Texas, 2007

Flash Flooding in Texas, June 28, 2007

June 28, 2007 · NWS OUN · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy rain continued over parts of northern Texas. Saturated grounds and the heavy rain combined for flooding problems over pars of Archer and Baylor county.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.

Heavy rain continued over parts of northern Texas. Saturated grounds and the heavy rain combined for flooding problems over pars of Archer and Baylor county.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 28, 3:35 AM CST, 7 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 3:35 AM CST, 7 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
435 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE SEEMINGLY ETERNAL UPPER LOW REMAINS THE MAIN FEATURE ON THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WEATHER MAP THIS MORNING. RAIN CONTINUES TO
CIRCULATE AROUND THIS LOW... AS A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE REMAINS
OVER THE REGION... AND ADDITIONAL MOISTURE IS SLOWLY DRAWN FROM
THE GULF OF MEXICO.

SHORT-TERM MODELS SEEM TO AGREE QUITE WELL THAT THE CURRENT RAIN
PATTERN WILL SHIFT INTO A STRETCH OF FAIRLY HEAVY RAIN ROUGHLY
ALONG I-44 THIS MORNING... AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH TONIGHT AT A
MINIMUM. CURRENT TRENDS ON RADAR DO SEEM TO VALIDATE THIS
FORECAST... BUT THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY DUE SIMPLY TO THE
COMPLEXITY OF THE ENTIRE WEATHER SYSTEM.

THE UPPER LOW IS SLOW TO MOVE TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS... AND THE MODELS DO DIFFER SOMEWHAT ON DETAILS. HAVE TAKEN
MORE OF A BROAD-BRUSH APPROACH TO RAIN FORECASTS INTO THE WEEKEND
AS A RESULT. SURROUNDING OFFICES HAVE ALSO EXTENDED THEIR FLOOD
WATCHES THROUGH TONIGHT... AND WE HAVE DONE LIKEWISE... AND ADDED
THE THREE TEXAS COUNTIES THAT WERE NOT ALREADY IN THE WATCH...
HARDEMAN... FOARD... AND KNOX.

IN GENERAL... HAVE FAVORED THE ECMWF MODEL FOR THIS FORECAST. THIS
MODEL IS NOT ENCOURAGING REGARDING THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THE
UPPER LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED RAIN PATTERN. THE UPPER LOW NEVER
REALLY GOES AWAY OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS... AND LOW-LEVEL FLOW OFF
THE GULF ALSO NEVER REALLY ENDS IN THAT TIME. HOWEVER... THE
POSITION OF THE UPPER LOW DOES SUGGEST LOWER POPS IN THE LATTER
HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS SOME HOPE BEYOND DAY 7...
WHICH IS NEXT WEDNESDAY... THAT THE UPPER RIDGE TYPICAL OF THIS
TIME OF YEAR WILL FINALLY BUILD INTO THE PLAINS... BRINGING MORE-
TYPICAL HEAT AND DRYNESS.  WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE....

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  77  68  80  67 /  90  70  60  40
HOBART OK         79  66  83  66 /  80  50  50  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  80  69  82  68 /  80  60  60  30
GAGE OK           83  60  85  62 /  40  20  10  10
PONCA CITY OK     76  66  79  65 /  80  50  50  40
DURANT OK         83  70  83  70 /  60  40  50  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR OKZ007-008-012-013-
     016>020-022>032-035>048-050>052.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

02/23
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 8:11 AM CST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
911 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
911 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A
SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW... CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
MORNING... CONTINUES TO DRIFT AROUND THE NORTH TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
AREA. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING AND
DESTABILIZATION TODAY... AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEAK.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT FRIDAY JUN 29.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...90 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL REMAIN A CONCERN. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS
PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WEEK. POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING WILL FOLLOW THE
UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY EAST. BY FRIDAY...THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE FAR ENOUGH EAST THAT RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY. HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ON A LOCAL BASIS...
HOWEVER...THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAIN
OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE ALONG THE RED RIVER.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON
TODAY.

24

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 8:43 AM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
943 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     FLOOD            3 W HENNESSEY           36.11N 97.95W
06/28/2007                   KINGFISHER         OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A SEVEN MILE STRETCH OF STATE HWY 51 BETWEEN US 81 AND
            STATE HWY 132 IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER IN THE TURKEY
            CREEK AREA. THERE HAVE BEEN THREE HIGH WATER RESCUES IN
            THAT AREA SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING.

&&

TY

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 89 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:36 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Baylor

When
June 28, 10:37 AM CST
Where
Baylor County, Seymour
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
33.600, -99.270

FM 0422 was closed from the center of town to the high school due to high water. Other roads were closed as well.

Flash Flood, Archer

When
June 28, 2:00 PM CST
Where
Archer County, Archer City
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
33.600, -98.630

The roadway that approaches City Lake at Archer City was flooded due to continued heavy rainfall.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 44488, 46124.