Alaska, 2011

Winter Storm in Alaska, February 18 to 20, 2011

February 18 to 20, 2011 · NWS AJK · 11 events in 11 counties and zones

All of SE Alaska was in cold air with the arctic front offshore on 2/18. A moderate gale center moved into the western Gulf of Alaska, which was just enough to cause the front to move over the Panhandle for heavy snow on the night of the 18th into the afternoon of the 20th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
11

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

All of SE Alaska was in cold air with the arctic front offshore on 2/18. A moderate gale center moved into the western Gulf of Alaska, which was just enough to cause the front to move over the Panhandle for heavy snow on the night of the 18th into the afternoon of the 20th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 18, 5:26 AM AKST, 9 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 5:26 AM AKST, 9 hours 34 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
526 AM AKST FRI FEB 18 2011

.SHORT TERM...VERY TRICKY SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD AND IT ALL
CENTERS AROUND HOW MUCH LOW LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT AND HOW FAR INLAND PAST THE
OUTER COAST IT WILL PENETRATE BEFORE THIS PRECIPITATION EVENT
ENDS. ADJUSTMENTS TO DAYTIME HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS ONLY A
DEGREE OR TWO WHERE HIGHEST PRECIP PROBABILITY WILL BE...BUT THAT
COULD MAKE A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN SNOW TOTALS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT IN PLACES SUCH AS YAKUTAT...ELFIN COVE...SITKA...AND EVEN
AS FAR INLAND AS GUSTAVUS. MORE SUBSTANTIAL...GENERALLY
COLDER...CHANGES FARTHER SOUTH BUT LITTLE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST
SINCE FRONTAL PRECIP WILL NOT MAKE IT PAST FREDERICK SOUND AND
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.

 OVERALL THEME IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD WAS TO DELAY THE
ARRIVAL OF THE PRECIP AND DECREASE OVERNIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.
BELIEVE THE MAJORITY OF THIS SNOW EVENT WILL OCCUR ON
SATURDAY...BEYOND THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD. MAJOR CONCERN
AND UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORECAST FOR ZONE 17. LOW
LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL ARRIVE THERE FIRST AND WHEN WINDS SHIFT
FROM THE EAST TO THE SOUTH...BELIEVE SNOW WILL EITHER MIX WITH
RAIN OR CHANGE OVER TO STRAIGHT RAIN BY EARLY THIS EVENING. TEMPS
EXPECTED TO GET ABOVE FREEZING ALONG THE OUTER COAST VICINITY
SITKA AS WELL...SO ONSET OF PRECIP THERE MAY START OUT AS RAIN OR
A RAIN/SNOW MIX BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO SNOW...IF IT DOES. NOT A
LOT OF DIURNAL VARIATION IN THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THE
OUTER COAST...AMONG OTHER PLACES...SO A FORECAST ERROR BY ONLY A
FEW DEGREES MAY MAKE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A RAIN EVENT AND A
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT AS FAR SOUTH AS PORT ALEXANDER. STAY TUNED
FOR FORECAST UPDATES.

 USED A BLEND OF GFS AND NAM FOR THE POP...QPF AND TEMP FIELDS.
UPDATED WINDS WITH A BLEND OF 00Z AND 06Z NAM. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE IN MOST REGARDS EXCEPT FOR PRECIP
TYPE AND ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT ALONG THE OUTER COAST...WHERE
CONFIDENCE IS ONLY AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...MODELS BECAME MORE IN LINE THROUGH THE MID WEEK WITH
INTENSITY AND TIMING OF PROGRESSING RIDGES AND TROUGHS PASSING
ACROSS THE FORECAST DOMAIN. SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT OF MODEL
PERFORMANCE FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF RUNS. REFRESHED THE INHERITED
GRIDS WITH THE NAM/GFS BLEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN
POPULATED NEW GRIDS WITH THE GFS/ECMWF THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD.

 THE DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR NORTHERN GULF WILL SLOWLY MOVE
EAST TO NEAR YAKUTAT BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...PUSHING A WARM FRONT
EAST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
WARM MOIST AIR ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE OVER THE
FROZEN INLAND AND SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED BEGINNING
OVER YAKUTAT AND ELFIN COVE ZONES TONIGHT...SPREADING SOUTHEAST TO
COVER NORTHERN TWO THIRD OF THE PANHANDLE...EXCEPT SKAGWAY
ZONE...THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISSUED WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR
ZONES 17-19>26 WITH VARIOUS EFFECTIVE TIMES. THE STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHEAST AND SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS ANGOON AND PETERSBURG ZONES THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT OR
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. CONSIDERABLE SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED OVER
SKAGWAY AREA AS WELL FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. THE STORM WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AREAS
AND PRODUCE SNOW AMOUNT LESS THAN ADVISORY LEVEL FOR HYDER
ZONE...AND THUS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WATCH. OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL RETURN ACROSS THE FORECAST DOMAIN MIDDAY SUNDAY FOR IMPROVING
WEATHER WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 3 AM AKST SUNDAY FOR
     AKZ024-026.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM AKST SATURDAY FOR
     AKZ019>021-023-025.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM AKST
     SATURDAY FOR AKZ017-022.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM AKST SATURDAY FOR
     AKZ018.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-031-034>036-051-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ041.

&&

FRITSCH/AHN

Event by event

11 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
February 18, 3:00 PM AKST to February 19, 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The Yakutat NWS office measured 4.3 inches new snow just before midnight 2/18 and 4.4 more inches on the morning of 2/19. Precipitation changed to rain on the morning of 2/19. Minimum visibility during this event was 0.5 SM at the airport with a max gust of 22 KT.

Winter Storm, Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area

When
February 18, 3:00 PM AKST to February 19, 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Elfin Cove measured 10.5 inches of new snow for 24 hours ending at 1500 AKST on 2/19 and Pelican got 8.3 inches new. Most of this snow fell during the daytime on the 19th. Snow showers were heavy that afternoon with wind to 36 KT at Cape Spencer.

Winter Storm, Haines Borough and Lynn Canal

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Haines Borough and Lynn Canal forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Haines Customs measured 6.5 inches of new snow at 0700 AKST 2/20 which occurred during the afternoon of 2/19. Downtown Haines measured 8.2 inches of new snow. Haines Airport measured visibility as low as 1/2 mile in snow with peak winds at 34 KT at the height of the storm.

Winter Storm, Glacier Bay

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Glacier Bay forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS

A COOP observer affilated with the Gustavus Airport measured 6.5 inches new snow that fell overnight. Visibility had dropped to 1 SM at the airport with wind gusts to 19 KT.

Winter Storm, Eastern Chichagof Island

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Chichagof Island forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Hoonah measured 4.9 inches of new snow on the morning of 2/19 and an additional 2.4 inches by 0900 on 2/20. Visibility at the Hoonah seaplane base was reduced to 0.75 SM in snow.

Winter Storm, Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Sitka had wet snow that turned rapidly to rain on the morning of 2/19, but higher elevations had significant snowfall. Hidden Falls (24) on the back side of Baranof Island measured 4 inches new snow on the afternoon of 2/19.

Winter Storm, Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to February 20, 3:00 AM AKST
Where
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Angoon had wet snow through the morning of 2/19, but higher elevations had significant snowfall. Hidden Falls on the back side of Baranof Island measured 4 inches new snow on the afternoon of 2/19 and another inch on 2/20. No other observations were available.

Winter Storm, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Various spotters and official observations had measurements from 4 to 7 inches of new snowfall during this short-lived event. Midnight to midnight snowfall at the airport was 10.5 inches and the peak wind was 29 KT during this event. Poor driving conditions occurred with the visibility down to 0.5 SM at times.

Winter Storm, Inner Channels From Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island

When
February 19, 3:00 AM AKST to February 20, 3:00 AM AKST
Where
Inner Channels From Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Wrangell had 0.25 SM visibility at times and gusts to 25 KT were common on 2/19 and 2/20. Petersburg had higher visibility and less wind. New snow amounts ranged from 6 to 8 inches.

Winter Storm, Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway

When
February 19, 4:32 AM AKST to February 20, 3:00 AM AKST
Where
Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

The Skagway area received 8 to 9 inches of new snow on 2/19 into 2/20. Wind peaked over 40 MPH on the afternoon of 2/19 with visibility down to 0.75 SM in snow at times. Conditions on the Klondike Highway were probably worse.

Winter Storm, Misty Fjords

When
February 20, 3:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Misty Fjords forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Visibility was frequently reduced to 0.5 SM in heavy snow at Stewart B.C. on 2/20. Hyder measured a strom total of 12.7 inches of new snow with this storm.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 281395, 281405, 281398, 281400, 281402, 281408, 281581, 281584, 281585, 281586, 281587.