Hail in South Dakota, June 3, 2008

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
900 PM MDT MON JUN 2 2008

.DISCUSSION...AT 02Z SFC MAP SHOWS LOW PRES IN JACKSON
COUNTY WITH SFC BOUNDARY EXTENDING WEST ACRS SOUTHERN SD.
W-SW FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACRS NRN PLAINS. A FEW SHWS/TSTMS
REMAIN ACRS WRN SD...WITH SIGNIFICANT STORMS ON NERN SIDE
OF SFC LOW MOVING INTO CENTRAL SD. SVR THREAT WILL CONT
ACRS SOUTH-CENTRAL SD UNTIL SFC LOW MOVES EAST.

FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS IN SRN HARDING COUNTY AND NRN BUTTE
COUNTY IS SUBSIDING AND WILL CANCEL FLOOD ADVISORY THERE.
WILL ALSO DROP THE REST OF SVR TSTM WATCH 422 OVER WRN SD
WITH SVR WATCH 425 CONTINUING UNTIL 06Z ACRS SOUTH-CENTRAL
SD.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: (240 PM MDT)...UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS CONTS
TO SHOW WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND THE PLAINS
REGION. FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STRETCHES ACROSS
UT...WY...SD...AND NORTHERN NEB. IMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN THE
FLOW WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OR TWO OF STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. STORMS ARE NOW DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST MT...FAR
NORTHWEST SD...AND THE HILLS. SEVERE POTENTIAL STILL LOOKS GOOD FOR
MOST OF THE AREA...WITH A LITTLE BETTER POTENTIAL FROM THE BLACK
HILLS AREA THROUGH FAR SOUTHERN SD...WHERE INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN CAPE VALUES EXCEEDING 1000 J/KG LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHEAR WILL ALSO BE STRONGEST ACROSS FAR
SOUTHERN SD WHERE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE
PICKING UP A BIT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM SEVERE STORMS...BUT
CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO ACROSS NORTHEAST WY...
THE BLACK HILLS AREA...AND SOUTHERN SD IN CLOSER VICINITY TO SFC
LOW.

THERE IS SOME THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING...BUT STORM
MOTION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY FAST ENOUGH TO KEEP THE THREAT
RELATIVELY LOW. HOWEVER...THERE ARE A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE AREA
THAT HAVE A LOW TOLERANCE FOR PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN AT THIS
POINT...SO WILL HAVE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THAT THREAT.

UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS FLOW
ALOFT REMAINS FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL BRING DAILY CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEK. THE COVERAGE ON
TUESDAY IS LIKELY TO BE MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN NATURE...
ESPECIALLY BY LATER IN THE DAY...AS MAIN WAVE SHIFTS EAST OF THE
AREA AND SOME DRIER AIR FILTERS IN FOR A BRIEF TIME. CHANCES FOR
SEVERE WX ON TUESDAY WILL BE VERY MINIMAL AS COOL FRONT PASSES
THROUGH EARLY IN THE DAY AND INSTABILITY DECREASES. HIGHS ON TUESDAY
WILL BE IN THE 60S AND LOWER 70S.

CHANCES FOR PCPN WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS STRONGER DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE AREA. MODELS
SHOWING SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO MAIN TRACK OF WAVE...WHICH
WILL INFLUENCE WHERE BETTER CHANCES WILL BE. FOR NOW WILL KEEP
CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THERE IS SOME THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER...ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE BLACK HILLS LATER WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS ANOTHER
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY CROSSES THIS AREA. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL
MOSTLY BE IN THE 60S...WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AROUND.

EXTENDED...A COUPLE OF BROAD UPPER TROUGHS CROSSING THE AREA WILL
LEAD TO CONTINUED UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH A
NEAR DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE OF
WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL BE ON THURSDAY...AS THE FIRST UPPER LOW CROSSES
THE NORTHERN PLAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN NORMAL BOTH
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONT OVERNIGHT. LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST TSTMS
THROUGH 06Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE TO MVFR WITH AREAS OF
IFR CIGS/VSBYS FROM LATE THIS EVENING UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTN WITH ANOTHER
CHANCE OF AFTN/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
608 AM MDT MON JUN 2 2008

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>074-WYZ054>058-
071-031300-
BENNETT-BUTTE-CENTRAL BLACK HILLS-CUSTER CO PLAINS-FALL RIVER-HAAKON-
HARDING-HERMOSA FOOT HILLS-JACKSON-MELLETTE-NORTHEASTERN CROOK-
NORTHERN BLACK HILLS-NORTHERN CAMPBELL-NORTHERN FOOT HILLS-
NORTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-PENNINGTON CO PLAINS-PERKINS-RAPID CITY-
SHANNON-SOUTHERN BLACK HILLS-SOUTHERN CAMPBELL-SOUTHERN FOOT HILLS-
SOUTHERN MEADE CO PLAINS-STURGIS/PIEDMONT FOOT HILLS-TODD-TRIPP-
WESTERN CROOK-WESTON-WYOMING BLACK HILLS-ZIEBACH-
608 AM MDT (708 AM CDT) MON JUN 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND
NORTHEASTERN WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
ACROSS NORTHEAST WYOMING AND WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA TODAY. THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS...BUT A TORNADIC
THUNDERSTORM IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
759 PM MDT MON JUN 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             7 NNE ROCKYPOINT        44.99N 105.05W
06/02/2008  E1.25 INCH       CROOK              WY   PUBLIC

&&

LCZEPYHA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
808 PM MDT MON JUN 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND GST     PHILIP                  44.05N 101.67W
06/02/2008  M76.00 MPH       HAAKON             SD   ASOS

&&

LCZEPYHA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
825 PM MDT MON JUN 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             8 E REDIG               45.27N 103.38W
06/02/2008  E0.75 INCH       HARDING            SD   PUBLIC

&&

LCZEPYHA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
832 PM MDT MON JUN 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     HAIL             7 N BELVIDERE           43.93N 101.28W
06/02/2008  E1.00 INCH       JACKSON            SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

LCZEPYHA

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>