An isolated thunderstorm moved through eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois during the early evening hours September 12. The storm produced a microburst resulting in wind gusts of 60 to 90 mph.
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The episode as NWS DVN wrote it up.
An isolated thunderstorm moved through eastern Iowa and northwestern Illinois during the early evening hours September 12. The storm produced a microburst resulting in wind gusts of 60 to 90 mph.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 12, 2:15 PM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 315 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS... THE UPPER MIDWEST WAS UNDER A BROAD REGION OF THE WNW FLOW THIS MORNING. THE 12Z UA ANALYSIS SHOWED A WEAK S/W OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW. A WAA REGIME DOMINATED THE LOW/MID LEVELS OVER THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE H8 ANALYSIS WAS SHOWING SOME MOISTURE WORKING NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS PER DEWPOINTS AROUND 9C AS FAR NORTH AS CENTRAL NE. AT THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN MO WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROF OVER NW IA. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW AN AREA OF AC MOVING EAST THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL IOWA. && .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND MONDAY... HAVE INTRODUCED SOME ISOLD TSRA INTO THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING. PATCH OF AC WORKING IT/S WAY ACROSS NRN IA IS IN A REGION OF GOOD LOW/MID LEVEL WAA WITH THE RUC SHOWING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 6 TO 6.5 C/K OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. FORCING IS WEAK BUT S/W DROPPING OUT OF THE NRN PLAINS SHOULD ENHANCE THE LIFT FOR AWHILE. ALSO MOISTURE IS LIMITED BUT THE NAM WAS SHOWING SOME OF THE HIGHER DEWPOINTS OVER CENTRAL NE THIS MORNING WORKING EAST INTO CENTRAL IA BY 00Z. ENOUGH FACTORS ARE COMING TOGETHER TO SUPPORT THE MENTION OF ISOLATED TSRA THIS EVENING. THE TSRA IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY SOLUTIONS FROM VARIOUS MESO SCALE MODELS INCLUDING THE HRR AND SPC WRF. FORCING WILL DIMINISH BY 06Z SO KEPT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS DRY. HAVE KEPT MONDAY DRY ALSO. A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL BE STALLED OVER THE SRN MOST COUNTIES DURING THE DAY...HOWEVER BETTER LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL BE FOCUSED FURTHER W CLOSER TO A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. AS THE BOUNDARY SAGS THROUGH THE CWFA TONIGHT DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTH WHILE DEWPOINTS WILL POOL SOME ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SRN CWA. WITH THIS IN MIND...HAVE DROPPED MINS IN THE NORTH TO NEAR 50 AND KEPT MINS AROUND 60 IN THE SOUTH. TEMPS MONDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAYS HIGHS...EXCEPT NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WHERE LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL LIMIT MIXING...HOLDING MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S. ..DLF.. .LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY... ACTIVE PATTERN SETS UP THIS WEEK...RESULTING IN ALMOST DAILY RAIN CHANCES AND TEMPERATURES FALLING BACK TO NEAR AND BELOW NORMAL. LATEST MODELS ARE TRENDING TOWARD BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE GREATEST RAIN CHANCES CENTERED ON A LATE WED/WED NIGHT TIMEFRAME WHEN THE STRONGEST SHORTWAVE IN A SERIES OF IMPULSES IN THE NW FLOW SENDS A SURFACE WAVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...INITIAL MID LEVEL IMPULSE INTERACTS WITH THE WEAK STATIONARY FRONT/BAROCLINIC AXIS THAT SETS UP JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA TO BRING PRECIPITATION CHANCES. INITIAL SATURATION AND CONVERGENCE WILL BE ELEVATED LATE MON NIGHT OVER MAINLY THE FAR W AND SW AND HAVE SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THE PRIMARY MID LEVEL FORCING PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA TUE MORNING...LIKELY ACCOMPANIED BY A DISSIPATING MCS AND HAVE INCREASED POPS INTO CHANCE CATEGORY OVER MOST OF THE AREA. WILL KEEP POPS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS MODELS SUGGEST ADDITIONAL SHOWERS...DESPITE MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE...WHICH MAY LIMIT PRECIPITATION TO JUST VERY LIGHT RAIN. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW...CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL LIMIT HIGHS TO THE 70S. WED AND THU...GFS HAS TRENDED CLOSER TO EARLIER ECM RUNS WITH TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACKING OVER THE FORECAST AREA...WHILE THE LATEST ECM HAS JOINED THE GEM WITH A NORTHWARD SHIFT...CLOSER TO PREVIOUS GFS RUNS. THUS...WHILE CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS LOW...THE NEAR MODEL CONSENSUS TIMING THE UPPER WAVE TRACKING OVER OR JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WED NIGHT JUSTIFIES INCREASING POPS INTO LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTH FOR WED NIGHT AND HAVE KEPT HIGH CHANCES ELSEWHERE. QPF FIELDS WITH CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK DRIVEN SWATHS OF 1 TO 3 PLUS INCHES HEAVY RAINFALL IN SEVERAL MODELS...ALONG WITH AN AXIS OF 1.5 PLUS PW MIGRATING OVER THE REGION...INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. WILL LEAVE OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR IN LATER FORECASTS. HAVE KEPT MENTION OF THUNDER ISOLATED WED NIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTH...WHERE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THE ECM ARE MARGINAL FOR WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS. INTO THU...HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS LINGERING IN CYCLONIC FLOW BEHIND THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 70S. FRI THROUGH SUN...SHOULD HAVE A BREAK OF DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER FRI...THEN DIFFICULT TO RULE OUT AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS SAT AND SUN AS BAROCLINIC AXIS REMAINS JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH ADDITIONAL WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVES TRAVERSING THE REGION. WITH A LOW LEVEL E-NE FLOW...AND POTENTIAL FOR CLOUDS AND SHOWERS...CONTINUED NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL HIGHS OPTIMISTICALLY INTO THE THE 70S WITH LOWS IN THE 50S OVER THE WEEKEND. ..SHEETS.. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 00Z/13. GRADUAL INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE COULD FORCE SOME LIGHT PRECIP OUT OF THIS CLOUD DECK AROUND 00Z/13...MAINLY KCID AND KDBQ...BUT CIGS AND VSBYS WILL REMAIN VFR. ..LEGRO.. && .DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IA...NONE. IL...NONE. MO...NONE. && DLF/SHEETS/LEGRO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 101 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010 IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007- 009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-131815- BUCHANAN-DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-BENTON-LINN-JONES-JACKSON-IOWA-JOHNSON- CEDAR-CLINTON-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON- HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-JO DAVIESS-STEPHENSON-CARROLL- WHITESIDE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON- WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK- 101 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL IOWA...NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO OCCUR ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
448 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010
IAZ041-042-122245-
DELAWARE-DUBUQUE-
448 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010
...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...
AT 443 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR NEW VIENNA...OR 15 MILES EAST OF
MANCHESTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BANKSTON AROUND 505 PM CDT...
EPWORTH AND 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RICKARDSVILLE AROUND 510 PM CDT...
PEOSTA AND CENTRALIA AROUND 515 PM CDT...
ASBURY AND 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DURANGO AROUND 520 PM CDT...
9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAGEVILLE AROUND 525 PM CDT...
6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUBUQUE AROUND 530 PM CDT...
ONE HALF INCH DIAMETER HAIL...WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH... AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
LAT...LON 4259 9069 4252 9063 4250 9065 4248 9065
4246 9061 4242 9055 4239 9052 4239 9054
4249 9123 4260 9121
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 293DEG 27KT 4255 9113PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
457 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0445 PM TSTM WND GST NEW VIENNA 42.55N 91.11W
09/12/2010 E50 MPH DUBUQUE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
TLGPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
519 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0515 PM TSTM WND DMG PEOSTA 42.45N 90.85W
09/12/2010 DUBUQUE IA EMERGENCY MNGR
SEMI-TRUCK BLOWN OVER ON HIGHWAY 20 NEAR PEOSTA.
&&
TLGPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
531 PM CDT SUN SEP 12 2010
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 PM TSTM WND GST DUBUQUE 42.50N 90.69W
09/12/2010 M85 MPH DUBUQUE IA ASOS
&&
TLGThe Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:52 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Wind gusts estimated to be 60 to 70 mph were observed about 1 mile east northeast of Hanover, IL at 555 pm CDT September 12.
Wind gusts estimated to be 70 mph blew down some large tree branches about 1 mile east northeast of Hanover, IL at 555 pm CDT September 12.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, September 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 258928, 258931.