Illinois, 2010

Dense Fog in Illinois, June 1, 2010

June 1, 2010 · NWS LOT · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Dense fog developed across parts of northwest Illinois during the early morning hours of June 1st. A 13 vehicle accident occurred on Route 64 north of Rochelle due to the low visibility.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LOT wrote it up.

Dense fog developed across parts of northwest Illinois during the early morning hours of June 1st. A 13 vehicle accident occurred on Route 64 north of Rochelle due to the low visibility. A semi truck and garbage truck were involved in the accident. No serious injuries were reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Chicago, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 9:57 PM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 9:57 PM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1057 PM CDT MON MAY 31 2010

.DISCUSSION...
307 PM CDT

LATEST RUC ANALYSIS AND VIS/IR/WV/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A COOL FRONT
SLOWLY MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST FROM SAGINAW BAY TO ST. LOUIS.
HEAVIEST LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PUSHED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA...WITH A STRATIFORM WITH EMBEDDED THUNDER AREA
STRETCHING FROM MIDWAY TO PONTIAC.  ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DEVELOPED WELL BEHIND THE FRONT NEAR
ROCKFORD WHERE SOME SURFACE INSTABILITY IS LINGERING...JUST AHEAD OF
A DRY AIR SURGE FROM THE NORTHWEST.  PRECIP COVERAGE IS THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE THE ATTENTION TURNS
TO THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...THE COOL FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE TO THE
SOUTHEAST WHILE BECOMING MORE AND MORE ILL-DEFINED. MODELS STILL
INDICATE SOME INSTABILITY LEFT OVER OVER THE SE FORECAST AREA EARLY
THIS EVENING WHICH COULD CREATE A FEW STORMS...THOUGH RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGESTS PRECIP SHOULD BE OVER BY THEN.  WILL CONTINUE TO LEAVE A
SMALL MENTION THROUGH MID-EVENING...WHICH LINES UP WITH OFFICES TO
THE EAST.  DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL FINALLY MAKE PROGRESS
INTO THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  SHORTWAVE
OVER THE PLAINS IS PROGGED TO SLIDE TO NORTH WHICH WILL PRESERVE THE
CLEARING TREND.  WITH ALL THE RAINFALL...CLEARING SKIES...AND LIGHT
WINDS...POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR SOME FOG TOMORROW MORNING.  DEWPOINTS
UPSTREAM ARE IN THE 40S TO LOW 50S...AND SOME OF THIS DRIER AIR
SHOULD WORK INTO AT LEAST THE NW HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.  WILL
THROW IN AREAS OF FOG FOR THE SOUTHEAST HALF WHERE ALL THE RAIN FELL.
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE MORNING WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST WHICH WILL ALLOW
MUGGIER AIR TO RETURN BY THE AFTERNOON VIA SOUTHWEST WINDS.  DEEPER
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST...HOWEVER.  TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID
80S AWAY FROM LAKE MICHIGAN.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ACTIVE PATTERN BEGINS
TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS CRANKS UP...LEADING TO LLJ DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
IOWA/NEBRASKA.  AT THE SAME TIME...SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS ONTARIO
WILL BE PUSHING A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS MINNESOTA AND
WISCONSIN.  PLENTY OF CONVERGENCE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN THESE TWO
FEATURES IN COMBINATION WITH DIVERGENCE ALOFT IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF A JET STREAK TO SUPPORT MCS DEVELOPMENT TUESDAY EVENING.
WITH WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS UPSTREAM OVER
IOWA/NEBRASKA WILL LIKELY PUSH INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE.  HARD TO
GAUGE ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH SOME CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK IN THE
MODELS...BUT ENOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR (30-40KTS) APPEARS TO BE PRESENT
FOR POTENTIAL BOW ECHOS WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL.  NOCTURNAL CONVECTION PUSHES EAST/WEAKENS
WEDNESDAY MORNING.  HOWEVER...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ALONG WITH THE
SYNOPTIC FRONT DROPPING IN FROM THE NORTH WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR
CONTINUING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A BROAD WARM ADVECTION
REGIME SOUTH OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE.  500MB WINDS ARE STRONGEST
BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT 25-30KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE FOR LOW END SEVERE CHANCES FOR MUCH OF THE DAY WITHIN THE
WARM SECTOR.  SHORTWAVE TROUGH THEN PROGRESSES ACROSS THE PLAINS
SENDING A SURFACE LOW ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE.  WHERE THIS LOW
TRACKS IS UP FOR DEBATE (UNCERTAINTY OF WHICH EXTENDS INTO THURSDAY)
AND MAY DEPEND ON HOW FAR SOUTH OUTFLOW PUSHES THE FRONT TO THE
SOUTH.  WILL CONTINUE THE HIGH CHANCE POPS INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO BIG CHANGES IN MODEL PREFERENCE THIS
MORNING FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...AS HPC STICKS
WITH THE ECMWF.  HOWEVER...ZONAL FLOW WILL BE PREVALENT MAKING IT
DIFFICULT TO TIME INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVES MOVING WITHIN THE FAST FLOW
ALOFT.  AS A RESULT CONTINUITY ISNT THE BEST FRIDAY ONWARD...SO WILL
TRY TO BLEND IN SOME GFS ENSEMBLE IDEAS.

STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES FOR THE TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY.  THE 00Z ECMWF
IS THE LONE STALWART FOR A NORTHERLY TRACK...POSSIBLY OWING TO ITS
SLOWER TIMING OF THE SHORTWAVE APPROACHING THE REGION.  WILL BLEND
THE SOUTHERLY AND NORTHERLY TRACKS WHICH KEEPS DECENT CONTINUITY
WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.  IN ANY CASE...ACTIVE WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ON THURSDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
CONVECTION/MCS POSSIBILITIES DEPENDS ON THE TRACK AND RESULTANT
LOCATION OF INSTABILITY...WHICH CANNOT REALLY BE DETERMINED YET.
CONDITIONS DRY OUT THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE AREA.  NEXT WAVE POTENTIALLY ARRIVES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY WITH A VIGOROUS JET STREAM APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST.
WILL DRY THINGS OUT SUNDAY BEHIND THE SYSTEM WITH COOLER/LESS HUMID
AIR RETURNING.

MPC

&&

.AVIATION...

//ORD AND MDW CONCERNS...UPDATED 04Z...

CONCERNS REMAIN FOG OVERNIGHT INTO THE DAWN HOURS DUE TO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS AND A NEAR-SATURATED BOUNDARY LAYER FROM EARLIER RAIN.
MVFR FOG IS ALREADY BEING OBSERVED AT SEVERAL AREA AIRPORTS.
CONDITIONS FAVOR GENERAL DETERIORATION IN VISIBILITIES. LINGERING
STRATUS HANGING ON JUST SOUTH OF MDW TOWARDS GYY...WHICH SHOULD
TAKE THE TREND OF THE PAST COUPLE HOURS AND SHIFT SLIGHTLY SOUTH.
FOG STILL APPEARS TO BE THE DOMINANT PLAYER OVERNIGHT...BUT SOME
OF THE STRATUS MAY ABATE THE LOWER VISIBILITIES FOR A
WHILE...AND/OR MAKE IT TEMPORARY AT TIMES AT MDW. GIVEN THE
VISIBILITY TRENDS...LIFR FOG IS TEMPORARILY POSSIBLE AT MDW BETWEEN
09Z AND 12Z.

MTF

//DISCUSSION...UPDATED 00Z...

THE PRIMARY FRONT IS NOW WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
TERMINALS...WITH THE SECONDARY FRONT PROVIDING THE WIND SHIFT
STRETCHED FROM FAR SOUTHEAST WI TO NEAR PEORIA. THIS WILL NOT
PROGRESS MUCH FURTHER SOUTHEAST BEFORE LOSING DEFINITION THIS
EVENING. THIS WILL YIELD LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...AT TIMES
CALM...FROM MID-EVENING TO DAYBREAK AT THE TAF SITES. GIVEN THE
RAIN-MOISTENED BOUNDARY LAYER...FOG IS PROBABLE...ESPECIALLY WHEN
CONSIDERING A 40 YEAR CONDITIONAL CLIMATOLOGY GOING INTO THE
NIGHTTIME HOURS. THE CURRENT SMALL TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS
AT MDW AND GYY FAVOR A NEARLY 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF MVFR FOG FOR
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND 30 TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF IFR. FOR IFR
VISIBILITY...THIS PROBABILITY IS AROUND FIVE TIMES HIGHER THAN
CLIMATOLOGY FOR A MAY AND JUNE EARLY MORNING. SO HAVE INCLUDED IFR
FOG MENTION. OTHER SITES ARE MORE PROBABLE TO SEE MVFR. THE
LINGERING STRATUS IN THE WAKE OF THE RAIN FROM MDW THROUGH
NORTHWEST INDIANA SHOULD GRADUALLY FADE DURING THE EARLY TO MID
EVENING...WITH THE HYDROLAPSE STRONGLY FAVORING FOG OVERNIGHT. IT
IS POSSIBLE SOME STRATUS LINGERS NEAR GYY THROUGH THE ENTIRE
NIGHT.

A DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE PLAINS STATES
TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATER ON TUESDAY...WHICH OUTSIDE
OF THE LAKE BREEZE INFLUENCE WILL CREATE SOUTHERLY WINDS. ON A PRE-
FRONTAL DAY ON SUNDAY THE LAKE BREEZE DID MAKE IT THROUGH MDW...BUT
THAT WAS A WARMER DAY THAN FORECAST ON TUESDAY...SO WILL KEEP THE
LAKE BREEZE SHY OF ORD AND MDW...BUT BRING THROUGH GYY.

MTF

//ORD AND MDW CONFIDENCE...UPDATED 04Z...

CONFIDENCE IN OVERNIGHT SUSTAINED MVFR FOG IS HIGH AT BOTH
AIRPORTS. CONFIDENCE IN IFR FOG FOR SEVERAL HOURS AT MDW IS
HIGH...WHILE IT REMAINS LOW FOR ORD. THE AMOUNT OF LOW CLOUDS IN
THE MDW TAF HAS MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

MTF

//OUTLOOK FOR ORD/MDW FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY-12Z SUNDAY...UPDATED 00Z...

TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF TSRA LATE. MVFR POSSIBLE WITH PRECIP.

WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF TSRA AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. MVFR POSSIBLE.

THURSDAY...CHANCE OF TSRA DURING THE DAY. MVFR POSSIBLE.

FRIDAY...CHANCE OF TSRA.

SATURDAY...CHANCE OF TSRA.

SUNDAY...VFR.

MTF

&&

.MARINE...
101 PM CDT

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THESE STORMS
MAY PRODUCE BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 40KT.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT...AND WILL PASS ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL BRING CLEARING SKIES THIS EVENING ALONG WITH LIGHT NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BE TAKING SHAPE OVER WESTERN KANSAS BY
TUESDAY EVENING. THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES BY WEDNESDAY...BRINGING MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN AS EARLY AS TUESDAY NIGHT.

MERZLOCK

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 11:43 PM CST, 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1243 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-
020545-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-
DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
1243 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010 /143 AM EDT TUE JUN 1 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AREAS OF DENSE
FOG ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 80
CORRIDOR. VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE WILL BE A PERIODIC CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE...MAINLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NECESSARY THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

LMZ740>745-020545-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
1243 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-020545-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TOW RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
1243 AM CDT TUE JUN 1 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

COMPLETE FORECAST INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE NWS CHICAGO
WEBPAGE: WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO

MARSILI

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 dense fog. Local standard time, as filed.

Dense Fog, Ogle

When
June 1, 12:00 AM CST to 8:00 AM CST
Where
Ogle forecast zone
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
42.043, -89.321 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Dense Fog
Fog reducing visibility to a quarter mile or less, filed where it caused accidents or disruption.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Illinois in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, June 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 243843.