER TO THE UPPER TEENS FOR SPOTS
ON THE PLAINS...BUT CLOSE ENOUGH WITH STRONG SW WINDS TO JUSTIFY THE
WARNING. TEMPS TOMORROW PROBABLY A GOOD 10-15 DEG LOWER THAN TODAY
AS COOLER AIR MOVES IN ALOFT...BUT RH STILL FAIRLY LOW WITH THE DRY
DOWNSLOPE WINDS E OF THE MTNS.
OUT WEST...SNOW HAS STARTED TO FLY OVR THE DIVIDE. NAM12 CONTINUES
TO BACK OFF ON QPF...WITH PROBABLY HALF THE MODEL QPF OF YESTERDAYS'
RUNS. HOWEVER...BOTH GFS AND NAM PROGGED ZERO QPF FOR THE SW MTNS
THIS AFTERNOON...AND IT HAS BEEN SNOWING MODERATELY AT WOLF CREEK
ALL AFTERNOON PER WEB CAMS! SO...OBVIOUSLY THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE
THAT OROGRAPHICS ARE BRINGING IN SNOWFALL FOR THE DVD. BELIEVE THAT
CURRENT SNOW ESTIMATES OF 5-8 INCHES N...AND 8-16 SOUTH...ARE
PROBABLY ON TRACK...BUT WILL CUT BACK AMOUNTS A BIT ESPECIALLY FOR
THE SW MTNS. STILL EXPECTING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH TOMORROW AS
THE UPPER JET SLIDES DIRECTLY OVR THE 4 CORNERS AND SW CO TOMORROW
MORN. PROBABLY SOME GUSTS ABOVE 70 MPH FOR THE HIGH PASSES AND
RIDGES.
HAVE ALSO ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR AS WELL AS THE WETS...SANGRES...AND SPANISH PEAKS REGION.
UPPER JET DESCENDS OVER NIGHT WITH VERY STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE
SURFACE BY THU MORNING. NO REAL STRONG MTN WAVE SIGNATURE...BUT WILL
NOT TAKE MUCH TO TRANSLATE VERY HIGH WINDS ALOFT TO THE SURFACE
TOMORROW. COULD SEE SOME LOCAL GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH TOMORROW
MORN...FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...AFFECTING PRETTY MUCH THE WHOLE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR
SOUTH OF KCOS. 44
LONG TERM...
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
STILL SOME SNOW AND STRONG WINDS ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
THURSDAY EVENING...SO WILL KEEP BLIZZARD WARNING GOING UNTIL 03Z.
BRIEF SHORTWAVE RIDGE THEN BUILDS LATE THU NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY
FRIDAY...WHICH SHOULD END MOST SNOW EXCEPT FOR A FEW FLURRIES OVER
THE HIGHER PEAKS ALONG THE DIVIDE. WINDS FRIDAY AFTERNOON LOOK TO
DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS PRESSURE GRADIENT BRIEFLY RELAXES...THOUGH
WITH FALLING PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS BY AFTERNOON...SOUTH WINDS
WILL CRANK BACK UP...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE KS BORDER. WARMED MAX
TEMPS FRI AFTERNOON 3-5F FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST...THOUGH STILL
DIDN'T GO AS WARM AS VERY MILD MET NUMBERS.
DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE WEST COAST BEGINS TO MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASING
OVER THE EASTERN SAN JUANS/LA GARITAS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY. MODEL QPFS SUGGEST SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW BY SATURDAY
EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH FACING SLOPES OF THE SAN JUANS INCLUDING
WOLF CREEK PASS AND CUMBRES PASS. CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WILL SEE HEAVY
SNOW AS WELL...THOUGH NOT AS MUCH AS POINTS FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST
AS FLOW MAINTAINS A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT. WON'T ISSUE A WATCH
YET...BUT APPEARS WE'LL NEED ONE BY THIS TIME TOMORROW. FARTHER
EAST...DOWNSLOPE FLOWS DOMINATE...WITH JUST SOME SPILL-OVER SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER PEAKS OF THE SANGRES THROUGH SAT EVENING.
PLAINS LOOK WARM AND BREEZY ONCE AGAIN. TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE
ROCKIES SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH SNOWS GOING ALONG THE DIVIDE
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY EVENING. SYSTEM LOOKS TOO FAR NORTH TO
PRODUCE MUCH PRECIP OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...WITH
JUST A FEW SNOW SHOWERS LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MIDDAY AS
TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. MON/TUE NOW LOOK FAIRLY DRY BETWEEN WEATHER
SYSTEMS...WITH SEASONABLY MILD TEMPS. NEXT SYSTEM DIGGING INTO THE
WESTERN U.S. WILL THEN BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW TO MAINLY THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BEGINNING WED. -10
AVIATION...MAIN CONCERN THROUGH TOMORROW WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
STRONG W TO SW WINDS...WHICH WILL BE STRONGEST EARLY THIS
EVE...QUIET DOWN A BIT AFTER 00Z...THEN PICK UP AGAIN THU AFTER 10Z
AND REMAIN VERY STRONG THRU THU AFTERNOON. SHEAR COULD BE AN ISSUE
EARLY THU MORNING IF SURFACE WINDS RELAX A BIT MORE THAN
EXPECTED...AS WINDS ALOFT REMAIN VERY STRONG. MOUNTAIN PASSES WILL
ALSO BE HAZARDOUS WITH STRONG GAP FLOWS AND POSSIBLE ROTORS ON THE
LEE SIDE. OVER THE CONTDVD...THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF NIL VISIBILITY
AS BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AFFECT THE DVD THROUGH EARLY THU. 44
&&
.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST THURSDAY FOR COZ227>237.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 11 PM MST THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON FOR COZ072>075-078>080-087-088.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM MST
THURSDAY FOR COZ058.
BLIZZARD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM MST THURSDAY FOR
COZ060-066-068.
&&
88/50
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 6:27 PM MST, 4 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
627 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011
COZ058>089-093>099-180130-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
627 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
GUSTY WINDS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 60 MPH AT
TIMES. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE
REGION...WITH 1 TO 4 INCHES LIKELY BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA
MOUNTAINS AND THE SAWATCH AND MOSQUITO RANGES. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW WILL LEAD TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER WEST FACING SLOPES OF THE SAN
JUAN AND SAWATCH RANGES. THE MOSQUITO RANGE WILL SEE LESS WIND
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AT TIMES BY LATER TONIGHT...BUT WILL
ALSO SEE POOR VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
WHITE OUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE
OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE WITH
ROAD CLOSURES POSSIBLE.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR DAMAGING WINDS OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...THE SPANISH PEAKS REGION...AND THE SOUTHERN
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING AROUND
SUNRISE THURSDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...WITH THE STRONGEST
GUSTS OVER AND NEAR EAST FACING SLOPES. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES WILL
BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO STRONG CROSS WINDS ALONG INTERSTATE 25 FROM
COLORADO CITY SOUTH TO RATON PASS. THESE STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE
PROPERTY DAMAGE AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
STRONG WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HEAVY SNOW WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS FROM THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
EVENING. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE LIKELY OVER
HIGHER SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...WITH 6
TO 12 INCHES FARTHER NORTH OVER THE LA GARITA MOUNTAINS AND THE
SAWATCH AND MOSQUITO RANGES.
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR...THE THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 70 MPH
POSSIBLE.
ELSEWHERE...GUSTY WINDS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 15
PERCENT WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS OVER THE
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS FROM
LATE THURSDAY MORNING INTO EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS IS ANTICIPATED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS FROM LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SEVERAL FEET OF ADDITIONAL SNOW
POSSIBLE OVER FAVORED HIGHER ELEVATION LOCATIONS SUCH AS WOLF
CREEK PASS DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS TONIGHT.
88/50
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 16, 8:38 PM MST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
838 PM MST WED FEB 16 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0702 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY 37.98N 104.87W
02/16/2011 M72 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET
APRSWXNET SITE
&&
KMOZLEYHigh Wind, Trinidad Vicinity / Lower Huerfano River Basin & Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft
- When
- February 16, 11:00 PM MST to February 17, 12:00 AM MST
- Where
- Trinidad Vicinity / Lower Huerfano River Basin & Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- Mesonet
- Coordinates
- 37.316, -104.039 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Storm and Damaging Winds in Utah, February 16 to 17, 2011$48,000 · 74 kt wind · 17 events
- Dense Fog in Iowa, February 16, 20115 injured · $12,000 · 1 event
- Dense Fog in Minnesota, February 16 to 17, 20113 injured · $5,000 · 1 event
- Winter Storm and Flooding in California, February 16 to 19, 2011$11,000 · 51 kt wind · 12 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, February 16 to 17, 201159 kt wind · 9 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in California, February 16, 201162 kt wind · 5 events
- High Wind in Nevada, February 16, 2011$6,000 · 68 kt wind · 5 events
- High Wind in Nevada, February 16, 201167 kt wind · 5 events
- Blizzard in Alaska, February 16 to 17, 20115 events
- Winter Storm in Montana, February 16 to 17, 20113 events
- Blizzard and Winter Weather in Utah, February 16 to 17, 20113 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, February 16 to 17, 20113 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 282584.