Florida, 2010

Wildfire in Florida, December 15 to 16, 2010

December 15 to 16, 2010 · NWS JAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Arson caused a string of 8 to 12 fires over a 6 week period in the Treaty Park area of St. Johns county.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.

Arson caused a string of 8 to 12 fires over a 6 week period in the Treaty Park area of St. Johns county. Dry conditions fueled fire development.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 14, 9:37 PM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 9:37 PM EST, 2 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
937 PM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...
TEMPS DROPPED OFF QUICKLY THIS EVENING WITH MANY LOCATIONS
DROPPING TO OR BELOW FREEZING BY 7 PM. DEWPOINTS REMAIN VERY LOW
WITH AMG CURRENTLY REPORTING A DEWPOINT OF 9 DEGREES. MSAS SURFACE
PRESSURE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT HIGH PRESSURE HAS NOSED ITS WAY
INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST WITH MANY SITES ALREADY COMPLETELY
DECOUPLED...PARTICULARLY OVER SE GEORGIA. SOME LIGHT DRAINAGE FLOW
HAS KEPT WINDS IN THE 3 TO 4 KNOT RANGE ALONG THE COAST. TEMPS ARE
STILL IN THE MID 30S AT THE COAST AND DOWN INTO THE MID TO UPPER
20S EVERYWHERE ELSE. HOURLY FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON
TRACK...MAYBE A TAD LOW AT THE COAST...BUT OVERALL IN EXCELLENT
SHAPE. MID LEVEL CLOUDS UPSTREAM HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING OVER
CENTRAL GEORGIA AS THEY MOVE INTO EXTREMELY DRY AIRMASS. MODELS
STILL INSIST THAT SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL SPREAD OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. PREVIOUS FORECAST HAS ALL OF
THIS WELL IN HAND AND NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE TEMP FORECAST
TONIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER TEENS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR TO THE MID TO UPPER 20S AT THE BEACHES. JAX AND GNV
SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEMS BREAKING RECORDS TONIGHT GIVEN THAT THEY
ARE CURRENTLY ONLY 2 DEGREES AWAY FROM PREVIOUSLY ESTABLISHED
RECORDS FOR THIS DATE.

      DEC 15TH
SITE RECORD MIN
---- ----------
JAX  25 IN 1962
GNV  26 IN 1989*
AMG  17 IN 1962
SSI  23 IN 1962

* AND PREVIOUS YEARS

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR. FEW-SCT MID CLOUDS FROM THE NW SHOULD
BEGIN TO ARRIVE AROUND SUNRISE WED MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...OFFSHORE WATERS ARE EXPERIENCING SCEC CONDS WITH AN
OCCASIONAL GUST ABOVE 20 KT. SEAS ARE NOW 4-5 FT AT BUOY 41012.
WILL MAKE NO SIG CHANGES IN THE UPDATE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A FEW SITES CONTINUE TO REPORT RH'S LESS THAN 30
PERCENT AS DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS.
EXCEEDINGLY DRY CONDS EXPECTED AGAIN WED AND RED FLAGS ARE IN PLACE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  20  48  31  65 /   0   0   0  10
SSI  26  48  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  20  51  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  24  51  36  66 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  17  53  29  66 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  17  54  29  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
     BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
     NASSAU-PUTNAM-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR FLAGLER-ST
     JOHNS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ALACHUA-
     BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
     HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
     SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR APPLING-
     ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF
     DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.

AM...NONE.
&&

JDS/MKT
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 10:30 AM EST, 13 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1030 AM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-151000-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
1030 AM EST TUE DEC 14 2010

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS TONIGHT...

COLD TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY
REACHING THE 40S. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER TODAY...BUT WIND CHILLS WILL
REMAIN IN THE 30S MOST OF THE DAY.

ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A WIDESPREAD HARD
FREEZE. SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE PRODUCT FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THE DRY AIRMASS WILL BRING DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AS A COLD
FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

PP/SEC

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, St. Johns

When
December 15, 12:00 AM EST to December 16, 12:00 AM EST
Where
St. Johns forecast zone
Reported by
Broadcast Media

A string of 8 to 12 wildfires in St. Johns county was due to arson. Fires burned near the Treaty Park area and Flagler Estates. Homes were threatened at times, but no damage was reported. By the afternoon of the 16th, the fires had burned about 12-15 acres.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, December 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 266551.