Drought in Texas, September 1 to 14, 2009

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
903 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2009

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SHOWERS PASSING OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AT
THIS TIME. THUS...HAVE LOWERED RAIN CHANCES FOR TONIGHT. DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE...A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
...AND MID-LEVEL TROUGHINESS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL COMBINE TO
PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SPIGOT SHUTS OFF FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS
BUILDING MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DRIVES
DRIER AIR INTO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. RAIN CHANCES MAY RESUME
EARLY NEXT WEEK IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER BURST OF DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE.
&&

.MARINE...BOY020 REPORTED WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 6 TO 8 KNOTS
WITH SEA 1.3 FEET AT 3 SECONDS. A STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES TO BE
OVER SOUTH TEXAS THIS EVENING CAUSING LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS.  SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON TUESDAY WITH AN ABUNDANT
SUPPLY OF MOISTURE MOVING IN FROM THE GULF.  WINDS WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY WEAK FROM THE EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRIER AIR IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF BY LATE WEDNESDAY CAUSING
RAIN CHANCES TO DIMINISH.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGIONAL AIRPORTS
THROUGH 24 HOURS WITH TEMPO IFR IN ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...
MAINLY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE EXCEPT STRONGER NEAR TSTMS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  76  87  80  90 /  20  60  60  60
BROWNSVILLE          75  88  79  92 /  20  60  60  60
HARLINGEN            74  89  78  92 /  20  60  60  60
MCALLEN              75  89  76  93 /  20  60  60  60
RIO GRANDE CITY      73  93  75  94 /  20  60  60  60
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   79  87  81  87 /  20  60  60  60
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...TOMASELLI-66
MARINE/AVIATION/MESO...FLATT-65

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
925 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2009

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-011100-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
925 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AS WELL AS OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

65