Virginia, 2007

Hail and Damaging Wind in Virginia, June 1, 2007

June 1, 2007 · NWS LWX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A warm and unstable air mass across the Shenandoah Valley created an environment conducive for isolated thunderstorms to develop. One of these storms became severe, producing large hail in Staunton, VA.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.

A warm and unstable air mass across the Shenandoah Valley created an environment conducive for isolated thunderstorms to develop. One of these storms became severe, producing large hail in Staunton, VA.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 1, 1:28 PM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 1:28 PM EST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
230 PM EDT FRI JUNE 1 2007

.NEAR TERM...UNTIL 12 AM TONIGHT...

PERSISTENCE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAINS AND SHENANDOAH VALLEY
WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND SPREAD SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE
EVENING...GRADUALLY DISSIPATING AFTER SUNSET. THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
TODAY AND THE PAST FEW DAYS IS THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
STORMS. HAVE ADDED A MENTION OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROS...WHICH IS IN AGREEMENT
WITH THE LOCALLY RUN WRF-ARW. SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW DAYS...ANY
STORMS THAT FORM COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...HEAVY RAIN AND EVEN
SMALL HAIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM...12 AM TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY...

MOUNTAIN/VALLEY FOG EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING GIVEN LIGHT
WINDS AND HIGHER DEW POINTS...SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW MORNING. THE
FORECAST AREA WILL BE UNDER A WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...SQUEEZED
BETWEEN THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COMING ACROSS FLORIDA TO THE GEORGIA
COAST AND A DEVELOPING LOW AND COLD FRONT OVER THE PLAINS. EXPECT
ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP AROUND
NOON TOMORROW AND LAST THROUGH THE PERIOD...SIMILAR THREATS AS
TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SAT NIGHT THROUGH FRI/...

I FEEL A CERTAIN AMT OF SKEPTICISM REGARDING THE CHCS OF SIG RAFL IN
MUCH OF THE XTND PD...MUCH AS THE MID ATLC NEEDS IT. THE NAM HAS
BEEN THE MORE AGGRESSIVE MDL IN DVLPG A LOW IN THE ERN GULFMEX AND
TRACKING THE SYSTEM INTO THE MID ATLC STATES LATE SUN...AND IT IS
DELIVERING LKLY POPS SUN AND SUN NGT TO MUCH OF THE RGN. EVEN IF
THIS SCENARIO IS WHAT DVLPS SENSE THE HVIER RAFL WOULD BE CONTAINED
TO THE ERN PART OF THE CWA. GFS ALSO DVLPG A LOW...BUT ON A MORE
ERLY TRACK. BOTTOM LN - AT THIS TIME I WOULD PREFER TO KEEP AREA IN
CHC POPS SUN.

ONE THING THAT DOES LOOK LKLY WL BE A COOLING PATTERN DURG THE 1ST
PART OF THE WK. SHRT WV LOOKS TO MOVE THRU THE RGN MON NGT HELPING
TO AMPLIFY A TROF OVR ERN N. AMERICA. I SEE A LOT OF 70S IN BOTH THE
NMRCL GUIDNC AND GRIDDS...BUT E OF MTNS ID LK TO AT LEAST HV 80 IN
THE TEMP FIELD. LOOKING AT OUR/MDL TEMPS PREFORMANCE OVR THE ENTIRE
14 PD FCST GNRLY ALL SKEW SLGTLY COOL BYND 5TH PD.

HGTS ON THE RISE TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WK..TEMPS WARMING BACK TO
NEAR 90 BY NEXT FRI E OF MTNS.

&&
MARINE...

WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN MARINE ZONES ARE APPROACHING SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA...WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 15 AND 18 KNOTS. EXPECT THIS
TO BE TEMPORARY...SO WILL CAP WINDS AT 15 KNOTS FOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

SCA CONDS COULD BE PSBL ON THE LOWER CHES SUN NGT. TIDAL ANOMALIES
ON WRN SHORE OF CHES BAY ALSO PSBL SUN NGT/MON. THIS WL HAVE TO CONT
TO BE MONITORED.

&&
AVIATION...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUED THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER WIND GUSTS
AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WITH HEAVY RAIN AS STORMS BECOME MORE
ORGANIZED AND PROGRESS NORTHEAST TO UPDATE TAFS AS NEEDED.

LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG EXPECTED IN THE USUAL SUSPECT
PLACES. USED THE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE PAST COUPLE MORNINGS AS
GUIDANCE. HIGH CLOUDS STREAM IN AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION
EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY AFTER 18Z.

ISOLD TSTMS/RAFL PSBL SUN-MON AS LOW PRES TRACKS E OF THE AREA. IT
WL BE LATER BEFORE EXACT CIGS/VSBYS CAN BE DETERMINED.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

PRODUCTS...SAR/WOODY
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 9:18 AM EST, 7 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1018 AM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502-
VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ050>055-501>504-021030-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-PENDLETON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
1018 AM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS FORECAST ALONG AND WEST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...AND SOME OF THESE
STORMS MAY MOVE EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE WEST OF THE WASHINGTON
AND BALTIMORE METRO AREAS...WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP THE MID ATLANTIC
COASTLINE SUNDAY COINCIDENT WITH A FULL MOON. INCREASING WINDS AROUND
THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MAY LEAD BUILDING WATER LEVELS THROUGH
SUNDAY. WE WILL MONITOR LATER GUIDANCE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY SINCE THE THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO BE ISOLATED. HOWEVER...ALL REPORTS OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 1, 1:17 PM EST, 3 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
217 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             SUITLAND                38.85N 76.92W
05/27/2007  E0.75 INCH       PRINCE GEORGES     MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
DELAYED REPORT

MANNING
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 2:40 PM EST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
340 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

VAZ025-012000-
AUGUSTA VA-
340 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT AUGUSTA COUNTY...

AT 3:40 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
THE NORTHERN TIP OF AUGUSTA COUNTY...NEARLY STATIONARY. THE STORM
WAS JUST EAST OF PALO ALTO.

NORTHERN RURAL AUGUSTA COUNTY WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM THROUGH
4 THIS AFTERNOON.

STRONG
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 4:27 PM EST, 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
527 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

VAZ025-012145-
AUGUSTA VA-
527 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT AUGUSTA COUNTY AND NORTHERN STAUNTON...

AT 5:25 PM...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF
STAUNTON... MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

THE COMMUNITIES OF VERONA AND NORTHERN STAUNTON WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM. ALSO THE STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 81 JUST NORTH OF
STAUNTON. DRIVE WITH CAUTION. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
RAIN... FREQUENT LIGHTNING... AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS UP TO 35 MPH. MOVE INDOORS.

STRONG
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 4:47 PM EST, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

VAZ025-012210-
AUGUSTA VA-
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT AUGUSTA COUNTY AND STAUNTON...

AT 5:45 PM...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER STAUNTON...MOVING SLOWLY
TO THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE STAUNTON AREA AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 81.
DRIVE WITH CAUTION. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING... AND POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
UP TO 35 MPH. MOVE INDOORS.

STRONG

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 164 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:54 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Staunton (C)

When
June 1, 4:55 PM EST
Where
Staunton (C) County, Staunton
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
38.150, -79.070

Emergency Management reported penny size hail in the City of Staunton.

Thunderstorm Wind, Loudoun

When
June 1, 9:15 PM EST to 9:20 PM EST
Where
Loudoun County, Round Hill to Bluemont
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
39.130, -77.820

The Loudoun County Emergency Manager relayed numerous reports of downed trees in the Bluemont, Roundhill and Bloomfield areas. Most of these reports were from Unison Road and Christmas Tree Lane.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, June 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 30379, 43995.