A thunderstorm produce heavy rain and flash flooding in the neighborhoods below the Schultz Fire area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
A thunderstorm produce heavy rain and flash flooding in the neighborhoods below the Schultz Fire area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 6, 3:30 AM MST, 5 hours 56 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 330 AM MST TUE SEP 6 2011 .SYNOPSIS...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRUSH ARIZONA TODAY. AS A RESULT...NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL SEE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IN ADDITION...COOLER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY...THEN A CHANCE OF DAILY SHOWERS AND STORMS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION...AT 3 AM...THE TROUGH AXIS WAS LOCATED FROM NORTHERN UT INTO SOUTHERN NV AND WAS SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD. DEEP MOISTURE HAS BEEN DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO THE STATE OVER THE PAST 24 HRS...PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES. ONE AREA OF RAIN AND ISOLATED STORMS WAS LOCATED OVER APACHE AND NAVAJO COUNTIES AND SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE STATE BY 8 TO 10 AM THIS MORNING. THE OTHER AREA OF PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH STRETCHED ACROSS NW ARIZONA FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU TO LAKE HAVASU. AS THE TROUGH CLIPS THE STATE TODAY...EXPECT A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. THE LIMITING FACTOR ON ANY STRONGER STORMS TODAY WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER KEEPING SURFACE TEMPERATURES COOLER. WEDNESDAY...AS THE LOW HEADS EASTWARD AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH...EXPECT THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SHIFT SOUTH OVER THE WHITE MTNS AND EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM. DRIER NORTHEAST WINDS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND REMAIN FAIRLY STATIONARY. ENOUGH MOISTURE SHOULD BE DRAWN BACK NORTHWARD OVER OUR REGION FOR THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE EACH DAY. IN ADDITION...COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL ADD TO THE INSTABILITY. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE CONVECTION COULD BE VIGOROUS AT SOME POINT FRIDAY OR SATURDAY DUE TO INCREASING SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS POSSIBILITY AS THE PATTERN DEVELOPS. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS IN APACHE AND NAVAJO COUNTIES AND OVER NORTHWEST COCONINO AND NORTHWEST YAVAPAI COUNTIES. ACTIVITY REDEVELOPING BTWN 18-20Z... WITH THE HIGHER CONCENTRATION OF STORMS SOUTH OF A KGCN TO KOV7 LINE. STORMS FCST TO DECREASE BTWN 02-04Z WEDNESDAY. MVFR/LCL IFR CONDITIONS WITH ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC..................JJ AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...TC FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 412 AM MST TUE SEP 6 2011 AZZ004>018-037>040-070300- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 412 AM MST TUE SEP 6 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST CENTRAL ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE STATE WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP MOISTURE TO PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SELIGMAN TO WINDOW ROCK BY THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY DRIER AIR WILL FILTER IN FROM THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...KEEPING THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS OVER EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO ALL OF NORTHERN ARIZONA THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 92 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:26 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flooding made parts of roads though Timberline and Hutchinson Acres impassible. Moderate water flows were also reported through Paintbrush Wash.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, September 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 348533.