Alaska, 2011

Blizzard in Alaska, December 26 to 27, 2011

December 26 to 27, 2011 · NWS AFC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A strong low moved into the northern Gulf of Alaska resulting in snow in the Chugach Mountains and strong wind through Thompson Pass. Blizzard conditions occurred through Thompson Pass during this storm.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.

A strong low moved into the northern Gulf of Alaska resulting in snow in the Chugach Mountains and strong wind through Thompson Pass. Blizzard conditions occurred through Thompson Pass during this storm.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 26, 5:00 AM AKST, 4 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 5:00 AM AKST, 4 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER AK AND THE BERING SEA THIS MORNING WITH AN
EMBEDDED CLOSED UPPER LEVEL OVER SW AK. ANOTHER CLOSED LOW IS WELL
SOUTH OF SHEMYA...AND UPPER RIDGES ARE OVER WESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA
AND THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. AT THE SURFACE...A DEEP LOW IS ENTERING
THE SOUTH GULF OF AK...ANOTHER DEEP LOW IS WELL SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS...AND HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE BERING SEA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM...BRINGING THE
FIRST GULF OF AK LOW TO THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST THIS EVENING AND
THEN TURNING SHARPLY INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TUE MORNING. THE LOW
CURRENTLY SOUTH OF SHEMYA WILL BE THE NEXT MAJOR FEATURE. MODELS ARE
IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THROUGH TUE MORNING...BRINGING THE LOW TOWARD
THE GULF OF AK. AT THIS POINT THE MODELS DIVERGE A BIT WITH MOST
TAKING THE LOW INTO SE AK WED MORNING. DESPITE THIS TRAJECTORY...THE
LOW STILL MANAGES TO REFORM OVER WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THU
MORNING. THE FORECAST UTILIZES THE GFS FOR THE INITIAL LOW BUT THEN
TENDS TO THE EC SOLUTION OF BRINGING THE SECOND LOW INTO SE AK. WHILE
THE GFS IS THE ONLY MODEL THAT ACTUALLY KEEPS THE SECOND LOW OVER
WATER DURING ITS JOURNEY TO THE SOUND...IT HAS HAD CONSISTENCY
PROBLEMS RECENTLY AND WAS NOT SEEN AS THE MODEL OF CHOICE. IN THE
EXTENDED PERIODS THE FORECAST UTILIZED THE HPC SOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

IN THE WEST...SNOW SHOWERS ON NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THU.

FOR SW AK..CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY EXCEPT FOR SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY
NEAR THE AK AND ALEUTIAN RANGE TUE IN RESPONSE TO WRAPAROUND MOISTURE
FROM THE FIRST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LOW.

SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AK RANGE...THE APPROACHING LOW WILL CREATE WIND
AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SNOW
WILL AFFECT THE COAST TODAY AND CROSS COASTAL MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT.
SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH TUE NIGHT. THE SECOND LOW WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW MAINLY EAST OF THE KENAI PENINSULA WED
THROUGH THU...WITH SOME SHOWERS CROSSING THE KENAI AND CHUGACH
MOUNTAINS INTO INLAND AREAS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN THE WEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
SW AK WILL REMAIN DRY AS THE BERING RIDGE BUILDS EAST. SE OF THE AK
RANGE WILL HAVE PERSISTENT SHOWERS AS LOW PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 131
MARINE...GALES 120 121 130 132 150 155 172 175 176
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY121 129 130 132 138 140 141 150 160 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS DEC 11

Event by event

1 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, Nern P.W. Snd

When
December 26, 9:00 AM AKST to December 27, 2:30 AM AKST
Where
Nern P.W. Snd forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, December 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 353102.