A thunderstorm slowly tracked north to south directly along the Little Sugar Creek Basin. The creek responded by flooding rural lowlands across southern and central McDonald County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A thunderstorm slowly tracked north to south directly along the Little Sugar Creek Basin. The creek responded by flooding rural lowlands across southern and central McDonald County. Camp grounds along the creek south and east of Pineville were evacuated.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 5, 10:50 PM CST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1150 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2008 ...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION... .UPDATE... SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI LATE THIS EVENING HAS BEEN AIDED BY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT PROPAGATED NORTH FROM THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS BOUNDARY HAS BEEN INTERACTING WITH RESIDUAL INSTABILITY. LATEST RUC MODEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. HOWEVER CANNOT RULE ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT WITH REMNANT BOUNDARIES AND MODEST LOW LEVEL JET. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR CONVECTION OVER NEBRASKA AS IT COULD APPROACH THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING. FOSTER && .DISCUSSION... PRECIPITATION / STORM INTENSITY THIS EVENING WAS THE INITIAL FORECAST CHALLENGE IN THIS AFTERNOONS ANALYSIS. MIXED LAYER CAPE VALUES HAVE INCREASE TO 2500 J/KG ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. THE FRONT EXTENDS FROM AROUND NEVADA TO BULL SHOALS LAKE. A WEAK MCV DIVING SOUTH OUT OF NORTHEAST KANSAS MAY TRIGGER CONVECTION WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WILL FOLLOW THE MAVS POPS RATHER CLOSELY THIS EVENING WITH MAINLY SLIGHTS GOING. GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH MODEST SHEAR...STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. UPPER RIDGE CENTER MOVES INTO LOWER MS VALLEY MONDAY BEFORE FLATTENING AS ZONAL FLOW EVOLVES. TEMPERATURES AS A RESULT WILL BE ON AN UPSWING...THOUGH HAVE CUT HIGHS AGAIN ON MONDAY GIVEN WET SOILS AND GREEN VEGETATION. MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH TIMING AND POSITIONING OF SURFACE FRONT DESCENDING INTO CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY...AND EVENTUALLY THEN THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR ADJUSTMENTS THOUGH MCS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO INITIATE NORTH OF MISSOURI MONDAY NIGHT WITH FLOW KEEPING FORECAST AREA DRY UNTIL TUESDAY. ...LONG TERM (WED - SAT)... MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD BEGINS WITH GFS/ECMWF PUSHING SURFACE FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS AS GREAT LAKES SHORTWAVE EXITS EAST ON WEDNESDAY. SOLUTION THOUGH DIVERGES BY FRIDAY WITH ECMWF CONSERVING ENERGY AND DIGGING A NEW NORTHWEST TROF...WHILE GFS BREAKS FLOW INTO TWO WAVES. DESPITE THIS...BOTH MODELS SIMILAR IN TIMING OF LEE TROFING AND ASSOCIATED RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE. WITH A CAPPED ENVIRONMENT IN MIND...HAVE OPTED TO KEEP POPS LOW THROUGHOUT THE END OF THE WORKWEEK UNTIL FOCUS BECOMES EVIDENT. WHAT WILL BE NOTED WILL BE CONTINUED SEASONABLY WARM BUT NOT HOT CONDITIONS WITH DEW POINTS HOLDING IN THE 60S FOR THE MOST PART. RUNNELS && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE AT THE SPRINGFIELD AND JOPLIN TERMINALS THROUGH SUNDAY. WILL INCLUDE SOME THUNDER IN THE VICINITY OF THE TERMINALS WITH ONGOING ACTIVITY. VARIABLE VFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ISOLATED STORMS MAIN IMPACT THE TERMINAL VICINITIES ON SUNDAY. FOSTER && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 806 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2008 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-070115- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 806 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. DISCUSSION: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...MAINLY NEAR THE ARKANSAS BORDER. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS IN ANY STORM THAT DEVELOP. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) FOSTER
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1105 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2008 MOZ094-102-060500- LAWRENCE MO-BARRY MO- 1105 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2008 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN BARRY AND SOUTH CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT... AT 1102 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF VERONA...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AURORA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR... 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AURORA BY 1120 PM CDT. THE TOWNS OF PLEASANT RIDGE...MCDOWELL AND MADRY ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. FOSTER
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 114 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:01 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Little Sugar Creek flooded lowlands across southern and central McDonald County. A few campgrounds along the creek were evacuated due to the rising water levels.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 115324.