Arizona, 2008

Hail in Arizona, August 15, 2008

August 15, 2008 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A thunderstorm produced accumulating hail, heavy rain, and wind gusts to 30 MPH in and around the community of Parks.

Where it happened

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  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
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  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
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  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A thunderstorm produced accumulating hail, heavy rain, and wind gusts to 30 MPH in and around the community of Parks.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 15, 3:30 AM MST, 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 3:30 AM MST, 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 AM MST FRI AUG 15 2008

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARIZONA. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY EACH DAY...BUT WILL STILL REMAIN
NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A VERY TRICKY AND UNUSUAL SITUATION IS DEVELOPING FOR
LATER TODAY...AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AN EARLY SEASON MID-LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHEASTERN WYOMING IS PROGGED TO DROP SOUTH
INTO NORTHEASTERN UTAH LATE TODAY...AND THEN WILL LINGER OVER
COLORADO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...BEFORE MOVING EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AHEAD OF THIS LOW...ARIZONA HAS ESSENTIALLY BEEN DIVIDED INTO TWO
PARTS FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS
OF THE STATE HAVE BEEN EMBEDDED IN DEEP MOISTURE...WHILE THE
NORTHERN ZONES HAVE BEEN DRY. THE MISPLACED MID-LEVEL HIGH THAT IS
WELL NORTHWEST OF THE NORMAL AUGUST POSITION HAS ALLOWED HIGH PW
VALUES TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. ALL THESE
FACTORS WILL COME TOGETHER IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THIS RATHER
ANOMALOUS PATTERN UNFOLDS.

THE KEY FACTOR TODAY WILL BE THE SAME AS THURSDAY...THE LOCATION OF
THE MID-LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE. THIS AREA WILL ACTUALLY STRENGTHEN
AND MOVE SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH TODAY AS THE LOW TO OUR NORTH MOVES
TOWARD UTAH. DESPITE WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION...THE HIGHER PW
VALUES TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST WILL ADVECT INTO ARIZONA...WITH PW
VALUES INCREASING AS FAR NORTH AS THE GRAND CANYON. THIS SETS UP A
DECENT ENVIRONMENT FOR CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE
DEFORMATION BAND...WITH CONVECTION THEN MOVING SOUTHWEST INTO THE
DEEPER MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE RIM. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS WELL...WITH THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTH EACH
EVENING PUSHING OUTFLOWS BACK NORTH TOWARD THE DEFORMATION ZONE AND
THEN REPEATING EACH DAY.

THIS COMBINATION OF DYNAMICALLY DRIVEN STORMS IN PROXIMITY TO DEEP
MONSOONAL MOISTURE COULD BE A RECIPE FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING
THIS WEEKEND. THE EXACT PATH AND TRAJECTORY OF THE COLD POOL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW...AND EVENTUAL DAILY LOCATION OF THE
DEFORMATION ZONE AND DEEPEST MOISTURE GRADIENT WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED CLOSELY ALL WEEKEND AS THIS PATTERN EVOLVES.

BY NEXT WEEK...WE GET BACK INTO THE SAME PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN IN
THIS WEEK. DRY NORTHERLY FLOW NORTH OF I-40...WITH LOW TO MEDIUM
GRADE MONSOON CONDITIONS CONTINUING SOUTH OF THE RIM. THIS MAY ALL
CHANGE BY THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK PER THE 00Z GFS...WHICH
DROPS ANOTHER RATHER STRONG TROUGH INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THIS WOULD
MOVE THE DEEP MOISTURE POOL BACK NORTHWARD INTO MUCH OF THE
STATE...BUT WE WILL WAIT AND SEE ON THIS.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...SKC TO SCT 150-200 THROUGH
18Z...THEN SCT SHRA/TSRA ALONG MOGOLLON RIM AND INTO THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS...WITH STORMS DROPPING SOUTH INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
GILA COUNTY...ONLY A FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE MVFR
CONDITIONS. ISOLD -SHRA/-TSRA CAN BE EXPECTED NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM. CLEARING IS EXPECTED AFTER 02Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED
FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SEE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST (FWFFGZ) FOR DISCUSSION OF
DAYS 1 AND 2.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...EXPECT SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WITH
ISOLATED STORMS NORTH OF THE RIM THROUGH THE PERIOD. MINIMUM IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT FOR THE PERIOD EXCEPT FOR AREAS
ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER.

&&

PUBLIC...............PETERSON
AVIATION/FIRE WX.....MAS

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER
INFORMATION.
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 9:02 PM MST, 7 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
902 PM MST THU AUG 14 2008

AZZ004>018-037>040-150400-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
902 PM MST THU AUG 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING

THE LINE OF STRONG STORMS THAT DEVELOPED OVER YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN
GILA COUNTIES EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...PRODUCED A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...THIS LINE HAS MOVED SOUTH INTO MARICOPA COUNTY AND
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY THIS EVENING. LOOK FOR SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH 900 PM MST SOUTH OF A PRESCOTT TO PAYSON LINE.
OTHERWISE IMPROVING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO LINGER ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM...INCLUDING YAVAPAI AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES...WITH A
CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THESE AREAS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 103 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:05 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Coconino

When
August 15, 4:10 AM MST to 4:35 AM MST
Where
Coconino County, 0.69 mi N of Parks to 0.89 mi NNW of Parks
Measured
0.88 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.260, -111.950

Nickel sized (7/8 inch diameter) hail fell in and around Parks. The hail covered the ground like snow. A spotter reported 4 inches of hail on the ground. The wind was gusting to 30 MPH during this storm.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2008

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 129992.