Arizona, 2011

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Arizona, August 11, 2011

August 11, 2011 · NWS TWC · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Increasing moisture along the New Mexico and Arizona border, along with an upper level disturbance, provided a focus for thunderstorm development across southeast Arizona. Some of the storms produced heavy rainfall, strong winds, and frequent lightning.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
2
Property damage
$25,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

Increasing moisture along the New Mexico and Arizona border, along with an upper level disturbance, provided a focus for thunderstorm development across southeast Arizona. Some of the storms produced heavy rainfall, strong winds, and frequent lightning.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 10:45 AM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 11, 10:45 AM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1045 AM MST THU AUG 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN COMBINATION WITH AMPLE
MOISTURE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA INTO THIS EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH
THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. THE DISTURBANCE WILL THEN MOVE NORTH OF
THE AREA FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH RAINFALL CHANCES WILL LESSEN SOMEWHAT...
THERE WILL STILL BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FROM TUCSON EASTWARD THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY
NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...KEMX WSR-88D DETECTED ISOLATED 30-45 DBZ ECHOES ACROSS
THE TOHONO NATION AND NEAR THE HUACHUCA MTNS. THE REST OF SE AZ WAS
VOID OF PRECIP ECHOES. NO CHANGES ANTICIPATED TO THE INHERITED
FORECAST AS THE 11/12Z GFS/NAM AND 11/09Z SREF WERE SIMILAR WITH
REGARD TO DEPICTING THE BEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIP TO OCCUR
FROM TUCSON EWD/SWD THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. 11/12Z KTWC
SOUNDING DEPICTED AND ENVIRONMENT THAT WAS SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST AND
SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE VERSUS 24 HOURS AGO. HOWEVER...STEERING FLOW
HAS CHANGED TO MORE-SELY VERSUS WED MORNING. THUS...SHOWERS/TSTMS
THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME TO ADVANCE FURTHER NWWD INTO
SOUTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY AND WRN PIMA COUNTY VERSUS WED. PLEASE
REFER TO THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION SECTION FOR ADDITIONAL FORECAST
DETAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...MODEL DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW BULK OF MOISTURE
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND OVER COCHISE COUNTY. SO ONCE
AGAIN...EXPECTING THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT THERE AND IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...THIS MOISTURE COUPLED WITH MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL LEAD TO GREATER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING...WITH POPS 40 PCT IN THE TUCSON
METRO AREA. MOISTURE WILL DIMINISH THIS WEEKEND...BUT ENOUGH WILL
LINGER TO KEEP POPS IN THE FORECAST...WITH BEST CHANCES AGAIN SOUTH
AND EAST OF TUCSON. THIS PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS
FAIRLY CONSISTENT OVER THE PERIOD. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO
FORECAST...AS INHERITED FORECAST HANDLES THE ABOVE VERY WELL.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLD-SCT TSRA/SHRA ACROSS SE AZ THRU 18Z FRIDAY. THE
BULK OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED FROM KTUS VICINITY EWD/SWD. MVFR CIGS/
VSBYS...MTNS OBSCD...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40-45 KTS WITH THE STRONGER
TSRA. OTHERWISE...SCT-BKN CLOUDS WITH BASES AT 8-12K FT AGL AND
SURFACE WIND MAINLY LESS THAN 10 KTS THRU FRIDAY MORNING. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. NORMAL DIURNAL
WIND TRENDS WILL OCCUR...EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PREVAIL
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

BF

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 55 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 lightning, 1 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Lightning, Cochise

When
August 11, 1:00 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 0.5 mi W of Sunnyside
Injuries
2 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
31.430, -110.439

Two illegal immigrants were struck by lightning near Sierra Vista and transported to a hospital. The Border Patrol reported that the injuries sustained by the two illegal immigrants was consistent with a lightning strike.

Flash Flood, Santa Cruz

When
August 11, 3:30 PM MST to 4:00 PM MST
Where
Santa Cruz County, 3.37 mi SW of (Ols) Nogales Intl Arpt to 1.75 mi E of Nogales
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
31.386, -110.891

Rainfall amounts up to 2.5 inches resulted in flash flooding in the Kino Springs area. Several washes and the Santa Cruz River flooded resulting in the closure of several local roads.

Thunderstorm Wind, Graham

When
August 11, 7:00 PM MST to 7:15 PM MST
Where
Graham County, 0.88 mi NE of Ft Thomas to 1.35 mi WSW of Ft Thomas
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$25,000
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
33.039, -109.960

Thunderstorm wind gusts over 60 mph resulted in minor damage in Fort Thomas. Several truck trailers were blown through yards resulting in a few outbuildings being destroyed. A tool shed was also severely damaged and a few small trees were downed.

What these are

Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 344683, 340260, 340259.