High Surf in New York, September 2 to 6, 2010

Name: High Surf in New York, September 2 to 6, 2010
Start: 2010-09-02T00:00
End: 2010-09-06T00:00
Location: New York

September 2 to 6, 2010 · NWS OKX · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Hurricane Earl produced battering surf, beach erosion, dangerous rip currents and localized washovers along Atlantic Ocean facing beaches as it passed about 90 miles southeast of Nantucket on September 4th.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 1, 9:50 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 1, 9:50 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1050 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

PLEASE NOTE THE FOLLOWING IN REFERENCE TO HURRICANE EARL...

1. TROPICAL WARNINGS ARE ISSUED WHEN CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN 36 HOURS. THIS IS A CHANGE FROM 24 HOURS IN PREVIOUS YEARS.

2. LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WIND PRODUCTS ARE DERIVED FROM NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER TRACK AND WIND DISTRIBUTIONS. WINDS ARE ADJUSTED
LOCALLY BASED ON LOCAL AREA KNOWLEDGE.

3. LOCAL TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACT GRAPHICS ARE AVAILABLE ON...

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GHLS/ (LOWER CASE) OR VIA OUR WEB PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY TRACK OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.
HURRICANE EARL IS FORECAST TO PASS SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS
WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

WITH HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY IN CONTROL...ANOTHER CLEAR NIGHT
EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH A MOS BLEND FOLLOWED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ONE MORE HOT DAY EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE. RIDGE
HOLDS TEMPORARILY AHEAD OF MID AND UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
EARL...AND UPSTREAM TROUGH. MODELS HANDLE THESE FEATURES SIMILARLY
THROUGH THURSDAY.

EXPECT HIGH AGAIN FROM THE UPPER 80S NEAR THE COAST...WHICH IS
INFLUENCED BY ONSHORE WINDS...AND MID 90S METRO AND INTERIOR.
HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY COME CLOSE TO 95 ONCE AGAIN ON THURS...BUT
NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO EXTEND HEAT ADVISORY FOR NYC. IN
FACT...HEAT INDICES FELL JUST SHORT OF 95 EARLIER.

DRY THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE STORM...WITH SUBSIDENCE PRECEDING
IT AND RIDGE CONTINUING. MOST IF NOT ALL MODEL SOLUTIONS KEEP ANY
QPF TO OUR SOUTH BY FRIDAY MORNING.

THEREAFTER...HURRICANE EARL STILL FORECAST TO PASS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE AREA...SOMEWHERE NEAR THE 40/70 BENCHMARK. GFS THE
QUICKEST AND FURTHEST NORTH WITH THE STORM TRACK...WHEREAS NAM/WRF
THE SLOWEST. THOSE TWO MODELS THE EXTREME SOLUTIONS AS
ENSEMBLES/EC/UKMET/GGEM SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THESE TRACKS.

PLEASE REFER TO LATEST TPC FORECAST WITH REGARD TO HURRICANE EARL.

EARL/S BIGGEST IMPACT WOULD BE ALONG THE COAST...WITH ROUGH SURF
CONDITIONS...POSSIBLE TIDAL ISSUES AND GUSTY WINDS. HIGHEST PROB FOR
TROP WINDS EASTERN LI AND SE CT ( AND NEARBY WATERS). SHOULD BE A
SHARP WEST TO EAST GRADIENT WITH REGARD TO WINDS AND RAIN. COULD
EASILY SEE 1 INCH PLUS EASTERN LONG ISLAND...AND BARELY A DROP TO
THE WEST IN NERN NJ AND ORANGE COUNTY.

THE STORM MOVES TO THE EAST...THEN NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY. UPPER
TROUGH COULD PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR A SHOWER ACROSS THE
INTERIOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY WEST WINDS ANTICIPATED SATURDAY.

TEMPS NEAR NORMAL FRIDAY...AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SATURDAY.

HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON THURSDAY WITH INCREASING SWELLS FROM
HURRICANE EARL.

SWELLS CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT
SATURDAY BEHIND THE STORM.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OVERALL TROUGH EVENTUALLY LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST IN TIME THROUGH THE
PERIOD AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS. SHOULD BE QUIET THROUGH THIS
TIME FRAME WITH GRADUALLY MODERATING TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR THROUGH THU EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OFFSHORE WITH A
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IN PLACE. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE
KSWF...KHPN...AND KGON...WHERE SOME PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN SOME MVFR VSBYS. THIS WILL DISSIPATE BY
SUNRISE THU MORNING. LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT INTO THU MORNING WILL
ALLOW SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS TO DEVELOP AGAIN ON THU...RESULTING
IN WINDS TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY. WINDS INCREASE TO 10-15 KT RANGE
BY LATE THU AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL TERMINALS.

     NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS
CAN BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: WINDS THU AFTERNOON COULD BE MORE SOUTHWESTERLY THAN
FORECAST.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: WINDS THU AFTERNOON COULD BE MORE SOUTHWESTERLY THAN
FORECAST.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: WINDS THU AFTERNOON COULD BE MORE SOUTHWESTERLY THAN
FORECAST.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: WINDS THU AFTERNOON COULD BE MORE SOUTHERLY THAN
FORECAST.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z FRI THROUGH MON...

THU NIGHT...PREVAILING VFR. FOG POSSIBLE AT SOME TERMINALS EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING.

FRI...CONDITIONS WILL DEPEND UPON THE FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY
OF HURRICANE EARL. THE CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER CLOSE
ENOUGH TO HAVE POTENTIAL IMPACTS...ESPECIALLY E OF THE KNYC
TERMINALS. GUSTY WINDS AND BANDS OF SHOWERS...POSSIBLY
TSTMS...WITH SUB-VFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM
FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST NHC FORECAST FOR THE LATEST DETAILS ON HURRICANE EARL.

SAT...VFR WITH GUSTY W-NW WINDS.
SUN-MON...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
BUILDING SOUTHEAST SWELLS FROM HURRICANE EARL WILL RESULT IN ROUGH
SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT ON THE OCEAN WATERS AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING.
THEREFORE WILL START THE SMALL CRAFT FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS EARLY THIS
EVENING. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WAS OVER THE AREA WATERS INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL KEEP WINDS BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.
HURRICANE EARL WILL LIKELY IMPACT THE AREA WATERS FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR
THE LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST ON EARL.

GUSTY WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT BEHIND EARL AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND A
STRONG GRADIENT REMAINS IN ASSOCIATION WITH LOW PRESSURE TO THE
NORTH. SMALL CRAFT GUSTS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN ON THE WATERS INTO
SATURDAY AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY NIGHT.

ROUGH SEAS BEHIND EARL WILL LIKELY LINGER INTO LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AND MOST LIKELY THURSDAY
NIGHT. THEN QPF AMOUNTS FRI AND FRI NIGHT WILL BE DEPENDENT ON EXACT
TRACK OF EARL...WITH HIGHEST POTENTIAL IMPACT FROM HEAVY TROPICAL
RAIN BANDS ACROSS EASTERN LI AND SE CONN. SHOULD OBSERVE A SHARP
GRADIENT IN RAINFALL FROM EAST TO WEST.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CTZ009>012.
NY...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NYZ071>081.
NJ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR NJZ005-006-011.
MARINE...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY
     FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PW
NEAR TERM...PW
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...MET/PW
HYDROLOGY...PW

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 1, 5:06 PM EST, 6 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
606 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

CTZ009>012-NJZ005-006-011-NYZ071>081-021000-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
606 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-021000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
606 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005>008-NJZ002>004-NYZ067>070-021000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
606 PM EDT WED SEP 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.

High Surf, Southeast Suffolk

When: September 2, 12:00 AM EST to September 6, 12:00 AM EST
Where: Southeast Suffolk forecast zone
Reported by: Emergency Manager
Coordinates: 40.941, -72.685 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

There were numerous reports of washovers with beaches flooded as water surged up to the dunes. Many beach roads were flooded in the areas of the Hamptons with Dune Road closed between Shinnecock Inlet and Quogue Village. In addition, dangerous rip currents were reported at ocean beaches Thursday into the weekend.

High Surf, Southwest Suffolk

When: September 3, 12:00 AM EST to September 6, 12:00 AM EST
Where: Southwest Suffolk forecast zone
Reported by: Emergency Manager
Coordinates: 40.941, -72.685 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The New York State Parks Department reported moderate beach erosion at Robert Moses State Park. Many beaches were flooded Friday on September 3rd with localized washovers. In addition, dangerous rip currents were reported at ocean beaches Friday into the weekend.

High Surf, Nassau

When: September 3, 12:00 AM EST to September 6, 12:00 AM EST
Where: Nassau forecast zone
Reported by: Emergency Manager

On Friday, September 3, many ocean beaches were flooded with water up to the dunes. The New York State Parks Department reported severe beach erosion at Jones Beach. In addition, dangerous rip currents were reported at ocean beaches Friday into the weekend.

What these are

High Surf: Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in New York in 2010 Every state in 2010 This day in weather history Warnings in New York, September 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 262572, 262573, 262574.