A quasi-stationary front just north of the Altamaha River, the sea breezes, surface based instability and upper level positive differential vorticity advection all merged to spawn scattered severe storms across our forecast area in the afternoon and evening.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A quasi-stationary front just north of the Altamaha River, the sea breezes, surface based instability and upper level positive differential vorticity advection all merged to spawn scattered severe storms across our forecast area in the afternoon and evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 8:15 AM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 915 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 .SHORT TERM...THICKER CLOUDS EVIDENT ON LATEST VIS SAT PIX ACROSS OUR N ZONES. THERE ARE STILL ENUF BREAKS IN THESE CLOUDS TO ALLOW DAYTIME HEATING...BUT THERE MAY BE SOME DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OVER OUR EXTREME N ZONES. IN ADDITION...WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IS LOCATED JUST N OF THE ALTAMAHA RIVER. ALOFT...BROAD TROF OVER THE E HALF OF THE COUNTRY WITH DISTURBANCES ROUNDING THE BASE ACROSS THE SE US. BOTH NAM AND RUC INDICATE AN AREA OF WEAK DIFFERENTIAL PVA MOVES ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTN...AND THIS IS LIKELY HELPING TO FIRE EARLY CONVECTION OVER APALACHEE BAY AND THE NE GULF COAST. ALL-IN-ALL EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO FRI WITH MORE AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION. BEST DYNAMIC FORCING SHOULD BE ACROSS SE GA...BUT ONGOING CONVECTION WILL MOVE ACROSS NE FL THRU THE MORNING HOURS. MAIN THREAT FROM TSTMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE WET MICROBURSTS AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. LOW-LEVEL FLOW APPEARS TO BE JUST WEAK ENUF TO ALLOW E COAST SEABREEZE THIS AFTN...ALTHO THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD REMAIN PINNED E OF I-95. THIS MAY ALLOW CONVECTION TO SLOW OVER E ZONES...PRODUCING MORE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. ZFP APPEARS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. WILL LIKELY MAKE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO THE HWO INCLUDING ADDING ISOLD STRONG TO SVR HEADLINE. && .MARINE...OTHER THAN TSTMS MOVING OFFSHORE BY AFTN...GENERALLY QUIET CONDITIONS. && .AVIATION...MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS IN TSTMS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. WILL NEED TO ADD SOME CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS...OTHERWISE LITTLE CHANGE. && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && CARROLL/KERNS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 920 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-151000- ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY- CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE- COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)- GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM- ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE- 920 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY DUE TO A VERY MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. THIS AFTERNOON LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL OCCUR AS THE STORMS MOVE EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL AS HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HEAT INDICES WILL BE IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE EACH AFTERNOON NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR THEIR AREA TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. MZ/CARROLL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 952 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ021-141430- SUWANNEE- 952 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL SUWANNEE COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1030 AM... AT 952 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 9 MILES WEST OF LURAVILLE...OR 9 MILES WEST OF MAYO...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND LURAVILLE...WELLBORN...OBRIEN...MCALPIN AND HOUSTON THROUGH 1030 AM. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. CARROLL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1026 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ040-141515- MARION- 1026 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WESTERN MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1115 AM... AT 1026 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND RAINBOW LAKES ESTATES...DUNNELLON...ROMEO...OCALA AIRPORT...SANTOS...REDDICK...OCALA...LOWELL AND BELLEVIEW THROUGH 1115 AM. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. CARROLL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1104 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ036-141545- ALACHUA- 1104 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALACHUA COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1145 AM... AT 1104 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 12 MILES WEST OF GAINESVILLE...MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND GAINESVILLE...NEWNANS LAKE AND GAINESVILLE AIRPORT THROUGH 1145 AM. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. CARROLL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1119 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ033-038-141545- FLAGLER-ST. JOHNS- 1119 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLAGLER AND ST. JOHNS COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1145 AM EDT... AT 1119 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUPONT CENTER...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND DUPONT CENTER... MARINELAND...CRESCENT BEACH AND BUTLER BEACH THROUGH 1145 AM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. PETERSON
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1125 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ040-141615- MARION- 1125 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1215 PM... AT 1125 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 8 MILES WEST OF SUMMERFIELD AND NEAR OCALA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND OCALA AIRPORT...SUMMERFIELD...SANTOS... BELLEVIEW...OCALA...LAKE WEIR...SILVER SPRINGS SHORES... OCKLAWAHA...MOSS BLUFF AND BURBANK THROUGH 1215 PM. SMALL HAIL...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. CARROLL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1157 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 FLZ037-038-141645- FLAGLER-PUTNAM- 1157 AM EDT SAT JUL 14 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLAGLER AND SOUTHERN PUTNAM COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 1245 PM... AT 1157 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 2 MILES EAST OF GEORGETOWN...OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CRESCENT CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND GEORGETOWN...POMONA PARK... LAKE COMO...ESPANOLA...CRESCENT CITY AND ANDALUSIA THROUGH 1245 PM. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. CARROLL
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:57 UTC.
6 thunderstorm wind, 3 funnel cloud, 1 tornado, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
Trees were blown down near the South Highway 475 and Interstate 75 intersection.
A funnel cloud was reported near County Road 125 and State Road 121 just south of Macclenny.
Power lines and large tree limbs were blown down in Orange Park. Power was lost.
The spotter reported that the funnel cloud was moving offshore.
Military observers reported a brief tornado touchdown on base. The vortex was on the ground for around 2 minutes. It blew out windows from a three story barracks building and blew around heavy equipment. No injuries were reported.
Two people were injured by lightning at the Little Talbot Island picnic area.
Trees were uprooted and large limbs were blown down.
Trees were blown down in Talbot State Park. Ranger reported excessive lightning as well.
Emergency management reported a possible micro-burst in southeast Trenton located at Southeast 27th Place. The roof was blown off and a trampoline in the yard was destroyed.
Trees were blown down onto power lines at the 2500 block of Southwest 9th Drive.
The spotter reported that the funnel persisted for about 2 minutes before dissipating.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2007Warnings in Florida, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 44012, 44007, 44013, 44008, 44011, 44010, 44014, 44015, 44016, 44017, 44009.