Slow-moving and heavy rain-producing thunderstorms developed across northern Chaves and Roosevelt County during the early morning hours. The heaviest rain fell east of Rogers and north of Causey.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
Slow-moving and heavy rain-producing thunderstorms developed across northern Chaves and Roosevelt County during the early morning hours. The heaviest rain fell east of Rogers and north of Causey. Six miles east of Rogers, 3.40 inches of rain fell in just under 3 hours, causing flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 25, 2:00 AM MST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 300 AM MDT SAT SEP 25 2010 .DISCUSSION...BOTH GFS/NAM AGREE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PUSHING UP TO EAST SLOPES CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THIS MORNING...WHICH OBS/IMAGERY ARE ON TRACK TO CONFIRM. HOWEVER...THE MODELS MIX OUT THE MOISTURE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS ALSO SUGGEST SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BLEED INTO MAINLY THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY LATER TODAY THEN PUSH WESTWARD TONIGHT. EAST WIND THAT IS FORECAST ISN/T AS STRONG AS WHAT ONE WOULD THINK WOULD BE NEEDED TO DO SO. IN ANY EVENT...THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF ANY MOISTURE THAT DOES MANAGE TO GET PAST THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN IS SHOWN TO MIX OUT ON SUNDAY...ONLY REMAINING ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST AREAS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. CONSEQUENTLY...MADE NUMEROUS CHANGES TO WX/POP/CLOUD GRIDS NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO CAPTURE THE FORECAST TRENDS. IN THE SHORT TERM...SPREAD PATCHY FOG OVER MOST OF THE EAST FOR THIS MORNING. FOR NEXT MONDAY THROUGH MID/LATE WEEK...GFS CONTINUES TREND OF BUILDING UPPER RIDGE TO OUR WEST...THEN MIGRATES IT EASTWARD WITH THE CENTER OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AROUND WEDNESDAY. AS SUGGESTED LAST NIGHT...SOME MOISTURE MAY EVENTUALLY WORK ITS WAY BACK INTO SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...BUT RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS PRETTY DRY THROUGH THE WORK WEEK...AND REMOVED ALL POPS FROM THE WX GRIDS FOR THIS PERIOD. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH AND FOR THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS OF OCTOBER. && .AVIATION...VLIFR CIGS AND VSBYS IN FOG WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST NM...INCLUDING KCAO...THROUGH APPROXIMATELY 14Z BEFORE DISSIPATING. ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...IFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE THRU 16-17Z. SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR AND ACROSS ROOSEVELT COUNTY MAY RESULT IN LIFR VSBYS IN HEAVY RAIN THIS MORNING AS WELL. A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS TODAY. THIS WILL SWITCH THE WIND DIRECTION AROUND TO A NORTH THEN NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE GAPS OF THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN THIS AFTERNOON...RESULTING IN A WEAK EASTERLY GAP WIND AT KABQ. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A KROW TO KTCC LINE. NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. && .FIRE WEATHER...ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND FOGGINESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST...THOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE DOWN THE PLAINS TODAY AS WELL...SWITCHING WINDS FROM SOUTHERLY TO A NORTH AND NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION. REGARDLESS...TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE YESTERDAYS READINGS. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY BEFORE IT SLOWLY SLIDES OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO MID WEEK. BY LATE WEEK...THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH WILL BE IN THE VICINITY OF NE NM. SINCE THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL BE DOMINATING THE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT WEEK...LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE READINGS AND LIGHT WINDS. && PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON...................... 83 47 86 47 / 0 0 5 0 DULCE........................... 78 37 80 38 / 0 0 5 0 CUBA............................ 80 38 82 40 / 0 0 5 0 GALLUP.......................... 79 39 82 39 / 0 0 5 0 EL MORRO........................ 77 37 80 39 / 0 0 5 0 GRANTS.......................... 80 41 83 39 / 0 0 5 0 QUEMADO......................... 79 39 81 42 / 0 5 5 0 GLENWOOD........................ 86 48 87 50 / 5 10 5 5 CHAMA........................... 75 33 76 35 / 0 0 0 0 LOS ALAMOS...................... 80 48 82 48 / 5 0 5 0 PECOS........................... 79 41 80 43 / 5 5 5 5 CERRO/QUESTA.................... 75 36 78 37 / 5 0 0 0 RED RIVER....................... 69 30 70 30 / 10 0 0 0 ANGEL FIRE...................... 70 33 73 33 / 10 0 0 5 TAOS............................ 78 37 80 39 / 5 0 0 0 MORA............................ 77 41 81 40 / 10 5 0 5 ESPANOLA........................ 82 45 82 46 / 5 0 5 0 SANTA FE........................ 81 47 80 48 / 5 5 5 5 SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 82 48 82 48 / 5 5 5 5 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 82 55 83 53 / 5 5 5 5 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 83 57 84 57 / 5 5 5 5 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 84 50 85 50 / 5 5 5 5 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 84 53 85 52 / 5 5 5 0 LOS LUNAS....................... 85 54 86 52 / 5 5 5 5 RIO RANCHO...................... 84 54 84 54 / 5 5 5 0 SOCORRO......................... 86 55 86 53 / 5 10 5 10 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 77 49 78 48 / 5 5 5 5 TIJERAS......................... 80 52 81 50 / 5 5 5 5 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 81 49 83 48 / 10 10 5 5 CLINES CORNERS.................. 75 50 76 50 / 10 10 5 5 GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 82 51 82 50 / 10 10 5 5 CARRIZOZO....................... 84 55 83 53 / 20 20 10 10 RUIDOSO......................... 75 49 76 47 / 20 20 10 10 CAPULIN......................... 77 39 79 43 / 10 0 0 5 RATON........................... 81 39 84 41 / 10 0 0 5 SPRINGER........................ 80 41 82 43 / 10 0 0 5 LAS VEGAS....................... 78 44 80 45 / 10 5 0 5 CLAYTON......................... 80 49 80 50 / 10 0 0 5 ROY............................. 79 47 79 49 / 10 5 0 5 CONCHAS......................... 84 49 82 51 / 10 5 0 5 SANTA ROSA...................... 84 52 82 53 / 10 10 5 5 TUCUMCARI....................... 83 52 83 52 / 10 10 0 5 CLOVIS.......................... 82 52 80 52 / 20 20 5 0 PORTALES........................ 84 54 80 52 / 20 20 5 0 FORT SUMNER..................... 84 57 83 53 / 10 10 5 5 ROSWELL......................... 84 60 82 56 / 20 20 5 0 PICACHO......................... 79 54 79 52 / 20 20 5 5 ELK............................. 75 50 75 49 / 20 20 10 10 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 600 AM MDT FRI SEP 24 2010 NMZ501>540-251200- NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS- NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS- SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS- WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA- LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY- CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA- FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY- HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY- QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY- 600 AM MDT FRI SEP 24 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 85 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:28 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Roads were washed out 6 miles east of Rogers as 3.40 inches of rain fell in 2 hours and 50 minutes. 2.75 inches of rain was also reported 3 miles north-northeast of Causey.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, September 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 253166.