Heavy rains on May 8th, just upstream of Otterville, caused minor flooding on the Lamine River.
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The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Heavy rains on May 8th, just upstream of Otterville, caused minor flooding on the Lamine River.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 8, 5:20 AM CST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 620 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2008 ...UPDATED AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES IMPACT THE REGION. INITIAL WAVE THIS MORNING MOVING PAST THE AREA BY 12Z. A FEW SHOWERS MAY LINGER IN THE DEFORMATION BAND ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN AREAS...BUT EVEN THOSE SHOULD BE OUT OF THE REGION BY MID MORNING. THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO THE WAVE COMING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN THIS MORNING. THIS WAVE SHOULD MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY THIS EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER STORM COMPLEX TO FORM OVER KANSAS AND HEAD INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND MARCH EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY MORNING. STORMS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT ELEVATED AS THEY MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH THE SURFACE LOW TRACKING TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION. BETTER CONFLUENCE THAT WILL BE OCCURRING NORTH OF THIS SURFACE LOW OVER KANSAS WILL DIMINISH BY FRIDAY MORNING AS IT LOSES THE INFLUENCE OF THE FAST MOVING SHORT WAVE. SO NOT EXPECTING SEVERE WEATHER...AND WITH ONLY THE MOISTURE THE SHORT WAVE IS BRINGING WITH IT TO WORK WITH...NOT EXPECTING RAINFALL AMOUNTS HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING CONCERNS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF UPPER RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE THE NEXT SHORT WAVE HEADS TOWARD THE REGION LATER ON SATURDAY. MODELS SHOW THIS TROUGH WILL UNDERGO A DEEPENING TREND AS IT MOVES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A SURFACE WAVE LIKELY MOVING INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI. ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT GREAT AND MOISTURE MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR...THERE IS SOME INSTABILITY SHOWING UP BY EARLY EVENING INTO WESTERN AREAS OF FORECAST AREA AND BULK SHEAR OF 60 KTS SHOWING UP IN THE 0 TO 6KM LAYER. SO DEPENDING ON TRACK OF THE SURFACE WAVE...CAN NOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS WAVE...MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA. MODELS ARE NOT IN GREAT AGREEMENT WITH NEXT SHORT WAVE HEADING TOWARD THE AREA THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. WILL NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST AT THIS TIME...WHICH LINES UP MORE CLOSELY WITH THE ECMWF SOLUTION. TEMPERATURE WISE...THINKING WE WILL SEE ENOUGH SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON TO SEE TEMPERATURES RECOVER...DESPITE KEEPING AN EASTERLY FETCH TO THE SURFACE WIND. GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT AND WILL BE USED. FOR TONIGHT...WITH MORE CLOUDS ROLLING BACK IN WITH THE NEXT SHORT WAVE...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO NOT COOL OFF SIGNIFICANTLY DESPITE A BRIEF INTRUSION OF COOLER AIR BETWEEN THE SHORT WAVES. FOR FRIDAY...WITH THE ANTICIPATED CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES...AND STILL AN EASTERLY WIND...SHOULD BE A COOLER DAY. ANOTHER BRIEF INTRUSION OF COOLER AIR FRIDAY NIGHT BETWEEN WAVES...THEN MORE CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES ON SATURDAY...SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES IN SEASONAL RANGES. GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE DIVERGING A BIT FOR HIGHS...SO WILL USE A BLEND OF THE GFS AND WRF SOLUTIONS. PC && .AVIATION... MVFR/IFR CIGS HAVE SLID SOUTH OF THE TERMINAL CORRIDOR AT 11Z...WITH ONLY A FEW HIGH CLOUDS IN ITS WAKE. HOWEVER...BASED ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING A LAYER OF RESIDUAL HIGHER MOISTURE JUST OFF THE SFC...ALONG WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IN SITU OBSERVATIONS SHOWING LOWER CLOUDS BACKING WEST ALREADY...FEEL WITH ANY INITIAL DIURNAL HEATING THIS MORNING AND CONTINUED WESTWARD ADVECTION...SC DECK WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP/ADVECT FROM THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE CURRENT CLOUD DECK. HAVE FORECAST SOMEWHAT PESSIMISTIC VERSUS NUMERICAL GUIDANCE WITH A PERIODIC MVFR BKN DECK FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING...BEFORE MOISTURE SCOURS EVEN FURTHER AND CLOUDS BECOME MORE SCT BY AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX DEVELOPING OVER WRN KANSAS THIS EVENING...AND PROGRESSING INTO WRN MISSOURI OVERNIGHT. BASED OFF FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...FEEL BEST BET FOR TS AND MVFR/IFR CIGS WOULD BE TOWARDS THE END OF THIS TAF PACKAGE...THOUGH MAY NEED TO ADVANCE TIMING UP A BIT IN FUTURE PACKAGES. 21 && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 557 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2008 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-091100- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 557 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD TO THE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI FRIDAY MORNING. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN TO EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND MOVE EAST ACROSS MISSOURI SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STORM SYSTEM PRODUCING THESE STORMS WILL BE STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...BUT AT THIS TIME...THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE LOW...WITH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI THE MORE FAVORED AREA TO SEE SEVERE STORMS FROM THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY ARRIVE BY TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. THIS APPEARS TO BE A MORE POTENT STORM SYSTEM...AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING IN AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50. PC
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Lamine River near Otterville crested at 15.96 feet, or 0.96 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 100026.