Texas, 2007

Flash Flooding and Flood in Texas, July 24 to 28, 2007

July 24 to 28, 2007 · NWS EWX · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Thunderstorms associated with a persistent upper level low produced heavy rain and flash flooding on the morning of July 24.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.

Thunderstorms associated with a persistent upper level low produced heavy rain and flash flooding on the morning of July 24.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 11:25 PM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 11:25 PM CST, 3 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1225 AM CDT TUE JUL 24 2007

.AVIATION...
MOST OF SHRA/TSRA DISSIPATING OR GONE. SOME ACTIVITY MOVE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I10. MAY ALSO SEE SHRA/TSRA
DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS MORNING. KDRT COULD SEE SHRA/TSRA BETWEEN
07Z-09Z IF ACTIVITY HOLDS TOGETHER FROM THE NORTH. BEST CHANCES
FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP TUE
AFTER 18Z. WILL SEE VFR OR MVF THROUGH MOST OF THIS FCST PERIOD
OUTSIDE OF SHRA/TSRA. IN LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE SHRA/TSRA WILL
SEE IFR CONDITIONS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL
BECOME E-SE NEAR 10 KTS BY 18Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1027 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007/

UPDATE...
A QUICK UPDATE WAS SENT TO REFLECT THE SHIFT OF HIGHER POPS TO
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THE THREAT OF REDEVELOPMENT FROM
THE NORTH AND MORE OVERNIGHT FLOODING CONTINUES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 848 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007/

UPDATE...
ONSET OF HEAVY RAIN HAS WARRANTED ANOTHER FFA FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. ENERGY ALOFT CONTINES TO STREAM SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR TO BE AIDED BY
ABUNDANT GROUND MOISTURE AS DEWPOINTS HAVE REBOUNDED RAPIDLY OVER
THE PAST 36 HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE SLOWLY WEAKENING OVER CENTRAL
TEXAS WITH STRONGER ACTIVITY SHIFTING INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.
THUS HIGHER OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD MIGRATE TO OUR
WESTERN COUNTIES TOWARD DRT AS THIS ACTIVITY DRIFTS SOUTH. FLOOD
STRICKEN AREAS NEAR AUS COULD STILL SEE UP TO AN INCH OF
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVERNIGHT, WITH THE MORE UNSTABLE AREAS TO THE
WEST STILL CAPABLE OF RECEIVING SPOTTY 5 INCH AMOUNTS. MODELS
CONTINUE TO STREAM UNSTABLE AIR ALOFT INTO OUR AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY, EVOLVING INTO ANOTHER WESTWARD MOVING UPPER LOW DRAGGING
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS BY WEDNESDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007/

AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA CURRENTLY MOVING S/SW ACROSS THE IH35
CORRIDOR. ADDITIONAL SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING AREA WIDE IN MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. EXPECT MOST OF THE RAINFALL TO END BY 02Z. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH RAINFALL FURTHER NORTH TO SEE IF THIS WILL HOLD
TOGETHER AND MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. VFR OUTSIDE OF RAIN
AREAS WITH IFR IN STRONGER TSRA. OVERNIGHT SHOULD SEE MVFR PREVAIL
OUTSIDE OF RAIN AREAS. ON TUESDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA AFTER 17Z. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT AND THRU 18Z TUE THEN E-SE NEAR 10 KTS TUE AFTERNOON.
VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS TO 30 KTS MAY BE SEEN WITH STRONGER TSRA.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 426 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007/

UPDATE...
A QUICK UPDATE TO THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE RAPID
BLOW-UP OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL TX. SLOW CELL MOVEMENT WILL
WARRANT MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. AS MENTIONED IN THE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION, A SHIFT TOWARD ANOTHER HEAVY RAINFALL PATTERN
IS UNDERWAY, AND WE MAY NEED TO START THINKING ABOUT ANOTHER FFA
AS EARLY AS TONIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007/

DISCUSSION...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS DUE TO
A MOIST AIRMASS WITH PWS IN THE 1.6 TO 1.9 INCH RANGE AND SOLAR
HEATING. EXPECT THESE TO CONTINUE WELL INTO TONIGHT AS AN UPPER
LEVEL JET AND SHORT-WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS PLUNGE
SOUTH INTO TEXAS TO PROVIDE LIFT AND DIFFLUENCE. COULD SEE SOME
HEAVY DOWNPOURS, HOWEVER THEY WILL BE ISOLATED. BEYOND TONIGHT,
MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT AND CONFIDENCE HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY
AS GFS HAS RETURNED TO ITS EARLIER SOLUTIONS. TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, ANOTHER MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW/TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER
CENTRAL TEXAS AS ADDITIONAL SHORT-WAVE AND JET ENERGY DROPS SOUTH
BETWEEN WESTERN STATES RIDGE, EASTERN STATES TROUGH, AND GULF OF
MEXICO RIDGE. THE DRIER AIR WORKING INTO EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS TODAY APPEARS TO HAVE STALLED ITS WESTERN PROGRESSION AS
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY APPROACHES. DEVELOPMENT OF THE UPPER LOW WILL
INCREASE UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND LIFT WHILE BOOSTING MOISTURE (PWS)
BACK INTO THE 1.8 TO 2.2 INCH RANGE BY WEDNESDAY. HAVE INCREASED
POPS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE INCREASED PWS WILL LEAD TO
HEAVY RAINS BY WEDNESDAY AND HAVE INTRODUCED MENTION IN THE
FORECAST. THE MID AND UPPER LOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS
THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND THEN SLOWLY MOVE WEST ACROSS THE
RIO GRANDE TO JUST SOUTH OF THE BIG BEND THIS WEEKEND. STRONG
UPPER DIFFLUENCE, LIFT AND TROPICAL MOISTURE ALL SUGGEST THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. DUE TO SOILS REMAINING
VERY SATURATED AND A FEW RIVERS AND STREAMS OUT OF BANKS OR IN
FLOOD, ADDITIONAL OR RENEWED FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT. ALSO, AS
IN THE LAST FEW EVENTS, THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED STORM WITH
STRONG WIND GUSTS. THE UPPER LOW MOVES OFF TO THE WEST EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS SOUTHEAST. THIS LOWERS POPS. ABOVE
AVERAGE SOIL MOISTURE, CLOUDS, AND RAIN WILL KEEP DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW AVERAGE FOR LATE JULY. HAVE GENERALLY GONE
WITH THE MAV/MEX GUIDANCE AS THEY SEEM REASONABLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              72  91  71  89  71 /  30  40  30  40  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  69  92  67  89  71 /  40  40  30  40  30
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           73  92  73  89  73 /  30  40  30  40  40
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       73  91  71  87  72 /  50  40  40  50  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...
COMAL...DE WITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...GILLESPIE...
GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...
LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...
VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON...ZAVALA.

&&

18/10
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 11:59 PM CST, 3 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1259 AM CDT TUE JUL 24 2007

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-241100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
1259 AM CDT TUE JUL 24 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT. SOME OF THE RAINFALL WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY AND COULD
PRODUCE RAPID FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS
AND RIVERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS TEXAS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AT ALMOST ANY TIME DURING THE DAY
OR NIGHT. MANY OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING DUE TO THE SATURATED SOILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 23, 9:01 PM CST, 5 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1001 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      8 NW AUSTIN             30.39N 97.85W
07/23/2007                   TRAVIS             TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED AND ROADWAY CLOSED AT OLD
            SPICEWOOD SPRINGS UNDER LOOP 360.

0630 PM     FLASH FLOOD      10 N AUSTIN             30.45N 97.75W
07/23/2007                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED- ONE CAR STALLED IN HIGH WATER
            AT WATER PARKS DR NEAR ADELPHI LANE/ONEAL LANE. OCCUPANTS
            GOT OUR ON THEIR OWN. ROADWAY NOW CLOSED.

0645 PM     HEAVY RAIN       10 NNW AUSTIN           30.44N 97.81W
07/23/2007  M1.33 INCH       TRAVIS             TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            AUSTIN GREAT HILLS BETWEEN 415 AND 615 PM

0745 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE CEDAR PARK         30.54N 97.81W
07/23/2007  M2.36 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   UTILITY COMPANY

            UPPER BRUSHY CREEK FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM RAIN GAGE AT DAM
            3 MEASURED FROM 330 PM TO 745 PM.

0745 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE CEDAR PARK        30.52N 97.82W
07/23/2007  M2.64 INCH       WILLIAMSON         TX   UTILITY COMPANY

            UPPER BRUSHY CREEK FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM RAIN GAUGE AT DAM
            4. MEASURED FROM 330 PM TO 745 PM.

&&

JPB

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 102 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flash flood, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Atascosa

When
July 24, 3:00 AM CST to 5:30 AM CST
Where
Atascosa County, 10 mi S of Lytle to Charlotte
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
29.085, -98.800

Scattered thunderstorms over Bexar, Atascosa, Karnes and Frio Counties produced a general 2 to 3 inch rain, with up to 4 inches from south of Lytle to just northwest of Charlotte. Brief flash flooding closed SH173 and FM2504.

Flash Flood, Karnes

When
July 24, 3:00 AM CST to 5:00 AM CST
Where
Karnes County, 10 mi NW of Coy City to 10 mi SE of Coy City
Cause
Dam / Levee Break
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
28.932, -98.167

Scattered thunderstorms over Bexar, Atascosa, Karnes and Frio Counties produced a general 2 to 3 inch rain, with flash flooding that closed FM99 and FM791.

Flash Flood, Frio

When
July 24, 5:00 AM CST to 8:30 AM CST
Where
Frio County, Moore to 15 mi S of Pearsall
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
29.050, -99.020

Scattered thunderstorms over Bexar, Atascosa, Karnes and Frio Counties produced a general 2 to 3 inch rain, with up to 5 inches near Pearsall. FM140 was closed west of Pearsall due to flash flooding.

Flood, Bexar

When
July 24, 8:15 AM CST to July 28, 5:30 AM CST
Where
Bexar County, Elmendorf
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
29.250, -98.330

The San Antonio River at Elmendorf crested at 44.6 ft on 07/26 at 0030cst, where flood stage is 35 ft.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 49547, 49550, 49553, 49555.