Alaska, 2011

Winter Storm in Alaska, February 10, 2011

February 10, 2011 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Snow and Brief freezing rain hit the Misty Fiords area on 2/10 as the flow aloft became moist and switched to south over cold air. Hyder got nearly a foot on 2/10.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

Snow and Brief freezing rain hit the Misty Fiords area on 2/10 as the flow aloft became moist and switched to south over cold air. Hyder got nearly a foot on 2/10.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 10, 6:12 AM AKST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 6:12 AM AKST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
612 AM AKST THU FEB 10 2011

.SHORT TERM...A LOW ABOUT 600 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND IS
MOVING TO NORTHEAST TO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA AND DEEPENING
TO THE MID 980 MB RANGE. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BAND APPROACHES
THE PANHANDLE. A WARM FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE ON
THURSDAY MORNING AND THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE PANHANDLE
THURSDAY EVENING. GALE FORCE WINDS APPROACH THE COASTAL WATERS
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS I THINK
WILL BE ENOUGH TO BRING GUSTS TO 40 MPH FOR EXPOSED AREAS FOR
BARANOF ISLANDS.

WARM TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ENOUGH TO MAKE ALL
PRECIPITATION RAIN. SHOULD EXPECT A FAIR AMOUNT OF RAIN FROM THE
FRONT WITH RAIN FALL ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A HALF TO AN INCH OF
WATER.

MODEL AGREEMENT WAS FAIRLY GOOD THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH IS
THE SHORT TERM TIME FRAME. USED A GFS/NAM BLEND AS THIS SEEMED TO
BE A GOOD ESTIMATE OF WHAT WILL BE HAPPENING OVER NIGHT FOR THE
PRESSURE PATTERN.

.LONG TERM...ONLY MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECASTS
FOR FRIDAY ONWARD.  OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY WILL HAVE A N TO S
SEQUENCE OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FOLLOWED BY A COLDER AND DRY
CONDITIONS. CONFIDENCE IN THE OVERALL TREND IS AVERAGE.

THE LOW DISCUSSED IN THE SHORT RANGE SECTION ABOVE WILL BE ABOUT
982 MB 100 NM S OF PAMD AT 12Z. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL BE AN
OCCLUSION MOVING ONSHORE AT ABOUT THAT TIME AND BEGINNING TO
WEAKEN. A SECOND LOW AND FRONT WILL FOLLOW IN A SIMILAR CONFIGURATION
ABT 12Z SAT. THE SYSTEMS DISCUSSED IN THIS PARAGRAPH WILL PROVIDE
THE ONSHORE FLOW THAT WILL FIRST PRODUCE RAIN, AND THEN TURN TO
SNOW DUE TO THE ARCTIC OUTBREAK FROM THE N.

THE ARCTIC AMS WILL DVLP SEWD ACRS YUKON TRRTY AND REACH NW B.C.
BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. GALE FORCE N WINDS IN LYNN CANAL SHOULD
DEVELOP BY MON MORNING. AN ARCTIC OUTBREAK WILL BE ENHANCED BY A
500H LONG- WAVE RIDGE ALOFT WHICH AT 00Z TUE WILL EXTEND FM THE
NPAC TO OVER PADK AND N OVER THE BERING. THE ASSOCIATED COOLING
TREND AND TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW WILL JUST EXTEND TO THE SRN
PNHDL TUESDAY AS THE PRECIPITATION ENDS IN A N TO S SEQUENCE ALONG
THE PNHDL.

THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN FAVORS CYCLOGENESIS AND FRONTOGENESIS
BECOMING STRONGER FOR THE CENTRAL AND ERN GLFALSK FROM NOW THROUGH
12Z SAT. LONGWAVE 500H TROUGH XTDG S FM PACD WILL DRIFT E AND XTD
S FM PAWD 00Z SAT, WHILE DIGGING S.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM AKST FRIDAY FOR
     AKZ023.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-021-022-033>036-051-052.

&&

BEZENEK/JBT

Event by event

1 winter storm. Local standard time, as filed.

Winter Storm, Misty Fjords

When
February 10, 7:49 AM AKST to 5:00 PM AKST
Where
Misty Fjords forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer

Hyder measured 11.5 inches new snow for 24 hours ending at 0800 AKST on 2/10. They got an additional 2.5 inches later in the day.

What these are

Winter Storm
A storm that brought snow, sleet or freezing rain at warning levels, usually over several hours or days.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 281389.