A cold front moved into northwest Oklahoma during the pre-dawn hours of the 2nd. Thunderstorms developed along the front during the late morning, with more widespread coverage by afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.
A cold front moved into northwest Oklahoma during the pre-dawn hours of the 2nd. Thunderstorms developed along the front during the late morning, with more widespread coverage by afternoon. One thunderstorm became severe over Comanche county with severe winds over 70 mph. No damage was reported with the gust.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 2, 1:28 PM CST, 6 hours 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 228 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 .DISCUSSION...LOOKS AS THOUGH FOR THE NEXT WEEK THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN IN ITS CURRENT MODE...WITH A MEAN LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN STATES...WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGHS EJECTING INTO THE PLAINS. THESE SHORT WAVES APPEAR TO BE MOST DYNAMIC ALOFT...WITH ONLY WEAK COLD FRONTS...AND MODIFIED PACIFIC AIR AT LOW LEVELS. EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...ONE FRONT WAS WELL DEFINED FROM CENTRAL KANSAS INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. COLD ADVECTION UP TO NEAR 700 MB WILL ENCOUNTER A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT...RESULTING IN A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN AT MOST LOCATIONS. CAPES ABOVE 2000 AND DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR AROUND 30 KNOTS APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS. WITH MODERATELY HIGH CLOUD BASES AND LINEAR FORCING...EXPECT STRAIGHT LINE WINDS TO BE THE MAIN THREAT. GREATEST COVERAGE SHOULD BE DURING THE EVENING THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. NOT QUITE AS CONFIDENT LATER IN THE NIGHT...WHEN THE GFS INDICATES UPPER SUPPORT LIFTING OUT...AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEAKENING. SHOULD NOT TAKE TOO MUCH FRONTAL LIFT AND COLD POOL GENERATION...HOWEVER...TO KEEP SCATTERED CONVECTION GOING THROUGH THE NIGHT IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY THIS EVENING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS WORTH MENTIONING. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MORNING SOUNDINGS TO OUR WEST INDICATED SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC MOISTURE STREAMING IN...SUGGESTING THE STORMS COULD BE EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS. THIS HAS POTENTIAL TO BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN LATE TONIGHT WHEN STORM MOTION WILL DECREASE MARKEDLY NEAR THE RED RIVER. EXPECT ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH NEAR THE DIURNAL MINIMUM IN INSTABILITY...AND WHEN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FURTHER WEAKENS WEDNESDAY MORNING. MADE VERY FEW CHANGES IN THE WED-SAT TIME FRAME. WEAK ZONAL FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO SOUTHWESTERLY...AND THE INITIAL FRONT WILL RETREAT NORTHWARD...CARRYING LOW POPS WITH IT. MOST NOTABLE WEATHER FEATURE WILL BE THE INCREASING WINDS...SOUTHERLY WITH GUSTS 20-30 MPH BEGINNING THURSDAY. THE WINDS WILL NOT RELAX UNTIL THE NEXT FRONT ARRIVES OVER THE WEEKEND. TIMING OF THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN INCONSISTENT IN THE MODELS. THE GOING FORECAST HAS FAVORED THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF WHICH HAS ALSO PERFORMED BETTER THAN THE GFS IN THE CURRENT PATTERN. THE GFS...WHICH WAS INITIALLY THE FASTER MODEL...HAS TRENDED STRONGLY TOWARD THE ECMWF. SOME OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND 12Z OPERATIONAL RUN ARE NOW EVEN SLOWER THAN THE ECMWF. THERE IS CLEARLY A GOOD DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY...SO IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE BEST RAIN CHANCES ALONG THE FRONT AT THIS TIME. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY CHANCE POPS OVER A BROAD AREA...WEIGHTED TOWARD THE ECMWF TIMING. SHOULD NOT SEE TOO MUCH OF A COOL DOWN...GIVEN THE LONG WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE TO OUR WEST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... OKLAHOMA CITY OK 63 82 66 87 / 70 10 10 20 HOBART OK 64 84 68 89 / 60 10 20 20 WICHITA FALLS TX 69 86 69 92 / 70 20 20 20 GAGE OK 51 82 63 87 / 10 0 20 20 PONCA CITY OK 56 80 63 88 / 30 0 10 20 DURANT OK 69 86 67 89 / 60 30 10 10 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. TX...NONE. && BURKE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-031200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1200 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA.
LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS SOUTHEAST OF A CHEROKEE... TO CHEYENNE LINE
AND NORTHWEST OF A SEMINOLE... TO WICHITA FALLS... TO CROWELL.
TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 2 PM
THROUGH 10 PM.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IN
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AT MIDDAY...WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARD...REACHING THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR AROUND 7
PM...THEN MOVING INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AROUND MIDNIGHT. AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNON AS
TEMPERATURES WARM WELL INTO THE 80S AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED DURING THE MORNING OVER NORTH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT GRADUALLY EASTWARD
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT BY MID AFTERNOON AS IT PUSHES
THROUGH NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE ACROSS NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE THE BEST COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL
EXIST. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE SIMILAR FURTHER SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS...WEAKER WIND SHEAR WILL LESSEN THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
SOMEWHAT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT... AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE WELL INTO
THE NIGHT OVER SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... THE PRIMARY RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER IS LIKELY TO DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY OCT 3.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...30 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING IN FAR
SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA... AND WILL RETURN TO OTHER PARTS OF OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE NEXT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE WEEKEND.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
WEDNESDAY.
24/IISPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 657 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 OKZ029-030015- CLEVELAND OK- 657 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR NORTHWEST CLEVELAND COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA CITY AT 657 PM CDT...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH... SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. PEOPLE IN CLEVELAND COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MOORE...NORMAN AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA CITY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS. CJS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 701 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 OKZ038-030015- COMANCHE OK- 701 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR COMANCHE COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF ELGIN AT 701 PM CDT...MOVING EAST SOTHEAST AT 25 MPH. HAIL TO NEAR THE SIZE OF DIMES... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. PEOPLE IN COMANCHE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS. CJS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 715 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 OKZ028-029-030030- CLEVELAND OK-MCCLAIN OK- 715 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR NORTHWEST CLEVELAND AND NORTHERN MCCLAIN COUNTIES. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MOORE AND SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA CITY AT 715 PM CDT...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. INTENSE LIGHTNING... WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE LIKELY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. THE STORM WILL BE MOVING INTO THE NORTHWEST PART OF NORMAN WHILE ALSO AFFECTING TRAFFIC ALONG INTERSTATE 35 IN MOORE AND NORMAN. CJS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 731 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 OKZ029-030100- CLEVELAND OK- 731 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR NORTHERN CLEVELAND COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MOORE AND NORTHWEST NORMAN AT 731 PM CDT...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. VERY FREQUENT LIGHTNING... HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. CJS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 755 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 OKZ035-038-030115- KIOWA OK-COMANCHE OK- 755 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR COMANCHE AND SOUTHERN KIOWA COUNTIES. A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF MEERS TO 3 MILES EAST OF TOM STEED RESERVOIR AT 755 PM CDT. ANOTHER STRONG STORM EXTENDED FROM THE SOUTH PART OF LAWTON TO NEAR GERONIMO. THE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SMALL HAIL... FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH ARE LIKELY. HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. CJS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 824 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 OKZ038-030200- COMANCHE OK- 824 PM CDT TUE OCT 2 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR COMANCHE COUNTY. A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF MEERS TO 3 MILES WEST OF THE WICHITA MOUNTAINS WILDLIFE REFUGE HEADQUARTERS AT 823 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. PEOPLE IN COMANCHE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:50 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A large pear tree was blown down by the high winds. Monetary damages were estimated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, October 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 55935.