Florida, 2010

Rip Current in Florida, June 25, 2010

June 25, 2010 · NWS MFL · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Moderate to strong easterly winds led to the formation of strong rip currents along the Atlantic beaches of South Florida.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Moderate to strong easterly winds led to the formation of strong rip currents along the Atlantic beaches of South Florida.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 25, 1:19 PM EST, 4 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 1:19 PM EST, 4 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
219 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...THIS FORECAST CYCLE IS GOING TO BE EASY FOR THE
FIRST 6 HOURS OR SO. THEN IT GETS MIGHTY TRICKY. THE NAM, GFS AND
ECMWF MODELS HAVE ALL BEEN CONSISTENT THE PAST FEW RUNS BUT THEY
ALSO ALL HAVE DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS. BOTH THE NAM AND ECMWF SHOW
SOME KIND OF CIRCULATION DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH THEN KEEPS THE DEEP MOISTURE TO OUR
SOUTH. THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN DRAWING
THIS MOISTURE NORTH AND THE 12Z RUN IS NO DIFFERENT. MY THINKING
IS THAT THIS NORTHWARD MOISTURE PROGRESSION IS TOO AGGRESSIVE
CONSIDERING THE LOCATION OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA. SO PLAN ON GOING LOWER THAN MAV GUIDANCE FOR THE SE CST
BUT HIGHER THAN THE MET SINCE IT IS ONLY CALLING FOR ISOLATED. THE
SW COAST LOOKS LIKE AN EASIER DECISION AS BOTH MET AND MAV ARE
EQUAL ALTHOUGH IT APPEARS FOR DIFFERENT REASONING. DEPENDING ON
WHAT DEVELOPMENT DOES OCCUR, SUNDAY DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A MUCH
EASIER FORECAST WITH LARGE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MET AND MAV AGAIN
ALONG THE EAST COAST.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, THE FORECAST DOES NOT
LOOK SIMPLE EITHER. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF IN THIS PERIOD HAVE ALSO BEEN
CONSISTENT BUT AGAIN WITH DIFFERING SOLUTIONS. THE ECMWF SHOWS A
MUCH MORE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WHICH
THEN AMPLIFIES THE MID LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
THE CONTINENT. THE GFS HOWEVER DOES NOT SHOW MUCH TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND IT LOOKS AT A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE NORTHERN LATITUDES AND BEGINS DIGGING IT INTO THE
EASTERN U.S. WHILE THE ECMWF SHOWS THIS TROUGH MOVING OVER THE
RIDGE AND INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS WILL PLAY A ROLE ON HOW
UNSTABLE WE BECOME NEXT WEEK AS THE GFS SOLUTION WOULD
SIGNIFICANTLY DESTABILIZE OUR ATMOSPHERE. SO AT THIS POINT, UNTIL
FURTHER MODEL RUNS BECOME AVAILABLE AND MORE IN AGREEMENT (MAYBE) WILL
NOT CHANGE THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.MARINE...PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA AND THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL
MAINTAIN THE MODERATE TO FRESH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW ACROSS
THE SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS. DUE TO THIS GRADIENT, THE WINDS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL BE THE STRONGEST
WITH A SCEC STATEMENT FOR THERE INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY. THIS WILL
BE THE TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL ALSO
INCREASE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO SCATTERED COVERAGE BY
SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO PROBLEMS OR CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  80  89  80  89 / 20 40 40 50
FORT LAUDERDALE  81  90  80  90 / 20 50 40 50
MIAMI            81  90  80  90 / 20 50 50 50
NAPLES           78  93  77  92 / 20 40 40 50

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...30/KOB
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...15/JR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 2:25 PM EST, 3 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
325 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-252330-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
325 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES ATLANTIC BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: EASTERLY WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES.

THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA. LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM ANY STORMS
WHICH DEVELOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

TROPICAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
THE AREA. ISOLATED AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR AND
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

GREGORIA

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Coastal Broward County

When
June 25, 5:30 PM EST
Where
Coastal Broward County forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
26.152, -80.456 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A 44-year-old man died trying to save a woman who was caught in a rip current about 300 yards north of the Dania Beach Pier. The victim along with 4 other people jumped in the water to save the woman, who according to police, was drunk.

Winds were east at 15 to 20 mph, ideal conditions for rip currents to form.

No lifeguards were on duty at the time of the incident.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Coastal Broward County2010-06-2544MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, June 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 244795.