Mississippi, 2009

Tornado and Flash Flooding in Mississippi, February 27 to 28, 2009

February 27 to 28, 2009 · NWS JAN · 37 events in 14 counties and zones

A severe weather event containing large hail, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding slowly evolved on February 27 and lasted into the early morning hours of the 28th. All the active weather remained focused across the northern portion of the forecast area.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2.3 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
37

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.

A severe weather event containing large hail, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding slowly evolved on February 27 and lasted into the early morning hours of the 28th. All the active weather remained focused across the northern portion of the forecast area. This region saw multiple rounds of storms along with several episodes of severe weather. The majority of the severe storms occurred between 6 and 10 am, then again between noon and 3 pm. Due to the slow evolution of the system and repetitive nature of many storms, locally heavy rainfall occurred with many reports of flash flooding. The heaviest rains fell along and north of a line from Grenada to Starkville to Columbus Mississippi. Here rainfall totals ranged from 5 to 8 inches. Between 4 and 6 am, on February 28, the rainfall finally shifted out of the area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 4:26 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 4:26 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
426 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

.SHORT TERM...FOCUS WILL BE ON SVR STORMS TODAY...WHERE WILL THE
OCCUR AND WHAT WILL THEY PRODUCE. ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
IS A VERY REAL POSSIBILITY FOR CENTRAL/EAST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE
CWA.

AS FOR THE SETUP AND OVERALL SYNOPTIC FEATURES...NOT A GREAT DEAL
HAS CHANGED. THE MEAT OF THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH HAS LIFTED N/NE OF
THE REGION AND WE ARE LEFT WITH GENERAL TROUGHINESS WITH MULTIPLE
EMBEDDED S/W THAT WILL IMPACT THE CWA THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONALLY
A STRONG UPPER JET IS DIVING OUR WAY AND STRONG ASCENT ELEMENTS ARE
NOTED ON WV IMAGERY AS OF 10Z. THIS JET WILL PLACE A GOOD PORTION OF
THE N HALF OF MY CWA UNDER VERY FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT DYNAMICS.
ADDITIONALLY...WE HAVE AN APPROACHING FRONT IN THE LOW LEVELS. THIS
FRONTAL FEATURE IS HELPING TO FOCUS RICH THETA E AIR AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY. THIS 850 MB THETA E AXIS IS CURRENTLY ACROSS E TX WITH
330K VALUES. THIS MOISTURE AXIS WILL ADVECT INTO THE CWA LATER THIS
MORNING AND KEEP THE MOISTURE FOCUSED BETWEEN I-20 AND HWY 82. THIS
WILL BE THE REGION OF NEARLY ALL THE ACTIVITY TODAY. THE CAP IS
STILL HOLDING ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA...BUT IT IS GETTING ERODED
ACROSS THE N AS STORMS AND LIFT ARE MOVING THROUGH. MORE ASCENT WILL
MOVE IN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HRS AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR A MORE
VOLATILE SETUP AS WARMING OCCURS DURING THE MORNING.

NEARLY ALL WX PARAMETERS ARE SIMILAR TO WHAT HAS BEEN ADVERTISED.
LOOK FOR MLCAPE VALUES TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 800-1200 J/KG WITH
LI'S -4 TO -6. LAPSE RATES WILL BE RUNNING 7-8 C/KM WITH VERTICAL
TOTALS 27-29C. WITH ALL THIS IN PLACE...ANYTIME WE HAVE CONVECTION
IT BECOMES SEVERE. THE BIG QUESTION MARK IS LOW LEVEL SHEAR. MODELS
ARE WEAKENING IT DURING THE DAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SLOW
MOVING/STALLED SFC FRONT. HOWEVER...NOT SURE IF THE MODELS WILL BE
ABLE TO PICK UP ON THAT DETAIL...BUT EVEN OUR HI RES LOCAL WRF RUNS
SHOW THAT. THE BEST LOW LEVEL SHEAR LOOKS TO STAY SOMEWHAT AWAY FROM
THE SFC BOUNDARY...GENERALLY NEAR I-20 OR JUST TO THE SOUTH. THE
PROBLEM IS...THAT AREA WILL LIKELY STAY CAPPED. THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS GOOD 40-50KTS AND SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL STORMS. ACTUALLY...ALL
LOCAL HI RES WRF RUNS AS WELL AS NCEPS 4 KM WRF RUNS SHOW MULTIPLE
SUPERCELL STORMS TODAY ALONG WITH CLUSTERS OF STORMS. THIS HAS
INCREASED MY CONFIDENCE A GREAT DEAL WRT TO STORM MODE.
ADDITIONALLY...NEARLY ALL STORMS SHOW DEVIANT MOTION TO THE ESE.
THAT HAS BIG IMPACTS ON WHAT AREAS COULD BE HIT BY STORMS. I WILL
ORIENT THE PROB HAZARDS AS WELL AS THE GRAPHICAST TO SHOW THE SVR
RISK TODAY WITH A SUBTLE ESE ORIENTATION INSTEAD OF DUE W-E OR
SW-NE.

AS I STATED EARLIER...THE CORRIDOR BETWEEN I-20 AND HWY 82 LOOKS TO
BE THE MAIN REGION. LOOK FOR SUPERCELLS TO PRODUCE QUARTER TO
GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL WITH SOME STONES LARGE THAN THAT IF A STRONG
MESO CAN BE GENERATED. DMG WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH
SOME TORNADOES. I CAN SEE THE AREA E OF I-55 AND BETWEEN HWY 82 AND
I-20 HAVING THE GREATEST RISK FOR TORNADOES AS THAT REGION WILL BE
WHERE MATURE STORMS AND POTENTIALLY LONG LIVED MESO'S WILL MOVE
THROUGH. ADDITIONALLY...THE BEST LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS FOCUSED THERE
ALONG WITH THE COLDEST TEMPS ALOFT AND MOVE FAVORABLE UPPER JET. A
LONE STRONG TOR CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL...BUT FOR THAT TO
OCCUR...A VERY STRONG UPDRAFT WILL HAVE TO BE GENERATED TO OVERCOME
THE SOMEWHAT TAME LOW LEVEL SHEAR.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ENOUGH OF A CONCERN AND HAS HIGH ENOUGH
CONFIDENCE ON OCCURRENCE THAT I HAVE ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM
NOON TO 3 AM. I TRIED TO FOCUS THE WATCH WHERE I FEEL THE MOST
TRAINING OF STORMS WILL OCCUR AND THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL MOVE
THROUGH. BASED ON MODEL OUTPUT...THE HEAVIEST QPF IS FOCUSED TO MY
E/NE. HOWEVER...THAT USUALLY HAPPENS AS MODELS TEND TO PUSH THE BEST
RAINS DOWN STREAM. WHAT USUALLY HAPPENS IS THE HEAVIEST RAINS OCCUR
NEAR INITIATION AND WHERE THE BEST TRAINING OCCURS WITH IS OFTEN W
OR SW OF THE MODEL QPF BULLSEYE. I EXPECT 3-5 INCHES LOCALLY WHICH
COULD CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES EVEN WITH SOMEWHAT DRY SOIL CONDITIONS.

FOR THE OVERNIGHT...THIS TIME FRAME IS TOUGH AND I DON'T HAVE A REAL
GOOD FEEL ABOUT IT. THERE LOOKS TO BE A LULL FOR A COUPLE HRS AS THE
ATMS RESPONDS TO THE MUCH LARGE AND EVOLVE TROUGH WHICH WILL BE
DROPPING OUT OF THE PLAINS. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND AS
FORCING BECOME STRONGER...I CAN SEE SOME ISOLATED SVR STORMS ALONG
THE ACCELERATING COLD FRONT. THE BEST RISK AREA FOR THIS WILL BE
ALONG AND SE OF THE TRACE AND LIKELY OCCUR AROUND AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

BEHIND OUR FRONT...COLD TEMPS WILL MOVE IN AND CLOUDS WILL LINGER.
HIGHS SAT WILL OCCUR EARLY IN THE PERIOD AND TEMPS WILL LIKELY FALL
THROUGH THE DAY. RAINFALL WILL BE TAPERING OFF BUT WITH THE LARGE
CLOSED LOW APPROACHING...LIGHT RA AND DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE.
/CME/

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE
LONG TERM IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THIS
SCENARIO AND ARE CONTINUING TO TREND TOWARD A SNOWFALL POTENTIAL FOR
AT LEAST THE NORTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA.  BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE OVER IN GEORGIA WITH THE FRONT SOUTHEAST OF
THE ARKLAMISS REGION. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN USHERING INTO THE
ARKLAMISS REGION TO BRING TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S TO UPPER 30S
BY THE EARLY EVENING...AND INTO THE MIDDLE 30S BY LATE EVENING FOR
THE ARKLAMISS REGION. IN THE MEANTIME...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
EXPECTED TO DIP DOWN THROUGH THE ARKLAMISS REGION SATURDAY EVENING
AND MOVE OVER SOUTH ALABAMA BY AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. THIS
SHOULD BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME MOISTURE TO GIVE LIGHT PRECIP
OVER THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
THAT PRECIP SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOWFALL...ESPECIALLY BY LATE
SATURDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  POPS HAVE COME IN A BIT
HIGHER FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL.  WITH INCREASING CONFIDENCE HAVE
PRETTY MUCH REMAINED WITH GUI AND HAVE SPREAD THE SNOW WX WORDING
FURTHER SOUTHWEST.  FOR THE EARLY EVENING...PUT IN A RAIN OR SNOW
MIX.  HOWEVER EXPECT THE PRECIP TO BE ALL SNOW BY THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.  AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT.  HAVE KEPT FLURRY
WORDING GENERALLY SOUTHWEST OF A GREENWOOD TO MERIDIAN LINE...WITH
LIGHT SNOW WORDING NORTHEAST. AT THIS TIME DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE
WAY OF ACCUMULATIONS. BUT OBVIOUSLY THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE TO BE
WATCHED.

BEGINNING SUNDAY THE AREA WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER
THROUGH AT LEAST AROUND THURSDAY OR SO. COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK WITH WEAK CAA PERSISTING THROUGH THIS
TIME.  THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK AROUND OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE 50S OR
LOWER...WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY THOUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK THE AREA SHOULD
SEE A DECENT WARM UP.  THERE WILL BE A DECENT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION.  AND THE SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BRING RETURN FLOW TO THE ARKLAMISS
REGION TO GIVE MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND INTO THE MIDDLE 70S EXPECTED. HAVE WENT
AHEAD AND RAISED TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE DEGREES FOR MOST SITES FOR
HIGHS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
ENSEMBLE GUI VALUES. MODELS ARE IN A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHEN
RAIN WILL RETURN TO THE ARKLAMISS REGION...BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS
AS IF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...POSSIBLY
LONGER INTO THE WEEKEND./14/

&&

.AVIATION...THE MAIN FOCUS WILL TRYING TO TIME THE CONVECTION TODAY.
THIS WILL BE TOUGH AS A LARGE WINDOW WILL EXIST WHERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FORE SITES ALONG AND N OF I-20. MULTIPLE STORMS AND STORM
CLUSTERS ARE ANTICIPATED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EVENING. OUTSIDE
THE STORMS...MVFR CEILINGS WILL OCCUR FOR MOST SITES. SITES ALONG
AND S OF I-20 MAY SEE CEILINGS EXCEED 3 KFT AS TEMPS WARM TO THE MID
70S...BUT THESE WILL GET REDUCED NEAR STORMS AND THEN AGAIN BY
01-03Z. COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LOOK FOR IFR
CEILINGS TO DEVELOP.

IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN UNTIL SUNDAY WITH SOME LIFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME LIGHT SNOW
DEVELOP OVER THE NE HALF OF THE AREA SAT NIGHT. ALL CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE BY SUN AFTERNOON. /CME/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  52  53  32 /  68  90  43  31
MERIDIAN      75  56  57  32 /  80  83  60  49
VICKSBURG     75  50  52  32 /  62 100  30  20
HATTIESBURG   77  60  62  36 /  60  77  60  26
NATCHEZ       75  53  54  34 /  39  91  25  10
GREENVILLE    69  45  46  30 /  97 100  40  37
GREENWOOD     70  46  49  30 / 100 100  48  47

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     MSZ026>033-035>039-042>046-050>052.

LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM: CME
LONG  TERM: 14
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 5:09 AM CST, 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
509 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ018-019-025>052-056>058-281115-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-
LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
509 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20
ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANAN MOST OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS
BETWEEN HIGHWAY 82 AND I-20. SEVERAL SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND
OTHER STORM CLUSTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION AND THEY ALL
COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...BETWEEN QUARTER AND GOLF BALL SIZE WITH
SOME HAIL STONES POSSIBLY LARGER WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. OTHER
RISKS WILL COME FROM DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORM THAT OCCURS CLOSER
TO I-20. GENERALLY SPEAKING...THERE IS NO REAL SPECIFIC TIME WHEN
STORMS WILL OCCUR. FORECASTS MODELS AND CONDITIONS APPEAR TO FAVOR A
LARGE WINDOW OF TIME WHERE MULTIPLE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AND INDIVIDUAL STORMS MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST WHILE ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY
REDEVELOPS BACK TO THE WEST. THE RESULT COULD BE A RATHER HIGH END
EVENT FOR A FOCUSED PORTION OF THE SERVICE AREA.

DUE TO THE REPETITIVE NATURE OF THIS EVENT...SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. AREAS EAST OF I-55 AND BETWEEN I-20 AND HIGHWAY 82 LOOK TO
HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN. IF THIS
OCCURS...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

AROUND AND AFTER MIDNIGHT...A MORE POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WILL HEAD OUR WAY AND HELP TO INCREASE STORM ACTIVITY ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AS IT PUSHES EAST. LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE NATCHEZ
TRACE COULD SEE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE THE
MAIN RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A GREENWOOD TO
MERIDIAN LINE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW AN
INCH. PLEASE CONTINUE TO CHECK BACK TO LATER FORECASTS CONCERNING
THIS POSSIBLE WINTER WEATHER.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>055-059>066-072>074-281115-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
509 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...MAINLY AREAS SOUTH OF I-20.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-20 THIS
AFTERNOON. IF ONE CAN DEVELOP...IT WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...ALONG WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN DURING THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...
ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

CME
14

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 27, 3:16 AM CST, 2 hours 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
316 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSZ018-270945-
BOLIVAR MS-
316 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF ROSEDALE AT 316 AM
CST...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL BOLIVAR COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

CAW
Special weather statement, Feb 27, 3:52 AM CST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
352 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSZ018-019-271020-
BOLIVAR MS-SUNFLOWER MS-
352 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF CLEVELAND AT 352 AM
CST...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL SUNFLOWER AND CENTRAL BOLIVAR COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

CAW
Local storm report, Feb 27, 3:59 AM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
359 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0356 AM     HAIL             2 NW CLEVELAND          33.76N 90.75W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

CME
Special weather statement, Feb 27, 4:23 AM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
423 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSZ019-025-271105-
SUNFLOWER MS-LEFLORE MS-
423 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER RULEVILLE AT 423 AM CST...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN LEFLORE AND EAST CENTRAL SUNFLOWER COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

CAW

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 166 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:59 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

20 hail, 12 flash flood, 4 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Bolivar

When
February 27, 6:00 AM CST to 6:21 AM CST
Where
Bolivar County, 1.73 mi WNW of Eutaw to 6 mi E of Benoit
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.656, -91.159

An isolated severe thunderstorm caused penny size hail which covered the lawn. Some of the hail could have been larger.

Hail, Sunflower

When
February 27, 6:43 AM CST to 6:49 AM CST
Where
Sunflower County, 2.1 mi ESE of Mc Daniels to 2.4 mi E of Moorhead
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.465, -90.569

An isolated severe thunderstorm dumped nickel size hail along Highway 82 just north of Moorhead.

Hail, Leflore

When
February 27, 6:49 AM CST to 7:00 AM CST
Where
Leflore County, 6.6 mi WSW of Itta Bena to 1.08 mi NNE of Quito
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.463, -90.436

An isolated severe storm caused nickel size hail near Itta Bena.

Hail, Bolivar

When
February 27, 7:18 AM CST to 7:30 AM CST
Where
Bolivar County, 1.18 mi WNW of Victor to 2.53 mi E of Cleveland
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.787, -90.849

An isolated severe thunderstorm caused nickel size hail near Cleveland.

Hail, Sunflower

When
February 27, 7:30 AM CST to 7:55 AM CST
Where
Sunflower County, 6.4 mi WSW of Drew to 4.6 mi SE of Drew
Measured
1.25 in hail
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.785, -90.633

A swath of quarter to half dollar size hail fell across northern Sunflower County.

Flash Flood, Grenada

When
February 27, 7:45 AM CST to 9:15 AM CST
Where
Grenada County, 2 mi E of Grenada to 2 mi S of Grenada
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$8,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.780, -89.785

The first round of heavy rain occurred during the morning hours and produced locally heavy rainfall. This cluster of storms moved through the county and caused water to cover portions of U.S. Highway 51.

Hail, Leflore

When
February 27, 7:45 AM CST to 8:16 AM CST
Where
Leflore County, 6.09 mi NW of Highlandale to 1.09 mi SW of Tinter City
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.736, -90.432

An isolated severe storm caused penny size hail near Minter City.

Thunderstorm Wind, Clay

When
February 27, 7:57 AM CST
Where
Clay County, 0.98 mi N of West Pt
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$200
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.614, -88.651

Numerous large limbs were blown down around West Point.

Hail, Lowndes

When
February 27, 8:20 AM CST to 8:24 AM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 1.94 mi NNE of (Cbm)columbus Afb to 0.69 mi S of Caledonia
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.675, -88.435

Penny sized hail fell just south of Caledonia.

Thunderstorm Wind, Lowndes

When
February 27, 8:31 AM CST to 8:33 AM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 2.05 mi S of New Hope to 3.1 mi S of Mc Crary
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$300
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.440, -88.319

A band of severe storms caused numerous large limbs to be downed around New Hope.

Hail, Washington

When
February 27, 9:10 AM CST to 9:19 AM CST
Where
Washington County, 1.6 mi NE of Glen Allan to 3.78 mi ENE of Woodside
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.036, -91.001

An isolated severe storm caused nickel size hail in southern Washington county.

Hail, Washington

When
February 27, 9:11 AM CST to 9:30 AM CST
Where
Washington County, 3.5 mi WSW of Winterville to 3.28 mi E of Priscilla
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.481, -91.126

An isolated severe storm produced a swath of quarter size hail just south of Lamont and across the extreme northern portion of Washington County. This hail swath continued into southeast Bolivar County as the storm moved just north of east.

Hail, Sharkey

When
February 27, 9:20 AM CST to 9:37 AM CST
Where
Sharkey County, 2.8 mi NW of Nitta Yuma to 3.45 mi E of Auter
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.059, -90.884

An isolated severe storm caused nickel size hail in northern Sharkey county.

Hail, Bolivar

When
February 27, 9:28 AM CST to 9:43 AM CST
Where
Bolivar County, 2.5 mi ESE of Stringtown to 3.08 mi ESE of Shaw
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.550, -90.964

An isolated severe storm, which moved out of extreme northern Washington County, produced as swath of quarter size hail across southeast|Bolivar County.

Hail, Sunflower

When
February 27, 9:44 AM CST to 9:57 AM CST
Where
Sunflower County, 1.01 mi NNW of Frazier to 4.4 mi W of Blaine
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.584, -90.754

An isolated severe thunderstorm caused nickel size hail near Shaw and across west central Sunflower County.

Flash Flood, Lowndes

When
February 27, 11:10 AM CST to 1:00 PM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 3.48 mi SSW of (Cbm)columbus Afb to 2.6 mi WSW of Columbus
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$20,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.601, -88.465

A series of heavy storms which crossed the county caused portions of two roads to be closed due to high water. The roads that were closed were, College Street and Military Road.

Hail, Attala

When
February 27, 11:31 AM CST to 11:42 AM CST
Where
Attala County, 5.86 mi SE of Kosciusko Arpt to 10.6 mi SE of Ethel
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.019, -89.480

An isolated severe storm produced penny to nickel sized hail along a swath just to the north and northeast of the Zama Community.

Hail, Bolivar

When
February 27, 11:40 AM CST to 11:50 AM CST
Where
Bolivar County, 3 mi W of Cleveland to 2.4 mi E of Renova
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.750, -90.782

A small swath of nickel sized occurred just west and north of Cleveland.

Flash Flood, Oktibbeha

When
February 27, 11:45 AM CST to 1:15 PM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 4 mi W of Starkville to 4.68 mi NNW of State College
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$60,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.470, -88.899

Several clusters of heavy rain producing storms caused numerous streets to flood around Starkville. The heavy storms also caused standing water and street flooding along Yates street and near Highway 12 by the Starkville Health Department Building.

Flash Flood, Montgomery

When
February 27, 12:00 PM CST to 1:30 PM CST
Where
Montgomery County, 3.11 mi NNW of Duck Hill to 2.61 mi S of Duck Hill
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
33.670, -89.746

Locally heavy rain fell across the northern portion of the county which resulted in several roads flooded within the community of Duck Hill and surrounding low lying areas.

Flash Flood, Clay

When
February 27, 12:00 PM CST to February 28, 3:00 AM CST
Where
Clay County, 3.24 mi W of Pheba to 0.64 mi S of Pinebluff
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$250,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.574, -89.006

Multiple clusters of heavy rain moved across the county from the afternoon through the early morning hours. Many roads were flooded across the southern portion of the county with several roads closed due to high water. Rainfall amounts between 5 and 8 inches fell across the area.

Hail, Washington

When
February 27, 12:30 PM CST to 12:41 PM CST
Where
Washington County, 1.7 mi SW of North Greenville to 3 mi N of Leland
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.433, -91.051

An isolated severe thunderstorm dumped golf ball size hail at Greenville Airport.

Flash Flood, Webster

When
February 27, 1:00 PM CST to February 28, 3:10 AM CST
Where
Webster County, 2.52 mi NE of Clarkson to 0.82 mi SSW of Cadaretta
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.653, -89.116

Multiple clusters of heavy rains and thunderstorms moved across most of Webster County. This rain event lasted for quite some time with multiple storms occurring from afternoon through the overnight hours. Flooding was extensive across the county with many roads flooded. Several roads were actually closed due to high water as 5 to 8 inches of rain fell across the area. A few homes were also flooded with a home around Mathiston having up to 4 feet of water in it.

Flash Flood, Grenada

When
February 27, 1:30 PM CST to February 28, 3:15 AM CST
Where
Grenada County, 1.26 mi SSW of Redding to 2.8 mi E of Graysport
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$300,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.703, -89.537

A series of thunderstorms, which produced several rounds of heavy rain, moved across the county and caused road and street flooding. This rain event lasted for a long time as multiple rounds of heavy rain caused the flooding to linger from the afternoon hours until the morning hours of the 28th.

Flash Flood, Bolivar

When
February 27, 2:00 PM CST to 3:00 PM CST
Where
Bolivar County, 1 mi SE of Cleveland to 1.4 mi ESE of Merigold
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$50,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.740, -90.718

A series of heavy storms caused several roads and portions of U.S. Highway 61 to be covered with water near downtown Cleveland. Rainfall between 2 and 3 inches fell.

Flash Flood, Sunflower

When
February 27, 2:10 PM CST to 5:00 PM CST
Where
Sunflower County, 2 mi E of Ruleville to 0.21 mi NE of Drew Ruleville Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.730, -90.535

Several clusters of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall caused several flooded streets in and around Ruleville. Rainfall between two and four inches fell around the Ruleville area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Webster

When
February 27, 2:18 PM CST
Where
Webster County, 3.48 mi S of Embry
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
33.600, -89.391

A few trees were blown down across County Road 26.

Hail, Noxubee

When
February 27, 2:23 PM CST to 2:44 PM CST
Where
Noxubee County, 2.99 mi ENE of Macon Muni Arpt to 2.4 mi E of Prairie Pt
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.150, -88.484

An isolated severe thunderstorm produced a swath of quarter size hail across central portions of the county, east to the Alabama state line.

Tornado, Noxubee

When
February 27, 2:36 PM CST to 2:39 PM CST
Where
Noxubee County, 0.38 mi S of Macon to 2.23 mi ESE of Macon
Rating
EF0
Path length
2.22 mi
Path width
75 yd
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
33.115, -88.401

A supercell thunderstorm caused a brief tornado near Prairie Point which touched down along Stoke Williams road. Six to eight trees along a tree line were damaged. A few trees had the tops twisted off and other trees were snapped or downed in a concentrated area. Max winds were around 73 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Noxubee

When
February 27, 2:40 PM CST
Where
Noxubee County, 0.75 mi WSW of Hogeye Comm
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
33.147, -88.412

Skirting was blown out from a few mobile homes.

Hail, Oktibbeha

When
February 27, 3:00 PM CST to 3:04 PM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 2.44 mi WSW of Starkville to 0.51 mi SSE of Starkville
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.463, -88.871

A cluster of severe storms caused nickel size hail along Highway 182 in Starkville.

Flash Flood, Montgomery

When
February 27, 3:00 PM CST to February 28, 2:15 AM CST
Where
Montgomery County, 3.5 mi NW of Duck Hill to 3.22 mi WNW of Eskridge
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$150,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.668, -89.760

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall caused widespread flooding across the county. Several roads were closed during the heavy rainfall event. Rainfall totals between 4 and 6 inches fell across the county during the prolonged rain event.

Flash Flood, Oktibbeha

When
February 27, 4:10 PM CST to February 28, 4:30 AM CST
Where
Oktibbeha County, 1.64 mi ESE of Sessums to 2.37 mi NNW of Sturgis
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$350,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
33.409, -88.695

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall caused widespread flooding across the county. Several roads were closed during the heavy rainfall event. Rainfall totals between 5 and 8 inches fell across the county during the prolonged rain event.

Hail, Kemper

When
February 27, 4:24 PM CST to 5:12 PM CST
Where
Kemper County, 2.5 mi N of Preston to 0.84 mi SE of Giles
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
32.916, -88.830

An isolated severe storm produced a swath of penny sized hail across nearly all of northern Kemper County before moving into Alabama.

Flash Flood, Lowndes

When
February 27, 5:30 PM CST to February 28, 4:00 AM CST
Where
Lowndes County, New Hope to 1.73 mi E of Caledonia
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$450,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.470, -88.320

Multiple clusters of thunderstorms and heavy rains caused several roads in Columbus and across the county to have water covering them. On some roads the asphalt was broken due to water. Rainfall totals between 5 and 8 inches of rain fell during this prolonged rain event.

Hail, Clay

When
February 27, 8:40 PM CST to 9:31 PM CST
Where
Clay County, 4 mi NNW of Pheba to 2.78 mi N of Waverly Station
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
33.633, -88.977

A elevated supercell thunderstorm produced a swath of penny sized hail across all of Clay Couty from just north of Pheba, through West Point, and then continued east into northern Lowndes County.

Hail, Lowndes

When
February 27, 9:32 PM CST to 9:45 PM CST
Where
Lowndes County, 2.92 mi SSW of (Cbm)columbus Afb to 3.27 mi ENE of Wells
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
33.614, -88.476

An isolated severe storm caused penny size hail near Columbus AFB.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2009Every state in 2009This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Mississippi, 2009Warnings in Mississippi, February 2009

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 150459, 150460, 150790, 150791, 150793, 149288, 153254, 152301, 153346, 150798, 155022, 150794, 155023, 155021, 150795, 149535, 151476, 155024, 149536, 149538, 149577, 150800, 149537, 149584, 149636, 149637, 151408, 151402, 151478, 155239, 150813, 155279, 155278, 151405, 149765, 151474, 151475.