A mesoscale convective system across central and northeast Texas produced flooding rainfall in a continual wet pattern in the southern plains. This complex of thunderstorms developed during the late night and early morning hours of the 14th and these storms were sustained by a strong low level jet from the south.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SHV wrote it up.
A mesoscale convective system across central and northeast Texas produced flooding rainfall in a continual wet pattern in the southern plains. This complex of thunderstorms developed during the late night and early morning hours of the 14th and these storms were sustained by a strong low level jet from the south.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 9:30 AM CST, 0 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1030 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007
.DISCUSSION...
MCS CONTINUING TO TRACK ACROSS SE HALF OF CWA. HOWEVER...COVERAGE
HAS BECOME SCATTERED...AND WARMING CLOUD TOPS MAY SPARE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL FROM BECOMING TOO EXCESSIVE FOR TIME BEING. AFTERNOON
HEATING MAY YIELD SLIGHT COVERAGE INCREASE...AS WELL AS REDEVELOPMENT
OF CONVECTION FURTHER NORTH AND WEST...WHERE LOW CLOUD DECKS SHOULD
BREAK UP AND ALLOW HEATING TO OCCUR. THUS...70 PERCENT SE AND
SCATTERED COVERAGE NW SHOULD SUFFICE FOR AFTERNOON. 10 AM TEMPS
ONLY IN LOWER TO MID 70S...WILL REQUIRE SOME AT LEAST LIMITED DAYTIME
HEATING TO RISE 10 DEGREES AND MEET AFTERNOON HIGHS OF MID 80S.
WILL NOT ISSUE UPDATE AT THIS TIME. /VII/
&&
.AVIATION...
CONDITIONS UP AND DOWN AS WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
WITH SCATTERED BREAKS BOUNCE CIGS FROM VFR TO IFR RATHER QUICKLY AND
QUIRKILY. VSBYS ALSO BOUNCING AROUND BASED ON PRECIP...SOMETIMES
DOWN TO 1 MILE OF LATE...BUT GENERALLY IN MVFR TO VFR RANGE. AM
EXPECTING CIGS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...BUT THAT
WILL ALSO COINCIDE WITH INCREASING HEAVIER CONVECTION AND THE
TRADEOFFS ASSOCIATED WITH THAT. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS AND LOWER
CIGS/VSBYS ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION AS USUAL. /17
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 84 70 88 71 / 70 50 50 30
MLU 84 71 84 71 / 70 70 70 50
DEQ 86 67 92 67 / 30 30 30 20
TXK 84 68 90 70 / 50 30 30 20
ELD 84 68 87 69 / 50 50 50 30
TYR 84 69 89 70 / 70 50 50 30
GGG 84 69 89 69 / 70 50 50 30
LFK 84 71 86 71 / 70 70 50 30
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
COLUMBIA...HEMPSTEAD...LAFAYETTE...MILLER...NEVADA...AND
UNION AR.
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BIENVILLE...BOSSIER...CADDO...CALDWELL...CLAIBORNE...
DE SOTO...GRANT...JACKSON...LA SALLE...LINCOLN...
NATCHITOCHES...OUACHITA...RED RIVER...SABINE LA...
UNION LA...WEBSTER...AND WINN.
OK...NONE.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
ANGELINA...BOWIE...CAMP...CASS...CHEROKEE...FRANKLIN...GREGG...
HARRISON...MARION...MORRIS...NACOGDOCHES...PANOLA...RUSK...
SABINE TX...SAN AUGUSTINE...SHELBY...SMITH...TITUS...
UPSHUR...AND WOOD.
&&HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 600 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096- 097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-141700- ANGELINA-BIENVILLE-BOSSIER-BOWIE-CADDO-CALDWELL-CAMP-CASS-CHEROKEE- CLAIBORNE-COLUMBIA-DE SOTO-FRANKLIN-GRANT-GREGG-HARRISON-HEMPSTEAD- HOWARD-JACKSON-LA SALLE-LAFAYETTE-LINCOLN-LITTLE RIVER-MARION- MCCURTAIN-MILLER-MORRIS-NACOGDOCHES-NATCHITOCHES-NEVADA-OUACHITA- PANOLA-RED RIVER LA-RED RIVER TX-RUSK-SABINE LA-SABINE TX- SAN AUGUSTINE-SEVIER-SHELBY-SMITH-TITUS-UNION AR-UNION LA-UPSHUR- WEBSTER-WINN-WOOD- 600 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE IN PLACE. HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS...AS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WILL BE COMMON... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS POSSIBLY GREATER THAN FOUR INCHES. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH COVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH 500 PM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP A DECENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST...THUS FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL LINGER AS WELL ACROSS THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTER...HAM RADIO OPERATOR...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. 11
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 153 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:29 UTC.
1 flash flood, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
About six roads were closed in the western portion of the county from heavy rainfall.
Hail reported along Hwy. 69.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 39947, 39948.