Puerto Rico, 2010

Flash Flooding and Flooding in Puerto Rico, August 10, 2010

August 10, 2010 · NWS SJU · 5 events in 4 counties and zones

A moist southeast flow combined with daytime heating and a weak upper level trough to produce scattered to numerous showers with strong thunderstorms across Puerto Rico.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

A moist southeast flow combined with daytime heating and a weak upper level trough to produce scattered to numerous showers with strong thunderstorms across Puerto Rico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 5:48 AM AST, 6 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 5:48 AM AST, 6 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
548 AM AST TUE AUG 10 2010

.SYNOPSIS...GENERALLY UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST PW ESTIMATES...ALONG WITH 00Z SOUNDING DATA
FROM YESTERDAY EVENING...INDICATE A VERY MOIST AIR MASS PERSISTING
ACROSS THE REGION. MORNING PERCEPTIBLE WATER VAPOR ESTIMATE NOW
IN EXCEEDENCE OF 2.5 INCHES...AS THE TUTT LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE
REGION CONTINUES TO HELP DRAW DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS. EXPECT THIS AMPLE MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH A
CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS...TO RESULT IN AN ACTIVE WEATHER DAY ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.

SO FAR THIS MORNING...SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LIMITED TO THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH
A LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OBSERVED THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS. AS THE SUN RISES...EXPECT LOCALLY DRIVEN SHOWER ACTIVITY
TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON...AS THICKEST CLOUD
COVER THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS AND SHOULD
NOT SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT SURFACE HEATING ACROSS THE ISLAND. WITH
EAST SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW IN RESPONSE TO AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
TRYING TO DEVELOP NEAR 50 WEST...STEERING FLOW SHOULD BE TOWARDS
THE NORTHWEST TODAY...WHICH SHOULD FAVOR THE SAN JUAN METRO AREA
AS WELL AS NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO LATER IN THE DAY.

PW VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD ABOVE 2 INCHES THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK...BEFORE SHARPLY DROPPING OFF OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
ACCORDING TO LATEST GFS...WITH TUTT LOW EVENTUALLY STARTING TO
FILL AND LIFT NORTHEASTWARD BY FRIDAY. WENT AHEAD AND INCREASED
EXPECTED WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES BEYOND.

&&

.AVIATION...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL INDUCE THE
FORMATION OF SHRA/TSRA ACROSS MOST OF PR. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE
OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDS... WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
IN HIGHER TERRAIN. LLVL WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST
AT 10 TO 15 KTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  88  78  89  78 /  60  60  60  20
STT  89  80  89  80 /  70  60  60  40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.

&&

10/04
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 10, 5:48 AM AST, 6 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
548 AM AST TUE AUG 10 2010

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-111000-
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
THE NEARSHORE AND OFF SHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
548 AM AST TUE AUG 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS A LOW
LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. LOCALIZED AREAS OF URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-111000-
ST. THOMAS ST. JOHN ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
NEARSHORE ATLANTIC AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS-
548 AM AST TUE AUG 10 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS A LOW
LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. LOCALIZED AREAS OF
URBAN AND GUT FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 32 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flood, 2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Guaynabo

When
August 10, 11:50 AM AST to 2:15 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 7.23 mi NW of Guaynabo to 6.29 mi NW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.404, -66.108

Martinez Nadal Avenue was reported flooded in the municipality of Guaynabo.

Flood, Mayaguez

When
August 10, 1:53 PM AST to 4:30 PM AST
Where
Mayaguez County, 2.72 mi SW of Mayaguez to 2.82 mi SW of Mayaguez
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.174, -67.151

Road 2 with intersection with Los Corazones Avenue was reported flooded.

Flood, Mayaguez

When
August 10, 2:01 PM AST to 4:30 PM AST
Where
Mayaguez County, 3.01 mi SW of Mayaguez to 2.79 mi SW of Mayaguez
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.166, -67.148

Road Doncella was reported flooded at Urb. Sultana in Mayaguez.

Flash Flood, Ceiba

When
August 10, 3:00 PM AST to 4:00 PM AST
Where
Ceiba County, 2.08 mi NW of Ceiba to 1.49 mi NW of Ceiba
Cause
Heavy Rain
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.270, -65.654

A flash flood fatality was reported in Las Tinajas river in Ceiba. USGS river Fajardo sensor recorded a crest of half a foot between 238-253 pm.

Flash Flood, Fajardo

When
August 10, 7:02 PM AST to 9:45 PM AST
Where
Fajardo County, 3.98 mi SW of Fajardo to 1.71 mi WSW of Fajardo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.285, -65.699

Runoff from heavy rainfall on the headwaters of the Fajardo river, caused the river overflow its banks, flooding Highway 3 at the intersection with PR53.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Flash Flood, Ceiba2010-08-1021MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, August 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 256648, 256649, 256670, 256650, 256641.