North Carolina, 2007

Rip Current in North Carolina, July 4, 2007

July 4, 2007 · NWS MHX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A man drowned in a rip current off Ocracoke Island.

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MHX wrote it up.

A man drowned in a rip current off Ocracoke Island.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 4, 8:05 AM EST, 3 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 8:05 AM EST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
905 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRES JUST OFF THE COAST WILL DRIFT EAST TODAY ALLOWING LOW
LVL RETURN FLOW TO BEGIN. THIS WILL BRING MSTR BACK TO THE RGN
ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPS. A COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO THE RGN BY
LATE FRI NIGHT THEN STALLED ALONG THE COAST BY SAT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
ONE MORE DAY OF RELATIVE LOW HUMIDITY BUT WITH LOW LVL FLOW
BECOMING A BIT MORE SERLY AS HIGH DRIFTS OFFSHORE TODAY WILL SEE
WARMER TEMPS A SMALL INCREASE IN MSTR BY EVENING. STILL NOT ENOUGH
MSTR FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP. WILL TREND TOWARD COOLER MAX TEMP
GUIDANCE TODAY GIVEN RESULTS FROM PAST TWO DAYS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD BEGIN TO CREEP UP TONIGHT WHEN COMPARED TO
PREVIOUS TWO DAYS. HIGH TEMP THURSDAY WILL BE HIGHER AS WELL AS
MORE SUMMER LIKE PATTERN RETURNS AND LOW LVL MSTR BEGINS TO
INCREASE. MODELS PERSIST IN TRYING TO DROP FRONT INTO THE RGN LATE
FRI NIGHT. NEITHER GFS OR NAM APPEAR TO HAVE DEEP MSTR OVER THE
RGN OR MUCH LIFT THROUGH LATE FRI. STILL WITH LOW LVL MSTR AND
INSTABILITY INCREASING AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY LATE FRI AFTN WILL
CONTINUE MENTIONING A LOW POP FOR FRI AFTN INTO THE EVENING. THIS
APPEARS TO BE A SOMEWHAT LOW QPF EVENT THOUGH.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GFS STALLS FRONT ALONG THE COAST BY SAT MRNG AND PERSISTS IN
DEVELOPING A SERIES OF WAVES ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. OTHER MODELS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE WITH THESE FEATURES SO WILL
CONTINUE IDEA FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST OF KEEPING A MENTION OF A
SLIGHT CHANCE POP IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TUE...MAINLY ACROSS ERN
SECTIONS OF THE CWA. TEMPS RISE THROUGH THE FORECAST AND SHOULD
SEE AN INCREASE IN LOW LVL MSTR AS WELL. THIS COULD LEAD TO HEAT
INDEX ISSUES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS READINGS SHOULD CLIMB TO NEAR
105 ON MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EVEN WITH LIGHT WINDS...LIMITED LOW LVL MSTR AND A FEW MID CLOUDS
AROUND THE RGN SHOULD KEEP FOG FROM DEVELOPING THIS MRNG SO EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH TODAY. BY LATE TONIGHT WITH LOW
LVL MSTR STARTING TO INCREASE THERE COULD BE PATCHY MVFR VSBYS.

AFTER TODAY WILL BEGIN TO SEE A BETTER CHANCE OF OVERNIGHT FOG AS
MSTR INCREASES. ALSO COULD SEE MVFR CIGS/VSBYS BRIEFLY WITH
CONVECTION AHEAD OF FRONT FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SAT.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL MOVE NORTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTHWEST BY LATE THIS WEEK. THE RESULTING FLOW WILL VEER FROM
SOUTHEAST TODAY TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT IS QUITE
WEAK WITH NOT MUCH OF A PUSH BEHIND IT. IT APPEARS IT WILL DISSIPATE
OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEKEND. WAVEWATCH KEEPS SEAS NO HIGHER
THAN 4 FEET THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

.RIP CURRENTS...
A LONG PERIOD SWELL COMBINED MODERATE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ALONG
HIGHLY POPULATED BEACHES WILL NECESSITATE A MODERATE RIP CURRENT
THREAT TODAY.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 2:54 AM EST, 9 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
354 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2007

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-050800-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
354 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-098-103-104-050800-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
354 AM EDT WED JUL 4 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Eastern Hyde

When
July 4, 12:00 PM EST
Where
Eastern Hyde forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue

A man drowned in a rip current off Ocracoke Island.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Eastern Hyde2007-07-04MaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 38328.