A broad upper level ridge over the Grand Canyon region, favorable northwest flow aloft, and an inflow of moist air contributed to isolated thunderstorms across the higher elevations of southwest Texas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A broad upper level ridge over the Grand Canyon region, favorable northwest flow aloft, and an inflow of moist air contributed to isolated thunderstorms across the higher elevations of southwest Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 3:07 AM CST, 8 hours 52 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 407 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007 .DISCUSSION... MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN PARKED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK...RESULTING IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER TODAY AND ON MONDAY AS MID-LEVEL DRYING/SUBSIDENCE...EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY... FILTERS DOWNWARD WHILE SURFACE LEE SIDE TROUGHING STRENGTHENS LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THIS DRIER AIR WILL CONFINE LOW-ORDER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AND AGAIN ON MONDAY MAINLY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ACROSS SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. DEEPER LAYER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE ON A GRADUAL REBOUND COMMENCING TUESDAY AS MODEL SUGGEST THAT A MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS WILL BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED ACROSS WEST TEXAS. THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ALSO...WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IN PLACE THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR STORMS INITIATING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO TO PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS ON TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE WORK WEEK WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID-90S ACROSS THE PLAINS/PERMIAN BASIN ANTICIPATED. THE ABOVE PERSISTENT SUMMER-TIME WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE ALTERED SLIGHTLY ON FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT TO OUR NORTH SAG SOUTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO AN AMPLIFYING EAST COAST UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...SLOWLY BACKDOORING A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD INTO WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL COMBINE WITH SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW TO PROVIDE AN ADDED IMPETUS FOR DIURNAL CONVECTION...WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGHER RAINFALL RATES (QPF) FOCUSED ALONG AND TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTH OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 97 74 99 75 / 10 10 10 10 CARLSBAD NM 100 69 101 72 / 10 10 20 20 DRYDEN TX 94 73 96 73 / 10 10 10 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 96 73 97 74 / 10 10 10 10 GUADALUPE PASS TX 94 69 95 71 / 10 10 20 20 HOBBS NM 97 73 97 74 / 10 10 10 20 MARFA TX 87 61 91 61 / 10 10 10 10 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 95 73 97 73 / 10 10 10 10 ODESSA TX 96 74 98 74 / 10 10 10 10 WINK TX 101 76 102 76 / 10 10 10 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 21/01
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 945 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-091000- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 945 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2007 /845 AM MDT SUN JUL 8 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 179 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:58 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Automated Surface Observing System at Guadalupe Pass (KGDP) recorded a wind gust of 79 mph. No damage was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 41939.