Texas, 2010

High Wind in Texas, November 15, 2010

November 15, 2010 · NWS MAF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Isolated strong wind gusts occurred in the higher elevations of the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains due to increasing westerly flow aloft over southeast New Mexico and west Texas.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.

Isolated strong wind gusts occurred in the higher elevations of the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains due to increasing westerly flow aloft over southeast New Mexico and west Texas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 8:56 PM MST, 5 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 8:56 PM MST, 5 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
956 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010

.DISCUSSION...

SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO CURRENT TAFS...AS ALL TERMINALS TO REMAIN VFR
NEXT 24 HRS. SFC LOW OVER SE NM/WEST TEXAS IS PROGGED TO MOVE EAST
MONDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE REGION...VEERING
SFC WINDS THRU THE DAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AFTERNOON
MIXING TO ABV H7...WHERE 30+KT WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE ROUNDING THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH...RESULTING IN GUSTY CONDITIONS AT THE SFC.
PLENTY OF HIGH CLOUD SHOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 522 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010/

DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH HIGH CLOUDS IN THE WEST WILL SLOWLY MOVE
EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE EVENING HOURS. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL INCREASE
TO GUSTY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 155 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010/

DISCUSSION...
A BROAD TROUGH SITS OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES...AND A SHORTWAVE
CAN BE SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER ARIZONA. THERE IS VERY DRY
AIR AT THE SURFACE PRECEDING THIS SHORTWAVE. DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS. THIS DRY AIR WILL BE ADVECTED INTO THE AREA BY
MONDAY. WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING TOWARDS THE AREA AND
PROVIDING SOME LIFT...THERE WILL BE INCREASED MID TO UPPER LEVEL
CLOUD COVER MONDAY. THE LATEST GFS HAS SOME QPF VALUES OVER
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. IF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS DO OCCUR THEY WILL MOST LIKELY BE HIGH BASED...AND
MORE IN THE FORM OF VIRGA DUE TO THE DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS. MONDAY
IS ALSO LOOKING TO BE A WINDIER DAY. THE 700MB HEIGHT GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN. 700MB WINDS ARE AROUND 40 KNOTS FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS ON THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. MOS GUIDANCE HAS AROUND 30 KNOTS
FOR GDP AND AROUND 26 KNOTS FOR MRF.  MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT GOOD
MIXING WILL OCCUR. SEE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW FOR INFORMATION
ON FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES WAS GENERALLY
UNDERCUT BY A FEW DEGREES FOR MONRING LOWS...AS DRY CONDITIONS
REMAIN AHEAD OF US THIS WEEK.

WEDNESDAY WE WILL SEE A COLD FRONT MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA.
COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THAT AFTERNOON...AND COOLER
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THURSDAY MORNING. THERE ARE INDICATIONS
THAT AND ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE CENTRAL
UNITED STATES NEXT WEEKEND...AND PERHAPS REACH THE AREA BY MID NEXT
WEEK.

FIRE WX...
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT DRY AIR WILL SURGE E OF THE MTNS MONDAY
MORNING AND THAT 30-40KT 7H SPEED MAX WILL MOVE OVERHEAD ACRS THE
TRANS PECOS. DOWNSLOPE WARMING AND 85H TEMPS N15C IN LEE OF DAVIS
MTNS SUGGEST TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE MID 60S AROUND 5500 FT AND
TO NEAR 70 NEAR THE PECOS RIVER DRIVING MIN RH/S INTO/BLO 15 PCT
MONDAY. WELL MIXED LOW LEVELS SUGGEST THAT 25KT 85H-7H LAYER
AVERAGE WIND WILL HAVE A GOOD CHANCE TO MIX TO SFC RESULTING IN
WINDY CONDITIONS. STRONGEST WINDS WITHIN RFW WILL BE IN THE MRF
AREA WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH AND G40 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE. AS SUCH RFW HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TRANS
PECOS(ELEVATION GENERALLY 5500 FT AND BLO BUT NOT INCLUDING AREAS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE) AND THE FAR W AND SW PB.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM CST MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... BIG BEND AREA...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...MARFA PLATEAU...PECOS...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER
     TRANS PECOS...WARD.

&&

44
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 1:23 PM MST, 12 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
223 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-152030-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
223 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2010 /123 PM MST SUN NOV 14 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BRIEFLY EXIST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE VAN HORN AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
OF THE TRANS PECOS AND THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN MONDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BELOW 15
PERCENT AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH IN THOSE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Guadalupe Mountains of Culberson County

When
November 15, 2:00 AM MST
Where
Guadalupe Mountains of Culberson County forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS

High winds occurred in the higher elevations of the Guadalupe Mountains due to strong mid level winds over the area.

High Wind, Davis / Apache Mountains Area

When
November 15, 3:40 PM CST to 10:20 PM CST
Where
Davis / Apache Mountains Area forecast zone
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Other Federal Agency

High winds occurred in the higher elevations of the Davis Mountains due to strong mid level winds over the area.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 264538, 264537.