An apparent meso-high developed in the wake of a convective complex over the extreme southern Panhandle during the early morning hours of the 30th. Strong winds resulted and wind gusts briefly exceeded severe levels near Silverton.
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The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
An apparent meso-high developed in the wake of a convective complex over the extreme southern Panhandle during the early morning hours of the 30th. Strong winds resulted and wind gusts briefly exceeded severe levels near Silverton. A 60 mph wind gust was measured by the Texas Tech University West Texas Mesonet site there at 02:30 CST.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 29, 2:21 PM CST, 12 hours 9 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 321 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007 .SHORT TERM... ATTENTION REMAINS FOCUSED ON THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED/SCATTERED CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...ALTHOUGH THREAT APPEARS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL. CURRENT WTM OBSERVATIONS REVEAL MODEST VEERING/DRYING OVER THE WESTERN ZONES. SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS CU FIELD ALONG A NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TRAILING FROM THE NORTH TEXAS MCS FROM NEAR ASPERMONT TO SILVERTON. 18Z UPPER AIR SOUNDING FROM REESE CENTER /COURTESY WTM/ INDICATES STRONG CAPPING WITH MAX TEMP OF 17.8 DEGREES C AT 780MB. MODELS ARE INSISTENT ON SHARPENING A DRYLINE VICINITY THE INTERSTATE 27 CORRIDOR LATER TODAY. CURRENT OBS SUPPORT PREVIOUS CONCLUSION THAT THE AFTERNOON DRYLINE WILL BE DIFFUSE GIVEN EVAPOTRANSPORATION FOLLOWING RECENT RAINS. WITH WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE EVOLVING DRYLINE...THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR OVERCOMING THE INVERSION/HIGHEST GRIDDED POPS WILL BE DRAWN OVER THE ROLLING PLAINS/SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE VICINITY THE MESOSCALE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY WILL BE DEPICTED WESTWARD ALONG THE DRYLINE WHERE STRONG CAP AND WEAK CONVERGENCE/FORCING MAKES INITIATION MORE CONDITIONAL. STORMS THAT INITIATE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ROLLING PLAINS BOUNDARY ...WILL REALIZE STRONG INSTABILITY. SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL EXIST BY EVENING TO SUPPORT SOME STORM ORGANIZATION...HOWEVER...WEAK FLOW ABOVE 400MB WILL LIMIT OVER POTENTIAL. IF STORMS BECOME AUGMENTED BY THE BOUNDARY A LOCALLY ENHANCED SEVERE THREAT MAY PRESENT ITSELF. RAIN/STORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASING LLJ THAT SHOULD HELP CONVECTION PERSIST AS IT PROPAGATES SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE PANHANDLES. BEST CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN FA. FRONTAL PASSAGE IS STILL EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH CHANCE GRIDDED POPS WARRANTED IN PROXIMITY TO THE BOUNDARY. .LONG TERM... MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG THE MONTANA/WYOMING BORDER TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON MOVING LOW INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY AND TO THE UPPER MID WEST/GREAT LAKES BY LATE SATURDAY. AS LOW MOVES TO THE EAST...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE ROCKIES PRODUCING A NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH PLAINS WEDNESDAY TO STALL OUT OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING TO WASH OUT AS IT RETURNS TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. WITH FRONT ACTING AS FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED POPS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...HOWEVER EXPECT BEST CHANCE TO BE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHERE LAPSE RATES ABOVE 7.5 C/KM WITH BEST CHANCES SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH AND DISSIPATES. FLOW ALOFT TO BECOME NORTHWEST BY THE WEEKEND AS RIDGE BUILDS TO THE WEST. MODELS ARE SIMILAR ON BRINGING A FEW DISTURBANCES SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY. DISTURBANCES TO AID IN DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AND WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EXPECT SOME OF THESE STORMS TO MOVE INTO FORECAST AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 54 78 57 84 59 / 30 20 20 30 20 TULIA 58 77 58 82 61 / 40 20 20 30 30 PLAINVIEW 61 78 59 82 62 / 30 30 20 30 20 LEVELLAND 59 82 60 84 64 / 30 30 20 30 20 LUBBOCK 62 82 61 84 65 / 30 30 20 30 20 BROWNFIELD 59 84 61 84 65 / 30 30 20 30 20 CHILDRESS 64 83 64 83 66 / 50 40 30 30 30 SPUR 63 83 63 83 66 / 40 30 30 30 20 ASPERMONT 65 85 66 85 68 / 40 30 30 30 20 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 20/08
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1127 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007 TXZ021>044-301630- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 1127 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT CONVECTIVE THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM DIMMITT TO OLTON TO LUBBOCK TO TAHOKA. A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO SHARPEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS BY LATE AFTERNOON. A FAIRLY STRONG CAPPING INVERSION WILL LIKELY INHIBIT THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BUT CONTINUED CONVERGENCE AND HEATING SHOULD ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WEAK TO MODERATE SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORM AND MULTICELL CLUSTERS TO DEVELOP. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH THE THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY...LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVIER STORMS GIVEN THE RELATIVELY SLOW STORM MOTION EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE UPPER FLOW WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A POTENT STORM SYSTEM REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS AS A COLD FRONT STALLS NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THIS AREA. INCREASED LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL WIND SHEAR MAY ALLOW FOR SOME STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE. THE FRONT MAY BEGIN TO MOVE BACK NORTH ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE...THE SOUTH PLAINS AND THE ROLLING PLAINS.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Texas Tech University West Texas Mesonet recorded a wind gust of 60 miles per hour near Silverton. No damage was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 31664.