Washington, 2010

Debris Flow in Washington, January 15, 2010

January 15, 2010 · NWS OTX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A large boulder slid down a hillside onto Highway 2 just west of Leavenworth causing extensive damage to the roadway. The boulder was 25 feet long and 20 feet wide, and created a hole in the highway three to five feet deep, and cracks 75 to 100 feet long.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OTX wrote it up.

A large boulder slid down a hillside onto Highway 2 just west of Leavenworth causing extensive damage to the roadway. The boulder was 25 feet long and 20 feet wide, and created a hole in the highway three to five feet deep, and cracks 75 to 100 feet long.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 15, 2:44 PM PST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 2:44 PM PST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
244 PM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND WET AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO
THE INLAND NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE
FOCUS OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL BE ALONG THE INTERSTATE
90 CORRIDOR FROM SPOKANE EAST THROUGH IDAHO. FROZEN GROUND ACROSS
THE REGION WILL PRODUCE PONDING AND GENERALLY MINOR FLOODING FROM
THIS ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT THRU MON...THE BIGGEST CHANGE HAS BEEN TO DECREASE PCPN
AMNTS ACROSS NRN WA AND THE FAR N ID PANHANDLE ZONES FOR
TONIGHT AND SAT...TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE FASTER EWD PROGRESSION
OF THE NRN END OF THE COLDFNT CURRENTLY JUST PASSING THROUGH THE
PUGET SOUND. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THIS QUICKER TREND WILL KEEP
EXPECTED PCPN AMNTS ACROSS THE ALREADY SATURATED SOILS OVER NE WA
AND THE N ID PANHANDLE LOWER THAN WHAT WAS PREVIOUS FCST THROUGH
SAT. HOWEVER...WE STILL EXPECT THE SRN END OF THE FRONT TO STALL
OVER THE SPOKANE AND ID PANHANDLE AREA BEFORE LIFTING SLOWLY NWD
AS A WRMFNT LATE SAT AND SAT NT...PRODUCING ADDITIONAL MODERATE
VALLEY RAIN AND MTN SNOW FOR ZONES N AND E OF SPOKANE. FOLLOWING
THIS...TWO STRONG AND QUICK-MOVING SHORT-WAVES TROFS WILL IMPACT
THE REGION...ONE SUNDAY AND THE OTHER SUNDAY NIGHT AS A
STRENGTHENING EPAC ZONAL JET DRIVES A NUMBER OF WAVES INTO THE
WRN CONUS. BZ

FOR HYDRO CONCERNS... WE'RE NOT EXPECTING A BIG IMPACT AS FAR AS
FLOODING POTENTIAL FOR THE SPOKANE AREA. FCST PCPN AMNTS AREN'T
IMPRESSIVE EITHER FOR THE NE WA AND N ID...BUT CALLS TO SPOTTERS
FROM BONNER COUNTY WEST THROUGH STEVENS COUNTY ALL CONFIRM
NUMEROUS FIELDS UNDER WATER. SO IT WILL TAKE VERY LITTLE ADDITIONAL
PCPN TO PRODUCE A SECOND ROUND OF FLOODING. THE FLOOD WARNING
COVERS THIS THREAT. BZ

MONDAY NIGHT TO FRIDAY...GUIDANCE SHOWS A BROAD TROUGH CARVING ITSELF
OUT NEAR THE PACIFIC COAST...WHILE A TRAIN OF EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES
COME THROUGH THE WEST. ONE PASSES OVER THE INLAND NW EVERY 18-30 HRS
IN THE SWLY FLOW...THOUGH THEIR BRUNT STAYS SOUTH. PRECISE TIMING
IS APT TO WOBBLE. ATTM LOOSE AGREEMENT SUPPORTS HIGHEST PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TUESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY. YET A RISK WILL BE FOUND
EACH DAY. THROUGH THURSDAY 850 TEMPS/WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS SUPPORT
DAYTIME SNOW LEVELS BTWN 3-5KFT. SOME SNOW MAY REACH VALLEY FLOORS
AT NIGHT BUT ACCUMULATIONS (IF ANY) LOOK LIGHT. THURS NT TO FRIDAY
MOST GUIDANCE INDICATES 850 TEMPS/WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS DIPPING...
WITH DAYTIME SNOW LEVELS BTWN 2-3KFT. HOWEVER IT IS TOO EARLY TO BE
DEFINITIVE ON DETAILS OTHER THAN TO SAY THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE
OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS IN VALLEY/BASIN AREAS LATE NEXT WEEK. /JCOTE

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFS...A COLD FRONT NEAR THE NRN CSCDS WILL SLIDE ESE AND STALL
ACROSS NRN ID TO NW OR...WHILE A SFC LOW MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTH.
THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING VALLEY RAIN AND MAINLY MOUNTAIN SNOW
OVER WA AND ID TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO CIGS AND
VIS DETERIORATING TO MVFR AND EVENTUALLY IFR LEVELS AT MOST TAF
SITES TOWARD 03-06Z. AN EXCEPTION WILL BE KPUW AND KLWS...WHICH
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON FRINGES OF THE LOWER CIGS AND STEADIER
PRECIPITATION CHANCES UNTIL AFTER 09-14Z AND EVEN THEN PRIMARILY
MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED. /JCOTE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SPOKANE        37  41  35  45  34  42 /  90  90  70  20  50  50
COEUR D'ALENE  36  41  34  44  34  42 / 100  90  70  20  50  50
PULLMAN        37  43  36  46  36  44 /  50  60  30  20  50  40
LEWISTON       40  48  38  49  38  49 /  20  40  10  10  40  40
COLVILLE       34  40  33  42  34  41 /  90  70  70  50  60  50
SANDPOINT      35  39  33  42  32  40 / 100  80  70  30  60  50
KELLOGG        33  40  34  41  34  40 / 100  90  60  20  60  50
MOSES LAKE     35  42  34  45  33  42 /  60  40  30  50  50  20
WENATCHEE      34  37  33  40  31  39 /  50  40  30  50  60  20
OMAK           33  37  35  39  31  38 /  40  30  30  60  60  40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...FLOOD WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE.

WA...FLOOD WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST
MOUNTAINS.

&&

WEATHER OBSERVATIONS CAN BE SUBMITTED THROUGH YOUR TWITTER ACCOUNT.
GO TO HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SRH/TWITTER/TWITTER.PHP TYPED ALL
IN LOWER CASE IN YOUR BROWSER AND TELL THE NWS ABOUT THE WEATHER
IN YOUR AREA.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 10:52 AM PST, 5 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1052 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

IDZ001-WAZ037-161900-
NORTHERN PANHANDLE-NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS-
1052 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH IDAHO AND
NORTHEAST WASHINGTON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A MOIST FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY AND STALL
ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH FLOODING AND PONDING
OF WATER LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

THE WARM MOIST WEATHER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
AND RESULT IN MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. ONE HALF TO ONE
INCH WILL BE LIKELY BY SATURDAY NIGHT BELOW 4000 FEET. FLOODING
AND PONDING OF WATER IS EXPECTED.

IDZ002>004-026-027-WAZ031>036-038-041>044-161900-
COEUR D'ALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE-CENTRAL PANHANDLE MOUNTAINS-
LEWISTON AREA-LEWIS AND SOUTHERN NEZ PERCE COUNTIES-
NORTHEAST BLUE MOUNTAINS-LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-
WASHINGTON PALOUSE-MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-
SPOKANE AREA-OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS-WENATCHEE AREA-
EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES-OKANOGAN VALLEY-WATERVILLE PLATEAU-
1052 AM PST FRI JAN 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH IDAHO...
NORTH CENTRAL IDAHO...CENTRAL WASHINGTON...EAST CENTRAL
WASHINGTON...NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON...NORTHEAST WASHINGTON AND
SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WARM MOIST STORM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE
QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MINOR
FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER ON FLAT SURFACES IS POSSIBLE

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

MINOR FLOODING AND PONDING OF WATER ON FLAT SURFACES IS POSSIBLE
SATURDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE WARM...MOIST STORM SYSTEM
LINGERS OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A TENTH
TO HALF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

Event by event

1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Debris Flow, East Slopes Northern Cascades

When
January 15, 4:30 PM PST
Where
East Slopes Northern Cascades forecast zone
Reported by
Newspaper

What these are

Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, January 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 207442.