Thunderstorms associated with a persistent upper level low produced heavy rain and flash flooding on the morning of July 3 in Uvalde County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Thunderstorms associated with a persistent upper level low produced heavy rain and flash flooding on the morning of July 3 in Uvalde County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 3, 5:19 AM CST, 41 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 619 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007 .AVIATION... LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH THE UPPER LOW OVER N TX MOVING SWWD OVER A TROPICAL AIRMASS ACROSS S TX. THIS WILL PATTERN WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED SCT TO NMRS SHRA/TSRA ACROSS THE AREA WITH CIGS AND VSBYS QUITE VARIABLE DUE TO THE CONVECTION. IFR-MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL THRU 15Z BECOME MVFR-VFR AFTER 15Z...LOWERING AGAIN TO MVFR-IFR AFTER 04Z. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 344 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007/ DISCUSSION... WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING AND CONTINUING TO DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE ON MOVEMENT OF THE LOW INTO NORTHERN MEXICO BY 00Z THURSDAY. AT THE SAME TIME THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BE FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST KEEPING MOISTURE HIGH IN THE LOW LEVELS. THIS COMBINATION WILL MEAN HIGH POPS THROUGH THURSDAY. THE ONLY MODEL DISAGREEMENT IS IN THE FIRST PERIOD WHERE THE GFS IS SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER. SINCE THE NAM COMES INTO LINE WITH THE GFS IN THE LATER PERIODS...DECIDED TO GO WITH GFS. STILL EXPECTING SOME HEAVY RAIN WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH EIGHT TO TEN INCHES POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO EVALUATE WHETHER OR NOT TO EXTEND IT. BY THURSDAY EVENING THE UPPER LOW WILL HAVE MOVED FAR ENOUGH WEST TO BRING SOME STABILITY TO THE CWA. POPS WILL DROP STARTING WITH THIS PERIOD. WE WILL MOVE INTO A MORE TYPICAL SUMMER LIKE PATTERN WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES. WE WILL ALSO SEE HIGH TEMPS CLIMB TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 87 73 85 73 88 / 100 80 70 60 50 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 85 71 85 71 88 / 100 80 70 50 50 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 92 73 88 73 91 / 40 60 70 80 50 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 86 72 85 72 88 / 80 70 70 60 50 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL... COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE... GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY... LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE... VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA. && 05/01
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 514 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-041015- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- 514 AM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTH TEXAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD WILL COMBINE WITH A VERY MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER THE AREA TO RESULT IN A POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 63 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 12:00 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Two to 3 inches of rain falling over eastern Uvalde County in the early morning of July 3 caused flash flooding between Knippa and Sabinal that closed FM1049 and SH127.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 49327.