Strong deep layer lift associated with a shortwave rotating through the base of an upper level trough over northern Mexico combined with warm air and moisture advection across southwest Texas to produce severe thunderstorms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Strong deep layer lift associated with a shortwave rotating through the base of an upper level trough over northern Mexico combined with warm air and moisture advection across southwest Texas to produce severe thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 30, 2:38 AM CST, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 338 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007 .SHORT TERM... CUTOFF LOW CONTINUES TO SWIRL OVER THE FOUR CORNERS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF SAME ACCORDING TO WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WAS DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH THE EASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND TEXAS PANHANDLE. COPIOUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WAS STREAMING NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE PECOS RIVER VALLEY...LIKELY DUE TO THE STRONG HEIGHT FALLS BEGINNING TO INFRINGE UPON THE WESTERN CWA. THERE WAS A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NOTED ON RADAR MOVING NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION...THAT WERE FORTUNATELY ON THE WEAK SIDE. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE CWA AS THE ABOVE FEATURES COINCIDE OVER THE CWA. ENHANCEMENTS ARE ALREADY APPEARING ON IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PORTEND THINGS TO COME. DESPITE THE STRONG HEIGHT FALLS...THINK THE FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA AND NOT LIFT VERY FAR NORTHWARD AS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY PREVENT THIS. DO THINK WE COULD SEE A SURFACE LOW TREK EASTWARD ACROSS THE STOCKTON PLATEAU...OR A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION. EITHER WAY...THINK WE/LL SEE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS IN WAA/DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW PATTERN... COUPLED WITH STRONG MID LEVEL SUPPORT AND FAVORABLE UPPER JET DYNAMICS. LAPSE RATES STEEPENING TO AROUND 7.5 TO 8 C/KM AND 0 TO 6 KM BULK SHEAR VECTORS WILL LIKELY AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TSRA WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. LOCATIONS FROM THE STOCKTON PLATEAU...SOUTH TO THE BIG BEND REGION...THEN EASTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER TRANS PECOS WILL BE IN THE WARM SECTOR AND WILL SEE SBCAPE OVER 2000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON DEPENDING ON THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT. ISOLATED TORNADOES IN THE WARM SECTOR OR IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS WHERE BETTER MOISTURE WILL RESIDE. WILL MENTION THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAIN IN THE ZONES...AND INCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN THE HWO. THINK MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL EXIT THE AREA THIS EVENING AS FRONT SETTLES SOUTH AND BEST DYNAMICS/MOISTURE ARE SHUNTED EAST. WENT WITH FAIRLY CHILLY LOWS TONIGHT AS SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE CWA. .LONG TERM... BY EARLY SATURDAY MID LEVEL LOW WILL BE LIFTING NE THRU SRN PLAINS WITH MUCH DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR INFILTRATING SE NM/W TX. LIGHTISH DOWNSLOPE WIND AND 85H TEMPS NEAR 15C SHOULD MAKE FOR A PLEASANT DAY WITH THE CLEARING SKIES. MID LEVEL FLOW QUICKLY BACKS TO W SUNDAY BUT GRADIENT REMAINS LACKING AND WITH THCK WARMING TEMPS WILL BE BACK INTO THE U70S AND 80S FOR THE MOST PART. ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW FROM INTER MTN W INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BUCKLE MONDAY AS STRONG SHRTWV TROF MOVES THRU THE INTER MTN W. THIS WILL RESULT IN DEEPENING SFC LOW INVOF WRN KS AND ORGANIZING SLY FLOW S INTO W TX. BY 12Z TUESDAY MSTR WILL HAVE A HAD AMPLE TIME TO SURGE NW THRU PB IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT. ATTP W TX/SE NM WILL BE TOO FAR S FOR SHRTWV ENERGY AND FRONT WILL SURGE S AS AFOREMENTIONED SHRTWV TROF IS FCST BY GFS TO DEEPEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. FCST WILL REFLECT COOLING TREND MONDAY TO TUESDAY. WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY WILL BE TRANSITION DAYS WITH CWFA WITHIN WARM SECTOR...BUT PROBABLY ON THE W SIDE OF MST AXIS/DRYLINE. MEANWHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ACRS THE WRN 1/3 OF CONUS AS BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW EVOLVES ACRS ERN CONUS. THIS WILL FAVOR ADDITIONAL FRONTS PUSHING S THRU SE NM/W TX WITH GFS CONTINUING TO ADVERTISE FROPA EARLY FRIDAY. IF CLOUDS HOLD IN WAKE OF FRONT TEMPS COULD BE WELL BELOW NORMAL. && .FIRE WEATHER... MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH/S COULD DIP TO THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE FROM THE VAN HORN AREA...SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE MARFA PLATEAU...PRESIDIO VALLEY...AND BIG BEND REGION. 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS COULD EXCEED 20 MPH FOR A PERIOD OF TIME THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE DURATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE LONG ENOUGH FOR A RED FLAG WARNING. BESIDES...THE SOUTHWARD PROGRESS OF A COLD FRONT MAY BE FAST ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR INCREASING RH/S DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN OVER MOST OF THE REST OF THE AREA THROUGH TODAY...BEFORE CHILLY TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ALLOW FOR GOOD OR BETTER RECOVERY AREAWIDE. IT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY DRY OVER MUCH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SATURDAY...HOWEVER 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH. A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS COULD SEE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH FOR A FEW HOURS...HOWEVER THE DURATION OF THESE WINDS...AND THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT OF LIVE FUELS WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH. POOR RECOVERY CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE SAME AREAS SATURDAY NIGHT AS FRIDAY NIGHT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 61 43 73 47 / 90 30 0 0 CARLSBAD NM 59 38 76 46 / 30 10 0 0 DRYDEN TX 75 51 78 51 / 50 40 0 0 FORT STOCKTON TX 70 47 78 51 / 50 20 0 0 GUADALUPE PASS TX 57 38 69 47 / 20 10 0 0 HOBBS NM 52 39 75 46 / 60 10 0 0 MARFA TX 68 33 70 38 / 10 10 0 0 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 63 42 72 46 / 70 20 0 0 ODESSA TX 59 43 74 48 / 70 20 0 0 WINK TX 62 43 79 48 / 50 10 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 356 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-310900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 356 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007 /256 AM MDT FRI MAR 30 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER IN WEST TEXAS TODAY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES. HEAVY RAINFALL...AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE TOO..BUT MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND EASTERNMOST PERMIAN BASIN. DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE VAN HORN AREA...SOUTH ACROSS THE MARFA PLATEAU...AND INTO THE BIG BEND REGION THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD IN THESE AREAS DUE TO GUSTY WEST WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY GUSTY WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN HIGH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY AND MAY BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS THIS MORNING. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 12 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:50 UTC.
9 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Pea to penny size hail with a few nickel sized stones fell on the north side of Midland.
Penny to golfball size hail was reported between Holiday Hill Road and Midland Drive and in the Green Tree neighborhood. At least one skylight was shattered by the larger hail.
The West Texas Mesonet station two miles east-southeast of Gail measured an 86 mph wind gust before communications were lost. After the storm, a West Texas Mesonet representative went to the station and reported that the radio antenna had been bent and one of the guy wires was damaged. The fence surrounding the instrumentation was damaged by wind blown mesquite.
Penny to quarter size hail with an occasional golf ball size hailstone thrown in fell in a swath from Odessa to West Odessa. The larger hailstones led to several broken windows at Loop 338 and Yukon in West Odessa.
The radio station in Colorado City reported that streets in Loraine were flooded.
Pea to golfball size hail fell in a swath along Texas Highway 349 between Iraan and Sheffield.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 22329, 22303, 22304, 22305, 22306, 22312, 22307, 22308, 22309, 22313, 22310.