Severe drought conditions continued into November in far southwest Virginia, advancing to an extreme drought across western Tazewell, western Smyth, and southwest Grayson counties by the end of the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions continued into November in far southwest Virginia, advancing to an extreme drought across western Tazewell, western Smyth, and southwest Grayson counties by the end of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 6:41 PM EST, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 741 PM EDT WED OCT 31 2007 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WILL GIVE WAY TO A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY. LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT. COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF INTO THE ATLANTIC WHILE A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW THIS EVENING WILL PROVIDE FOR A COMFORTABLE EVENING...BUT JACKETS MAY BE NEEDED FOR SOME TRICK OR TREATERS. AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING...LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME WESTERLY WHICH WILL LIMIT SHOWERS TO FAR WESTERN COUNTIES OF RNKS CWA. FLOW ALOFT WILL BE MOIST AND SOUTHWESTERLY AND PROVIDES ADEQUATE CLOUDS COVER FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY IF THIS CLOUDS DECK IS THIN...BUT THINKING CLOUDS WILL BE THICK ENOUGH TO KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY. WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO MAV SINCE IT HAS BEEN DOING VERY WELL OF LATE. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING WITH PARENT HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST US. WITH A NORTHERLY FLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL RUN A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. SATURDAY LOOK TO BE A REPEAT OF FRIDAY BUT A LITTLE WARMER. HOWEVER...WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TROPICS AS TROPICAL STORM NOEL TRACKS NORTH IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. NOT LOOKING FOR ANY RAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM...BUT A FEW CLOUDS COULD EFFECT PIEDMONT COUNTIES TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING INTO THE GULF STATES WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND MAY ONLY PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TO THE MOUNTAINS...PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA AND THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS. CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE THICKER WITH THIS SYSTEM TO HAVE SUNDAY TEMPERATURES RUNNING ABOUT NORMAL. 850 TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM DROPPING DOWN IN TO THE NEGATIVES. IF THIS VERIFIES...WE MAY SEE SOME FLURRIES ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. WILL NOT INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME AS MODELS NORMALLY HAVE A COLD BIAS AND TENDS TO MODIFY TEMPERATURES UPWARD AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT. PRESSURE RISES AND COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN ENCOMPASSES THE REGION ON MONDAY THEN A STRONGER FRONT ENTERS THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EXITS TUESDAY NIGHT. 850 TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM MAYBE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW/FLURRIES TO THE MOUNTAINS. WOULD LIKE TO SEE MORE CONTINUITY WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE BEFORE BUYING INTO IT. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS FRONT. && .AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. THE ONSHORE FLOW IS ONLY BRING CIGS DOWN TO 4-5KFT INTO THE NC PIEDMONT...AND DO NOT EXPECT DANVILLE TO SEE ANYTHING WORSE THAN SCATTERED CLOUDS AT 4KFT. WITH LIGHT WINDS...AND NO CIG...DANVILLE MAY SEE A PERIOD OF MVFR FOG TOWARD DAWN. WEAK FRONT IS GOING TO MOVE THROUGH SE WV BY 12Z AND EAST OF LYH/DAN BY 18Z. LOOKING AT CIGS DROPPING INTO MVFR AT BOTH BLF/LWB BY 12Z. MOISTURE WILL BE LAGGING...BUT COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS INVOF OF BLF/LWB...BUT ANY SHOWERS THAT FALL ACROSS THOSE TERMINALS SHOULD NOT RESTRICT VSBYS. THE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP CIGS IN THE MVFR RANGE IN BLF/LWB THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. SHOULD BE VFR BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. FURTHER EAST...EXPECT VFR CIGS ALONG/BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH WINDS PICKING UP IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISHING AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY SHOULD PROVIDE VFR CONDITIONS WITH FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS INTO THE WEEKEND. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...JJ NEAR TERM...RCS SHORT TERM...RCS LONG TERM...RCS AVIATION...JS/WP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 910 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2007 NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059- WVZ042>045-011315- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES- YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON- CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- GREENBRIER- 910 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions existed at the beginning of November and continued until the end of the month. In western sections of the county, the drought worsened to the extreme level by November 6th, and persisted until the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions existed at the beginning of November and continued until the end of the month. In far southwestern sections of the county, the drought worsened to the extreme level by November 6th, and persisted until the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions existed at the beginning of November and continued until the end of the month. In western sections of the county, the drought worsened to the extreme level by November 6th, and persisted until the end of the month.
Drought conditions advanced to the severe category at the beginning of November over the western tip of the county, then shifted east to cover the western half of the county by the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, November 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 65380, 65382, 65385, 65389.