An area of slow-moving thunderstorms on the morning of the 14th produced torrential rainfall which resulted in flash flooding in and just south of Tallahassee.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
An area of slow-moving thunderstorms on the morning of the 14th produced torrential rainfall which resulted in flash flooding in and just south of Tallahassee.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 4:10 AM EST, 5 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 410 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 .SYNOPSIS... THE 03 UTC REGIONAL SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A STATIONARY FRONT FROM THE SC COAST...THROUGH SOUTHWEST GA...AND ALONG THE GULF COAST TO A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE TX COAST. VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR DATA SHOWED A DIGGING LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS...AND A POTENT SHORT WAVE BEGINNING TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE TX COAST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING OVER OUR AREA...WITH A FEW OF THESE STORMS ALREADY EXHIBITING MARGINAL ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND IMPRESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE LATEST RUC INDICATES MUCAPE FROM 350 J/KG OVER CENTRAL GA TO 1500 J/KG ALONG THE FL GULF COAST. THIS IS RATHER IMPRESSIVE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. && .SHORT TERM... (TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY) THE 00 UTC NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SHEARS OUT THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE (CURRENTLY OVER THE TX COAST) TODAY AND TONIGHT AND THE LONG WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH WILL LIFT THE FRONTAL SYSTEM (CURRENTLY ALONG THE GULF COAST) NORTHWARD TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF Q-G FORCING...INSTABILITY...AND RICH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP TODAY. SOME OF THE MOS AND RAW MODEL OUTPUT INDICATE THAT THERE COULD BE A LULL IN THE RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT MOVES AWAY FROM OUR AREA...BUT WE ARE DOWNPLAYING THAT IDEA FOR NOW AND KEEPING THE FORECAST SIMPLE. THE 0-6 KM VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 40 TO 50 KT...AND THE 0-1 KM VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 20 TO 25 KT. THESE VALUES...COUPLED WITH AN UNUSUALLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS (WITH MLCAPE EXCEEDING 1000 J/KG) FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...COULD SUPPORT SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND BOW ECHOES. THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. DESPITE THE WARM AIR ALOFT...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STORMS WHERE THE UPDRAFTS ARE ENHANCED. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL LIKELY DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. .LONG TERM... (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) A FROST OR FREEZE EVENT IS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. SURFACE RIDGING IN PLACE WILL ALLOWS FOR A BETTER RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP DURING THIS TIME FRAME. MEX GUIDANCE FOR MONDAY MORNING IS ALSO BEGINNING TO DROP NOW SHOWING WIDESPREAD MIDDLE 30S. BIAS CORRECTED GRIDS CONTINUE TO SHOW EVEN COLDER TEMPS WITH WIDESPREAD LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S. CURRENT THINKING IS FOR WIDESPREAD MIDDLE 30S WITH NORMALLY COLDER INLAND LOCATIONS DROPPING TO AROUND 30F. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND FOR INLAND URBAN CENTERS MIDDLE AND UPPER 30S IS EXPECTED. WITH THE LIGHTER WINDS...FROST IS A DEFINITE POSSIBILITY FOR MANY LOCATIONS AND THOSE WITH SENSITIVE OUTDOOR VEGETATION SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO FUTURE FORECAST INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. FAIR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE MID-WEEK PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE IS RE-ENFORCED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE GUIDANCE PACKAGES AS TO THE STRENGTH OF THE COLD AIR ARRIVING BEHIND THIS SECOND FRONT...HOWEVER A COOLER THAN NORMAL PERIOD SHOULD BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. && .AVIATION... VERY DIFFICULT TAF PACKAGE EARLY THIS MORNING AS SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WILL OCCUR OVER THE PERIOD...WITH EACH CHANGE POSING ITS OWN AVIATION HAZARD. TRYING TO CORRECTLY TIME EACH TRANSITION IS BOUND TO BE A CHALLENGE AND THIS WILL REMAIN A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AFTER THE LATER MORNING HOURS TODAY. FIRST THINGS FIRST...INTO THE MORNING HOURS WILL CONTINUE TO DEAL WITH A WIDESPREAD LOW CIG EVENT WITH AREAS OF LOWER VIS AS WELL. ALL TERMINALS WILL BE DEALING WITH AT LEAST PERIODS OF IFR CIGS/VIS WITH MORE PREDOMINANT IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS FROM KTLH TO KABY AND KVLD. ALSO WILL SEE OFF AND ON SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE ACTIVITY INITIALLY SHOULD BE CONCENTRATED FROM KPFN TO KDHN AND KABY BUT THEN EXPANDING EASTWARD INTO THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. IFR/LIFR CIGS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO COME UP THIS MORNING AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SHIFT NORTH OF KDHN AND KABY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ON THIS EVOLUTION BUT WILL ALLOW CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO MVFR AFTER NOON WITH MORE WIDELY SCT CONVECTION AS OPPOSED TO THE SCT-NMRS ACTIVITY IN THE MORNING. STRONG UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST FRIDAY EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BRING HIGHER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE TERMINALS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS PROGRESSING EASTWARD THROUGH THE NIGHT. && .MARINE... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EVENT IS LOOKING LIKELY FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. && .FIRE WEATHER... RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TALLAHASSEE 79 66 71 36 60 / 70 50 60 10 0 PANAMA CITY 79 65 71 42 61 / 70 50 50 10 0 DOTHAN 79 61 67 36 59 / 70 60 50 10 0 ALBANY 79 62 68 36 59 / 80 50 60 10 0 VALDOSTA 79 65 72 39 60 / 70 50 60 10 0 CROSS CITY 80 66 77 39 63 / 50 40 60 10 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. GA...NONE. FL...NONE. GM...NONE. && LONG TERM/AVIATION...MROCZKA REST OF DISCUSSION...FOURNIER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 427 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-150930- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL- IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 427 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2008 /327 AM CST FRI NOV 14 2008/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WHICH COULD CAUSE LOCAL FLOODING OF LOW-LYING ROADS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE BEACHES OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... THE RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST SATURDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. A FREEZE IS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TORNADO WATCH IS ISSUED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. FOURNIER
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 5 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:57 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
One to two feet of water was observed flowing across Airport Drive. One vehicle stalled while attempting to drive through the high water. The driver escaped unharmed.
Two feet of water covered a portion of Spring Hill Road south of Springsax Drive.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 141150, 141151.