A very moist airmass interacted with a mid and upper level weakness to produce showers and thunderstorms and flash flooding across portions of South Texas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.
A very moist airmass interacted with a mid and upper level weakness to produce showers and thunderstorms and flash flooding across portions of South Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 1, 2:26 PM CST, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 326 PM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...EXTREMELY MOIST CONDITIONS WL PERSIST DRG THE PERIOD. THE NAM/GFS CONTINUE TO PROG AN UPPER LOW TO ENTER THE REGION FROM THE NORTH AND PROVIDE INCREASING UPPER FORCING. EXPECT SCT TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION DRG THE PERIOD. BASED ON THE EXPECTED 0-6KM MEAN WIND...AND TRANSLATION VERSUS PROPAGATION...SUGGEST STORM MOTIONS THAT ARE NOT CONDUCIVE TO FFA. HWR...CONDITIONS CONSISTENT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED...RATHER THAN COUNTYWIDE... FLOODING. THUS WL NOT ISSUE AN FFA. CAVEAT...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A SFC BNDRY TO DEVELOP AND REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY ACRS THE CWFA. FURTHER...INCREASING LOW LEVEL ONSHORE FLOW MAY DEVELOP AS THE FOREGOING UPPER LOW MOVES CLOSER. AS A RESULT...COUNTYWIDE FLOODING COULD OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT AND A FFA MAY BE NEEDED. && .AVIATION...EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS DRG THE PERIOD AREAWIDE OWING IN PART TO INCREASED MSTR. IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED DRG CONVECTION (LOW CEILINGS AND LOW VISIBILITY FROM HEAVY RAINFALL)...ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT. && .MARINE...WL FCST SCA CONDITIONS FOR THIS EVENING OVER THE SRN BAYS/SRN NEARSHORE WATERS OWING TO A MESO-ALPHA SCALE GRADIENT GENERATED BY A SFC LOW TO THE SW. SCEC CONDITIONS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. CONVECTION WL DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DRG THE PERIOD. && .LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH PWS OF 2-2.2 POOLED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. DURING THIS TIME A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OUT OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND EDWARDS PLATEAU AND INTO NORTHEAST MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODELS PROG H7-H3 Q-V CONVERGENCE MAXIMIZED OVER SOUTH TEXAS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. MID/UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL INTERACT WITH HEATING AND THE VERY MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. FOCUS MAY BE PRIMARILY ACROSS INLAND COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY FOR THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. GFS RUNS CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY OF NOCTURNAL CONVECTION AND A HEAVY RAINFALL EPISODE NEAR AND EAST OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL CORE TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WOULD PUT THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AT RISK. BOOSTED POPS ANOTHER 10% OUT WEST FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OUT THERE. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOWLY MOVES WEST-SOUTHWEST FURTHER INTO MEXICO WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER...PWS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND SCATTERED PRIMARILY DAYTIME CONVECTION WILL OCCUR. PWS WILL DECREASE BY THE WEEKEND. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY REMAIN ISOLATED DRIVEN BY SEA-BREEZE FORCING OVER THE WEEKEND. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 77 88 77 87 76 / 60 70 50 60 30 VICTORIA 75 87 74 87 74 / 50 70 40 70 30 LAREDO 77 93 77 93 75 / 50 50 50 50 60 ALICE 75 89 76 89 75 / 60 70 60 70 50 ROCKPORT 79 87 79 87 79 / 60 60 40 50 30 COTULLA 74 90 75 91 74 / 50 50 50 50 60 KINGSVILLE 77 89 77 88 76 / 60 70 60 60 40 NAVY CORPUS 79 87 80 87 79 / 60 50 50 50 30 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && WC/87...SHORT TERM JR/76...LONG TERM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 515 AM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007 GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-021015- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS- BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR- COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM- WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM- LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL- JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN- 515 AM CDT SUN JUL 1 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH TEXAS TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS A VERY MOIST AIRMASS COMBINES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT WILL REMAIN STATIONARY FROM CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAIN AMOUNTS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS OF HIGHER RAINFALL. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN....MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY FROM NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY...WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. RAIN AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ISOLATED TOTAL AMOUNTS OVER 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...ISOLATED ON SATURDAY. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRIMARILY BE ASSOCIATED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. TMT/TE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Three to four inches of heavy rain resulted in flash flooding of a few streets and low water crossings in Beeville. Ellis Road and Ridgeway Lane were barricaded due to high water.
Three to four inches of heavy rain caused flooding of a few Farm to Market Roads in the county. F.M. 534 was closed due to high water.
Between 5 and 7 inches of rain fell in northwest Duval County. Highway 44 west and northwest of Freer was closed due to flooding in several spots.|
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 53329, 53328, 53330.