Hail, Ashe
- When
- July 23, 3:50 PM EST
- Where
- Ashe County, 2 mi NNW of Jefferson
- Measured
- 0.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 36.447, -81.494
Hail in North Carolina, July 23, 2007
Thunderstorms formed during the afternoon of the 23rd. Some of these storms reached severe levels producing penny size hail.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
Thunderstorms formed during the afternoon of the 23rd. Some of these storms reached severe levels producing penny size hail.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 2:20 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 2:20 PM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 320 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 .SYNOPSIS... AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BEFORE SLIDING NORTHWEST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH MIDWEEK. LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE COAST SHOULD LIFT NORTH REACHING THE NEW ENGLAND STATES TUESDAY MORNING. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER VA TODAY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY TO THE NNW OVERNIGHT. THE PATTERN OF SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNALLY-DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS UNDER THIS COLD POOL WILL DECREASE WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. STORMS HAVE REMAINED BELOW SEVERE CRITERIA SO FAR DESPITE RELATIVELY LOW FREEZING AND -20C LEVELS. A FEW STORMS MAY PERSIST LATER INTO THE EVENING AS ANOTHER SPOKE OF VORTICITY PIVOTS AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND MAINTAINS SOME SUPPORT FOR STORMS. MAINLY OVERCAST SKIES TONIGHT SHOULD KEEP MINS WELL ABOVE THE RECORD OR NEAR-RECORD CHILL SEEN IN THE NEW RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG THE VARIOUS MODELS ON THE MOVEMENT/EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER LOW WITH MODELS TAKING IT SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST...CENTERED OVER EASTERN OHIO BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RESULT FOR THE CWA BOTH DAYS IS ENHANCED SW FLOW AND INCREASINGLY DEEPER MOISTURE ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN CWA. SPC HAS AREA UNDER SEE TEXT FOR TUESDAY AS COMBINATION OF RESIDUAL COLD POOL AND INCREASING UPPER SUPPORT AND MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SOME HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL IN STRONGER STORMS. BOTH NAM/GFS ARE FAIRLY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT QPF UNDER THIS SCENARIO WITH 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN CWA WHERE UPPER SUPPORT IS BETTER...WITH NORMAL CONVECTIVE VARIABILITY IN AMOUNTS LIKELY. QPF LESS SUBSTANTIALLY LESS OVER THE EASTERN CWA...MOSTLY UNDER 0.25 INCHES. TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE PLEASANT FOR LATE JULY RUNNING SOMEWHAT BELOW CLIMO FOR HIGHS...MAINLY UPPER 70S. LOWS RUNNING NEAR CLIMO...UPPER 50S TO LOW-MID 60S. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO WANE LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES A SLOW RETROGRESSION TO THE NORTHWEST. NCEP EXTENDED DISCUSSION FAVORS THE ECMWF IN THE 3-5 DAY PERIOD WHICH HAS THE UPPER LOW OVER THE LOWER PENINSULA OF MI BY MIDDAY THUR WHICH IS ACTUALLY IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE DGEX AND GFS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE SW FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WITH CHANCES FOR AT LEAST DIURNAL CONVECTION EACH DAY. WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL BE MORE TYPICALLY JULY-LIKE BY THIS TIME WITH HIGHS BACK NEAR NORMAL. UPPER LOW FILLS OR LIFTS NORTH INTO CANADA BY THE WEEKEND BUT 5H TROUGH/WEAKNESS PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN US WHICH WILL KEEP INTENSE HEAT WELL TO THE WEST AND MAINTAIN A FAIRLY MOIST PATTERN ACROSS THE CWA. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHING OVER THE WEEKEND MAY ACT TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL BUT TOO EARLY TO FORECAST TIMING/INTENSITY WITH ANY DEGREE OF CERTAINTY. && .AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN A FAIRLY RANDOMIZED PATTERN ACROSS THE CWA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE PLACED CB IN THE CLOUD GROUPINGS BUT IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE DEVELOPMENT OF NEW STORMS. FAIRLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CWA WITH CAPES 500-1000 J/KG AND SB LIS TO AROUND -2. MOISTURE IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED BENEATH THE UPPER LOW PARKED OVERHEAD WITH PWATS BELOW 1 INCH AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT NOT SIGNIFCANT. EXPECT SHOWERS TO PERSIST UNTILLATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. SCT TO BKN CLOUDS MUCH OF THE NIGHT BUT SHOULD NOT FALL TO IFR CIGS. LESS FG DEVELOPMENT LIKELY AT LWB IF THE OVERCAST HOLDS. THE UPPER LOW SLIDES TO THE NW INTO THE OH VALLEY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BECOME MORE SW WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND SHORT-WAVE ENERGY ROUNDING THE UPPER LOW. THIS WILL INCRS THE POPS FOR TUE-WED WITH POSSIBLE IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP NEAR TERMINALS. HIGHER THAN CLIMO CHANCES FOR PRECIP WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE LATE WEEK PERIOD AS CHANGES IN THE UPPER PATTERN ARE SLOW TO OCCUR. && .CLIMATE... RECORD LOW FOR JULY 23 TIED AT BLACKSBURG WFO THIS MORNING AT 50F. OLD RECORD WAS SET IN 2001. A NUMBER OF COOPERATIVE SITES WERE IN THE 40S THIS MORNING WITH A LOW OF 41F AT BURKES GARDEN IN TAZEWELL COUNTY. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...RCS NEAR TERM...PC/RCS SHORT TERM...PC/RCS LONG TERM...PC/RCS AVIATION...PC CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 2:39 AM EST, 13 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 339 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059- WVZ042>045-240745- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES- YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON- CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE- PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL- APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE- GREENBRIER- 339 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 2:06 PM EST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 306 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 VAZ012-016-231945- WYTHE VA-CARROLL VA- 306 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 AT 301 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF MAX MEADOWS...OR ABOUT 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF IVANHOE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...PATTERSON AT 320 PM EDT...AND GALAX HILLSVILLE AIRPORT AT 325 PM EDT... EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS...HAIL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. WP
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 3:28 PM EST, 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 428 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 NCZ001-VAZ015-232130- ASHE NC-GRAYSON VA- 428 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 AT 426 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHITETOP...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...WHITETOP AT 435 PM EDT... NELLA AT 445 PM EDT...GRAYSON HIGHLANDS STATE PARK AT 455 PM EDT...RUGBY AT 505 PM EDT...GRASSY CREEK AT 515 PM EDT...AND VOLNEY AT 520 PM EDT. EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS...HAIL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. WP
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 3:35 PM EST, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 435 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 VAZ017-032-232130- PATRICK VA-FLOYD VA- 435 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007 AT 431 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF WILLIS...OR ABOUT 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROCKY KNOB SUMMIT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...ROCKY KNOB SUMMIT...ROCKY KNOB RECREATION AREA AT 445 PM EDT...WOOLWINE AT 455 PM EDT...FLOYD AT 505 PM EDT...AND CHARITY AT 520 PM EDT. EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS...HAIL OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. WP
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 126 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:48 UTC.
Event by event
2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Hail, Ashe
- When
- July 23, 4:00 PM EST
- Where
- Ashe County, 1 mi NW of Lansing
- Measured
- 0.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 36.510, -81.533
What these are
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Damaging Winds and Heavy Rain in Alabama, July 23, 2007
- Damaging Wind in North Dakota, July 23, 2007
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Arizona, July 23, 2007
- Flash Flood and Dust Storm in Arizona, July 23, 2007
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in Texas, July 23 to 24, 2007
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 23, 2007
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kansas, July 23, 2007
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Texas, July 23 to 29, 2007
- Heavy Rain in New Jersey, July 23, 2007
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Montana, July 23, 2007
- Waterspouts in Gulf of Mexico, July 23, 2007
- Excessive Heat in South Dakota, July 23, 2007
More
Every storm in North Carolina in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2007
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 48961, 48962.