The Pin Oak levee on the Mississippi River near Winfield failed on June 27th.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LSX wrote it up.
The Pin Oak levee on the Mississippi River near Winfield failed on June 27th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 4:13 AM CST, 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 513 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008 .DISCUSSION... /510 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008/ MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON MID LEVEL AND SFC MASS FIELDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH H500 LO DROPPING SEWD FROM SCNTRL CANADA INTO THE UPR MS VALLEY LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE WRN GRTLKS REGION BY LATE SATURDAY. THIS WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON OUR FA...WITH ZONAL FLOW TRANSITIONING TO NWLY DURING SATURDAY NIGHT...AND GOING FROM SMALL BUT POTENT DISTURBANCES FLOATING THRU FROM TIME TO TIME TO KICK UP CONVECTION TO A MORE ORGANIZED INDUCED VORT LOBES FROM DEEPENING MID LEVEL LO TO OUR NE BY LATER THIS WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE...FA TO REMAIN IN THE WARM SECTOR THRU THIS EVENING BEFORE A SLOW MOVING CDFNT SLIDES THRU LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A WEAK TROF WILL THEN MOVE THRU MAINLY THE NERN FA ON SUNDAY BEFORE A RIDGE OF HI PRES MOVES IN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL EXIST IN THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE SLOW MOVING CDFNT...WITH PWATS HOVERING AROUND 1.85 INCHES WHICH IS ABOUT TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE JUNE. K INDICES ALSO WILL BE RATHER HIGH...IN THE UPPER 30S...WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXPECTED. CONVECTION THRU SATURDAY WILL HAVE ACCESS TO THE MEANS TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO SEVERE LIMITS AND BE ABLE TO DROP RAIN IN AN EFFICIENT MANNER. THE MAIN FOCAL POINTS FOR TSRA THIS MORNING ARE BASED ON MOISTURE CONVERGENCE BETWEEN H925 AND H850 OVER THE MS RIVER...BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE FURTHER SWWD FOR A PERIOD EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE FINALLY SHOVING OFF TO THE E. HEADING INTO THIS AFTERNOON... WHILE NUMEROUS OLD BOUNDARIES MAY BE ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE MINIMAL CINH OVER MUCH OF THE FA...THE MAIN FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO THE NWRN CORNER OF THE FA NEAR THE CDFNT...AS WELL AS TOWARD THE NRN FA ANYWAY...WITH EXPECTED TRACK OF OLD MCV TO MAKE SOME SORT OF IMPACT THERE. TSRA WILL THEN INCREASE THIS EVENING AS THEY SLIDE SEWD WITH CDFNT...AND CERTAINLY HAVE POTENTIAL TO DROP LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL GIVEN HI MOISTURE CONTENT OF ATMOSPHERE. NOT READY TO ISSUE FFA YET...AND THIS IS PRIMARILY DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF WHAT THE MORNING CONVECTION WILL DO TO SET THINGS UP...AND HOW WELL THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE THIS AFTN OVER NRN MO IN ADVANCE OF MCV IF MORNING CONVECTION REALLY BLOSSOMS. THIS ALL COULD ULTIMATELY AFFECT TONIGHT/S FORECAST AS WELL...SO WILL DEFER TO THE DAY SHIFT TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THINGS. BETTER RAIN CHANCES THEN SHIFT TO THE SRN FA ON SATURDAY...AND WHILE IT APPEARS MOST OF THE RAIN SHOULD EXIT BY LATE MORNING...A SLOW DOWN ON THE CDFNT/S ALREADY SLOW SWD PROGRESS APPEARS IN THE OFFING...AND SO LEFT IN A SMALL PCPN PROB THRU THE AFTERNOON HRS IN THE FAR SRN FA. A PAIR OF VORT LOBES ROTATING AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LO OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTN HRS... MAY BE ABLE TO KICK OFF WDLY SCT SHRA...ESPECIALLY N AND E OF KSTL. TES && .AVIATION... /1212 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008/ FOR THE 06Z TAFS...ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS KS AND NEB IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT UIN AND COU AROUND DAYBREAK. THIS CONVECTION AND ITS OUTFLOW WILL DETERMINE CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. MODELS ARE NOT GIVING A CONSISTENT SIGNAL ATTM. HOWEVER...MODELS HINT AT MCV TRACKING ACROSS CENTRAL MO DURING THE DAY THAT MAY INITIATE CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING THRU THE AREA LATE FRI NIGHT. GIVEN TODAYS RAINFALL... THERE MAY BE A POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG TO DEVELOP AT COU. THINKING IS THAT CLOUD COVER WILL HINDER ENOUGH COOLING THAT FOG WILL NOT DEVELOP. HOWEVER...IF CI DEBRIS FROM CONVECTION IN KS SLOWS... TEMPS MAY DROP ENUF TO ALLOW SOME FOG. TILLY && .HYDROLOGY... CRITICAL HYRDOLOGIC CONDS PERSIST ALG THE MSRVR FROM STL N...AND THE UPCOMING WET WX THRU TNGT WONT HELP. ITS A CERTAINTY THAT THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL BE CAUSING WATER LEVELS TO RMN HIGH...ADDING PROLONGED STRESS TO THE ALREADY WATER-LOGGED LEVEES. BUT...HOW THIS RAIN WL BE AFFECTING CREST FORECASTS IS SIMPLY UNKNOWN ATTM AS ITS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT HOW MUCH AND/OR WHERE THE RAINFALL WL BE OCRG. IN ADDITION TO THE CHGS IN CREST FCSTS PRODUCED BY LEVEE CHGS...FCSTS WL RMN SOMEWHAT IN A STATE OF FLUX UNTIL SAT MRNG...WHEN HYDROLOGIC MODELS HV A CHANCE TO ACCURATELY INGEST RAINFALL AND RUNOFF. TRUETT/TES && .LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR LINCOLN. IL...NONE. && WFO LSX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 425 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-281200- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS- SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE- CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN- ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON- ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS- 425 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH CHANCES INCREASING HEADING INTO LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS. MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG PARTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND ILLINOIS RIVERS. SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD STATEMENT FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ON SATURDAY...PRIMARILY SOUTH AND EAST OF ST. LOUIS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY ONCE AGAIN BE SEVERE. MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND ILLINOIS RIVERS. SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD STATEMENT FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF ST. LOUIS. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1 TES
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 34 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:47 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Pin Oak Levee near the Mississippi River failed causing flood waters to rush towards the town of Winfield. At least 60 homes were flooded in Winfield west of Highway 79.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, June 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 123458.