A strong shortwave and associated cold front moved into extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. In response, strong to severe thunderstorms developed and produced damaging wind gusts along with a couple areas of flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A strong shortwave and associated cold front moved into extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. In response, strong to severe thunderstorms developed and produced damaging wind gusts along with a couple areas of flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 30, 5:30 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 630 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007 ...SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE... .UPDATE... BROKEN LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PROGRESS QUICKLY EAST FROM EASTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI ALONG A AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT. AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY JUST OF THE FRONT ALONG WITH SUBSTANTIAL SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING INTO IOWA WERE SUPPORTING THE STORMS. AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WAS IN PLACE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WITH STORMS ATTEMPTING TO TAKE ON SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR THROUGH 8 PM ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD. THE STORMS WILL ENCOUNTER LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AS THEY PUSH EAST INTO THE OZARKS. WHILE AT LEAST A SCATTERED LINE OF STORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...EXPECT STORM INTENSITY TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING. FOSTER && .DISCUSSION... MAIN FOCUS WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITH THE QUICK FLOW AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TONIGHT AND AGAIN TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. SURFACE LOW WAS QUICKLY LIFTING NORTHEAST OVER EASTERN NEBRASKA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A TRAILING DRY LINE JUST NOW PUSHING THROUGH ICT AS OF 19Z. STRONG PRESSURE RISES ALL DAY BEHIND THE DRY LINE HELPING TO SURGE THE DRY LINE EASTWARD. STORMS QUICKLY INITIATED ALONG THE BOUNDARY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS AND HAVE ALREADY MERGED INTO A LINEAR STRUCTURE. WOULD EXPECT THIS SQUALL LINE TO CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST SOUTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN CWA TOWARDS 5 TO 7 PM AND CONTINUING TO SHIFT EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CWA DURING THE EVENING. BEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WILL BE FROM 5 TO 9 PM WHEN INSTABILITY WILL BE MAXIMIZED. 18Z SOUNDING OUT OF SPRINGFIELD STILL SHOWS A FAIRLY DRY AIR MASS HOWEVER IT HAS INCREASED MOISTURE QUITE A BIT OVER THE 12Z RUN. WHILE INSTABILITY/MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITING FACTORS FOR SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING AS THE SQUALL LINE SHIFTS SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA...WIND FIELD REMAIN IMPRESSIVE AND WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEEING SOME DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS. DRIER AIR SHOULD QUICKLY PUSH IN BEHIND THE DRY LINE LATER THIS EVENING AS EVIDENCED BY SURFACE OBS IN CENTRAL/WESTERN KANSAS TODAY WITH RAPID CLEARING LATER TONIGHT. QUICK UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK WITH NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. MODEL QPF LOOK QUITE IMPRESSIVE AT THIS TIME BUT WITH QUICKNESS OF SYSTEM HAVE TRIMMED BACK QPF AMOUNTS FROM WHAT GUIDANCE IS SHOWING FOR NOW. IF TREND CONTINUES HOWEVER...THIS MIGHT NEED TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD. NEVERTHELESS...HAVE INCREASED POPS FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING. LINDENBERG && .AVIATION... STORMS APPROACHING THE JOPLIN AND SPRINGFIELD TERMINALS WILL BE THE CONCERN THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH JOPLIN BY 7 PM AND SPRINGFIELD BY 9 PM. GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE STORMS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AROUND 35 KTS POSSIBLE IN THE STORMS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AS THE STORMS EXIT TO THE EAST. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. FOSTER && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1257 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011800- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 1257 PM CDT SUN SEP 30 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR FROM AROUND 3 PM THROUGH 9 PM. DISCUSSION: A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WAS LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DRY LINE EXTENDING SOUTH OF THE LOW INTO CENTRAL KANSAS. MUCH HIGHER DEW POINTS HAVE SURGED NORTHWARD THIS MORNING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE HELPING TO MOISTEN UP AND DESTABILIZE THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE THIS AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED. DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF WIND SHEAR AVAILABLE IN THE ATMOSPHERE...AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT... MAINLY OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE DRY LINE IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY PUSH EAST THROUGH THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS EVENING WITH QUICK CLEARING EXPECTED BEHIND THE DRY LINE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WORK WEEK BRINGING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM...HOWEVER THE EXACT TRACK AND TIMING IS STILL IN QUESTION AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI AND FURTHER EAST DURING THE EVENING. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) LINDENBERG
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 102 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:38 UTC.
7 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A Liberal Newspaper employee observed downed large tree limbs across a county road from severe thunderstorm wind gusts.
Severe thunderstorm wind gusts downed some trees on the north side of Carthage.
Thundertorm wind gusts downed multiple trees across the county.
Numerous streets flooded in Neosho.
Severe thunderstorm wind gusts downed two large trees across Highway D in northern Morgan County.
Thunderstorm wind gusts downed trees across Highway 76 west of Highway AJ.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 60163, 60164, 60165, 60160, 60166, 60169, 60167, 60162, 60168.