A stalled frontal boundary combined with unseasonably high levels of atmospheric moisture brought widespread heavy rainfall to much of southside Virginia into the northwest piedmont of North Carolina from late December 31 through the early morning hours of January 1. Total rainfall amounts ranged from 1 to 3 inches in many areas, with locally higher amounts in excess of 4 inches.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
A stalled frontal boundary combined with unseasonably high levels of atmospheric moisture brought widespread heavy rainfall to much of southside Virginia into the northwest piedmont of North Carolina from late December 31 through the early morning hours of January 1. Total rainfall amounts ranged from 1 to 3 inches in many areas, with locally higher amounts in excess of 4 inches. Due to antecedent wet conditions across much of the region, the majority of this rain (which fell over a short period of about 3 hours) ran off into local creeks and streams, prompting them to quickly leave their banks.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 1, 3:49 AM EST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
349 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
OCCLUDED FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH SW VA AT THIS TIME...AND THE WARM
FRONT HAS MADE IT AS FAR NORTH AS DANVILLE IN SOUTH SIDE VA.
CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THIS WARM FRONT HAS BEEN
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS OBSERVED IN THE OBSERVATIONS.
THIS AREA OF SHOWERS HAS CLEARED MOST OF THE MTNS AND WILL JUST BE
AFFECTING FOOTHILLS AREAS EARLY AND PIEDMONT IN THE MORNING. WITH
SUCH A WARM START...AND THE COLD AIR LAGGING JUST AHEAD OF THE
SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...I HAVE OPTED TO GO
ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR HIGH TEMPS TODAY AND MAY STILL BE TOO COOL IF
WE SEE A LOT OF SUN. ONCE THE SECONDARY SHORT WAVE PASSES THRU THE
REGION THIS EVENING...MODELS SHOW A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW...AND STRONG SUBSIDENCE AS WELL- 6 HOUR PRESSURE
RISES WITH THE NAM OF 7 TO 8 MBS IN THE NRN MTNS OF NC. WE WILL BE
ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
MTNS OF NORTHWEST NC AND SW VA. LOOKING FOR WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
50 MPH IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. I STAYED CLOSE TO MOS LOW TEMPS
TONIGHT...AND ALSO CUT BACK SOME ON THE POPS AS THE MOISTURE WITH
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION LOOKS QUITE SHALLOW.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION IS SHORT LIVED...BRINGING JUST ONE DAY WITH
NEAR NORMAL TEMPS ON TUESDAY...AND THEN WITH THE FLOW BECOMING
MORE ZONAL TUE NIGHT AND WED WE SHOULD SEE HIGH PRESSURE
TRANSITING THE AREA...OVERHEAD TUE NIGHT TO BRING CHILLY
TEMPS...BUT THEN A RETURN FLOW AND MILDER TEMPS ON WED. NO CHANGES
WERE MADE BEYOND WED NIGHT...BUT WITH THE NEXT UPPER LOW MOVING
OUT OF THE SWRN U.S. STILL IN TX THU MORNING AND THE RIDGE
BUILDING OVER THE AREA...WE WILL NEED TO LOOK AT POSSIBLY RAISING
OUT TEMPS THU UNLESS WE EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z-06Z/...
&&
.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
VAZ010>020.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
NCZ001-002-018.
WV...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...JJ
LONG TERM...JJHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1205 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-011000- SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WILKES-YADKIN-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT- ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA- CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 1205 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA... SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF ROADWAYS EARLY THIS MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>045-011000- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE- PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH- MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 1205 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF ROADWAYS EARLY THIS MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE BEHIND A COLD FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS GUSTS MAY BE UP TO 40 MPH AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. JJ
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1155 PM EST SUN DEC 31 2006 NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ009>020-WVZ042>045-010615- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES- WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA- BATH-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST JEFFERSON...SPARTA...DOBSON... BOONE...WILKESBORO...YADKINVILLE...MARION...BLAND...PEARISBURG... WYTHEVILLE...PULASKI...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...INDEPENDENCE... GALAX...FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS... BLUEFIELD...HINTON...UNION...LEWISBURG 1155 PM EST SUN DEC 31 2006 ...HEAVY RAIN MOVING THROUGH THE AREA... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVING THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAGES INDICATE RAINFALL RATES OF A HALF TO ONE INCH AN HOUR...SO MOST LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT A HALF OF AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH 100 AM...WHILE SCATTERED LOCATIONS WILL SEE AROUND AN INCH OF RAIN. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANY CREEKS OR SMALL STREAMS TO FLOOD...BUT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR WATER COVERED ROADS. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. NCZ004-VAZ022>024-032>035-043-010615- STOKES-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD- AMHERST-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...SALEM...FINCASTLE... LEXINGTON...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD...AMHERST... MARTINSVILLE 1155 PM EST SUN DEC 31 2006 ...HEAVY RAIN APPROACHING THROUGH THE AREA... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN APPROACHING THE PIEDMONT AREAS OF NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AND THE FOOTHILLS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAGES INDICATE RAINFALL OF A HALF TO ONE INCH CAN BE EXPECTED WHEN THIS RAIN MOVES THROUGH...GENERALLY BETWEEN 1230 AND 130 AM. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANY CREEKS OR SMALL STREAMS TO FLOOD...BUT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR WATER COVERED ROADS. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. JJ
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1255 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 NCZ004>006-020-010715- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...EDEN...YADKINVILLE 1255 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 ...SHOWERS WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS MOVING THROUGH... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN ADVANCING FRONT MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE PASSING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH 200 AM...AND WILL HAVE HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN IN LESS THAN AN HOUR...AND MAY BRING WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH. WITH THE SATURATED GROUND...THESE WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO DOWN TREES. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR WATER COVERED ROADS. JJ
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 104 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 NCZ003-VAZ014-016>020-022>024-032>035-043-010730- SURRY-MONTGOMERY-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE- BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOBSON...RADFORD...BLACKSBURG...GALAX... FLOYD...NEW CASTLE...CLIFTON FORGE...HOT SPRINGS...SALEM... FINCASTLE...LEXINGTON...STUART...ROCKY MOUNT...BEDFORD... AMHERST...MARTINSVILLE 104 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 ...HEAVY RAIN MOVING THROUGH THE AREA... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS A BAND OF SHOWERS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVING THROUGH THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAGES INDICATE RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND AN INCH AN HOUR...SO MANY LOCATIONS CAN EXPECT NEAR AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH 230 AM...WHILE SCATTERED LOCATIONS WILL SEE UP TO AN INCH AN A HALF. THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED TO CAUSE ANY CREEKS OR SMALL STREAMS TO FLOOD...BUT MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR WATER COVERED ROADS. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. JJ
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 210 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 NCZ004>006-VAZ043-044-010800- ROCKINGHAM NC-STOKES NC-CASWELL NC-PITTSYLVANIA VA-HENRY VA- 210 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 ...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THIS MORNING... AT 210 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR DANBURY EXTENDING SOUTH TO 6 MILES EAST OF KING...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THE BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...MEADOWS...WALNUT COVE AT 215 AM EST...DILLARD...PINE HALL...MADISON...ELLISBORO AT 220 AM EST...MAYODAN...MAYODAN AT 225 AM EST...STONEVILLE...MONROETON AT 230 AM EST... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR WATER COVERED ROADS. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR UPDATES. KK
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 256 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 NCZ005-006-VAZ043-044-058-010900- ROCKINGHAM NC-CASWELL NC-HALIFAX VA-PITTSYLVANIA VA-HENRY VA- 256 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 ...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINS MOVING THROUGH THIS MORNING... AT 253 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM CALLANDS TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF WENTWORTH TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENSBORO...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THE LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... CHATHAM...BETHEL AT 305 AM EST...PROVIDENCE...GATEWOOD AT 310 AM EST...YANCEYVILLE...JERICHO AT 315 AM EST...TOPNOT...MILTON AT 320 AM EST...SEMORA...PROSPECT HILL AT 325 AM EST... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR WATER COVERED ROADS. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT US ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV. KK
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 355 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 VAZ058-059-010945- HALIFAX VA-CHARLOTTE VA- 355 AM EST MON JAN 1 2007 SHOWERS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS MOVING THROUGH THIS MORNING... AT 354 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTH OF TURBEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...CRYSTAL HILL AT 400 AM EST...SCOTTSBURG AT 405 AM EST...CLOVER...MT LAUREL AT 410 AM EST... SAXE AT 415 AM EST...WYLLIESBURG...DRAKES BRANCH AT 420 AM EST... KEYSVILLE AT 430 AM EST... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED. PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS IS LIKELY. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR UPDATES. 07
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 10:28 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flooding occurred from Madison to Reidsville resulting in Route 65 being closed at Rock Creek Road, Route 135 being closed in Mayodan, and the Dan Valley Road being closed due to the Mayo River out of its banks.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, January 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 10646.